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AbbVie Inc (ABBV)

Overvalued
HealthcareDrug Manufacturers - GeneralUnited States

Fundamental

73

Price

$285.64

Market Cap

$503.27B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

AbbVie is a global, research-based biopharmaceutical company that develops, manufactures, and commercializes innovative therapies across immunology, oncology, aesthetics, neuroscience, and eye care. The company markets branded biologic and small-molecule drugs through integrated R&D and commercialization teams serving markets worldwide.

How it makes money

AbbVie generates revenue primarily through the sale of branded pharmaceutical products. Revenue is driven by physician prescriptions for patients in developed and emerging markets, supported by direct sales forces and partnerships with healthcare providers, managed care organizations, and government healthcare programs.

Competitive moat

Patents and licences · Wide

AbbVie possesses a durable competitive advantage through an extensive patent portfolio protecting key products. Skyrizi and Rinvoq, which collectively generated $17.6 billion in 2024 revenues, benefit from composition-of-matter patents with exclusive protection extending to 2033. The company's integrated R&D and manufacturing capabilities, established market positions across multiple therapeutic areas, and a pipeline of approximately 90 compounds create substantial barriers to entry. Brand loyalty among physicians and healthcare systems, combined with regulatory approval barriers for competitor products, reinforce the moat.

What drives demand

Moderately cyclical

AbbVie's demand is moderately cyclical. Immunology demand reflects underlying disease prevalence (rheumatoid arthritis, psoriasis, inflammatory bowel disease) which remains relatively stable but is influenced by aging populations, rising obesity, and diagnostic improvement. Oncology demand is driven by cancer incidence which increases with age and is generally resilient to economic cycles. However, healthcare spending and access are influenced by insurance coverage decisions, government healthcare budgets, and economic conditions affecting patient compliance.

Key risks

  • Patent Expiration and Biosimilar Competition — AbbVie faces material revenue risk from patent expiration and biosimilar entry. Humira, a former flagship product, experienced a 40.8% revenue decline in 2024 following biosimilar competition after loss of exclusivity in January 2023. The immunology portfolio, which generated $26.7 billion in 2024, depends heavily on Skyrizi and Rinvoq; their composition-of-matter patents expire in 2033, after which biosimilar competitors may enter the market.
  • Regulatory Approval and Clinical Development Risk — AbbVie's future growth depends on regulatory approval of pipeline candidates. Approximately 90 compounds and indications are in development; clinical failures, regulatory delays, or unexpected adverse safety findings could materially impair revenue growth. The company carries indefinite-lived intangible assets related to unapproved IPR&D programs that require annual impairment assessment.
  • Pricing and Reimbursement Pressures — AbbVie faces significant pricing pressures from government healthcare programs and private payers globally. Cost-containment efforts, rebates, chargebacks, and price controls by authorities in developed markets could reduce revenues and operating margins. In the United States, managed care providers, Medicare, Medicaid, and the Department of Veterans Affairs are substantial customers whose negotiating power affects pricing.
  • R&D Execution and Pipeline Risk — AbbVie invested $10.8 billion in R&D in 2024. Success depends on advancing the pipeline efficiently. Manufacturing challenges, supply disruptions, clinical trial setbacks, or competitive products reaching market could impair the company's ability to replace declining products and achieve growth targets.
  • Intense Competition in Key Therapeutic Areas — Immunology and oncology markets are highly competitive with multiple companies developing similar mechanisms of action. Competitors may develop more efficacious therapies, obtain approvals more quickly, or establish stronger market positions, reducing AbbVie's market share and pricing power in these core therapeutic areas.
  • Product Liability and Litigation — AbbVie faces potential product liability claims and patent-related litigation. While management does not believe such matters will materially affect financial condition, substantial litigation expenses or unfavorable verdicts could impact results. The company also faces legacy product liability exposure.

Customer concentration

AbbVie has no single customer that, if lost, would have a material adverse effect on the business. However, the company has substantial customer concentration through wholesale distributors in the United States. Three wholesale distributors (McKesson Corporation, Cardinal Health, Inc., and Cencora, Inc.) account for substantially all U.S. pharmaceutical product sales, and these three wholesalers collectively represent 81% of accounts receivable. No individual wholesaler accounted for more than 39% of 2024 gross revenues. Significant customers also include managed care organizations, hospitals, and government agencies including Medicare, Medicaid, and the Department of Veterans Affairs.

The case for

Buyers argue that AbbVie's transition from dependence on Humira is succeeding faster than expected. Skyrizi and Rinvoq, jointly generating $17.6 billion in 2024 revenues with growth rates of 51.9% and 62.9% respectively, demonstrate strong market acceptance and pricing power in premium immunology segments. The company's portfolio diversification across five therapeutic areas reduces single-product risk. Strong patent protection through 2033 on key growth drivers provides revenue visibility. Continued aging in developed markets and rising obesity prevalence will expand addressable populations for immunology and oncology treatments. AbbVie's $100 billion, decade-long R&D and capital investment commitment signals management's confidence in pipeline productivity. The oncology portfolio's 10.8% growth and expanding pipeline across cancer indications offer significant upside potential.

The case against

Sellers fear that AbbVie faces a relentless patent cliff despite the Humira transition. While Skyrizi and Rinvoq patents extend to 2033, that provides less than nine years of exclusivity—a typical product lifecycle in biopharmaceuticals. Biosimilar competition for these flagship products is inevitable and may prove more aggressive than for Humira. Management must replace $26+ billion in immunology revenue within the decade, a challenging execution task. Pricing pressures from government healthcare programs and payers globally are intensifying, with more jurisdictions implementing price controls. R&D execution risk is material; nine years is insufficient time to prove and commercialize multiple blockbuster replacements. The company's 81% customer concentration through three wholesalers creates distribution channel vulnerability. Competitive threats from JAK and IL-23 inhibitors developed by rivals (Eli Lilly, Janssen, Amgen) are intensifying. Climate change and geopolitical risks could disrupt manufacturing for biologic therapies. IPR&D impairment risks remain if clinical-stage programs underperform or fail.

Generated with artificial intelligence on September 21, 2026, shared with all users

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated with artificial intelligence on September 17, 2026, shared with all users

P/E: 40.1Score: 70Market cap: $620.56B

Its Stelara and Tremfya go head-to-head with AbbVie's Skyrizi for the same psoriasis and inflammatory bowel disease patients, the franchise that now drives most of AbbVie's revenue.

P/E: 42.7Score: 78Market cap: $1.18T

Lilly sells Omvoh and Taltz against Skyrizi in psoriasis and ulcerative colitis, and Olumiant against Rinvoq among JAK inhibitors, prescribed by the same specialists.

P/E: 39.5Score: 72Market cap: $170.14B

Pfizer's Xeljanz and Velsipity compete with Rinvoq in rheumatology and ulcerative colitis, while Nurtec challenges AbbVie's migraine drugs for the same prescriptions.

P/E: 13.5Score: 76Market cap: $124.85B

Its Sotyktu and Zeposia target the same psoriasis and inflammatory bowel disease patients as Skyrizi and Rinvoq, and both firms compete in blood-cancer treatments.

P/E: 27.3Score: 78Market cap: $233.82B

Amgen takes revenue directly from AbbVie with Amjevita, the leading Humira biosimilar, and with Otezla in psoriasis.

Novartis AGNVS

Cosentyx competes directly with Skyrizi for psoriasis and axial spondyloarthritis patients, and Novartis also disputes the same oncology and neuroscience budgets.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$64.39B

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Net Income

$6.31B

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Free Cash Flow

$17.82B

Total Equity

$-3.27B

Total Liabilities

$137.19B

Current Ratio

0.81

Interest Coverage

5.21

Debt/EBITDA

2.30

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

General caseOvervalued

Fair Value

$181.62

Current Price

$285.64

Margin of Safety

-57.3%

Fair Value Range

$118.06 - $245.19

Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.

Estimation Methods

Analyst price target:$283.50
Discounted cash flow (DCF):$248.37
Earnings multiple (P/E):$59.95
Graham growth formula:$26.48
Earnings power value (EPV):$94.06
Justified P/B:$22.51
Dividend discount (Gordon):Not enough data to compute it
P/FFO, funds from operations:Not enough data to compute it
Mid-cycle earnings:$236.78
Revenue multiple:$137.37
Last Earnings Surprise:-0.71%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

80.69

ROE

-129.2%

P/B Ratio

-

P/FCF

27.72

Gross Margin

71.5%

ROIC

13.1%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

13.1%

WACC

7.4%

ROIC − WACC

+5.7 pp

ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (18)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR 16.30%
  • ROIC 13.1%
  • Gross margin 71.5%
  • P/FCF 27.72
  • Operating margin 24.6%
  • Positive free cash flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current ratio
  • Interest coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on tangible assets
  • ROE 95.6%
  • Revenue growth 5Y 6.0%
  • Earnings quality (operating cash flow / net income) 3.09
  • Share dilution 0.0%
  • Net margin trend 9.8% vs 6.5%
  • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

Failed (4)

  • EPS CAGR 0.57%
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Earnings surprise, average 0.6%

Unavailable (5)

  • P/B ratio –
  • Dividend payout –
  • Debt/equity ratio
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG ratio (needs P/E > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-Score

7/9

Strong financial health

ROA > 0
Operating cash flow > 0
ΔROA > 0
Cash flow > net income
Leverage ↓
Current ratio ↑
No dilution
Gross margin ↑
Asset turnover ↑

Earnings Quality

3.09

High quality: earnings backed by cash

Share Dilution

0.0%

Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly

Institutional Holdings

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. Robert A. Michael CPACEO & Chairman of the Board55
Mr. Scott T. ReentsExecutive VP & CFO58
Dr. Azita Saleki Ph.D.Executive VP & COO62
Dr. Roopal B. Thakkar M.D.Executive VP of Research & Development and Chief Scientific Officer53
Mr. Jeffrey Ryan StewartExecutive VP & Chief Commercial Officer56
Ms. Linda RaySenior VP & Chief Information Officer-
Ms. Elizabeth SheaSenior Vice President of Investor Relations-
Mr. Perry C. SiatisExecutive VP, General Counsel & Secretary50
Mr. Demetris D. CrumExecutive VP & Chief Human Resources Officer44
Mr. Wulff-Erik von BorckeSenior VP & President of Oncology-

Audit Risk

6

Board Risk

5

Compensation Risk

2

Shareholder Rights Risk

9

Documents

  • Annual Report (10-K)

    A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.

    Filed on 2026-02-20

    View document
  • Quarterly Report (10-Q)

    A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.

    Filed on 2026-08-03

    View document
  • Current Report (8-K)

    An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.

    Filed on 2026-10-15

    View document

via SEC EDGAR

Income History

via SEC EDGAR

Part 2 · The price and its context

This part shows how the price has behaved, not whether the company is worth owning. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Market Reaction Profile

How much ABBV moves, measured on its daily prices.

VolatilityLow

More volatile than 22% of the tracked stocks (90-day volatility).

Volatility 30d
18.4%
Volatility 90d
25.8%
Beta vs S&P 500 (1y)
-0.15Correlation -0.07
Max drawdown (12m)
-16.5%
ATR (14d, % of price)
2.26%

Earnings reactions

How ABBV moved around its past quarterly results.

Next earnings release

Oct 30, 2026 · In 6 days · Before the open

EPS estimate: 3.78Revenue estimate: $17.3B

What usually happens

  • Over the last 12 releases the stock moved a median of 3.6% the next day, up or down.
  • Next-day moves: up 6, down 6 (out of 12).

Release history

DateWhen EPS est.EPS actualSurprise Gap 1 day5 days
Jul 31, 2026During the session3.683.65-0.7% -1.9% -2.5% -5.3%
Apr 29, 2026During the session2.652.65+0.2% -2.9% +3.1% +4.3%
Feb 4, 2026During the session2.712.71+0.2% -7.0% -3.8% -1.4%
Oct 31, 2025During the session1.811.86+2.7% -2.3% -4.5% -4.0%
Jul 31, 2025During the sessionn/an/an/a+4.1% -0.2% +3.7%
Apr 25, 2025During the sessionn/an/an/a+3.7% +3.2% +7.2%
Jan 31, 2025During the sessionn/an/an/a+6.6% +4.7% +9.9%
Oct 30, 2024During the sessionn/an/an/a+1.1% +6.4% +6.5%
Jul 25, 2024During the sessionn/an/an/a+0.4% +3.4% +5.2%
Apr 26, 2024During the sessionn/an/an/a-0.1% -4.6% -3.9%
Feb 2, 2024During the sessionn/an/an/a+1.1% +0.6% +4.3%
Oct 27, 2023During the sessionn/an/an/a-4.4% -4.3% -1.3%

Release dates from SEC 8-K filings.

Updated 10/24/2026

Historical statistics for educational purposes only. They are not forecasts and not investment advice.

Price reaction to the news

Latest news on ABBV and what the price did next.

Return of the stock minus return of SPY over the same days. A news item close to a price move did not necessarily cause it. Historical data for educational purposes only, not investment advice.

Latest News

Recent headlines for ABBV.

  • 9d agoPOSITIVE
    Big pharma stocks close near all-time highs as tech selloff pushes investors toward safer bets

    AbbVie Inc. (ABBV) shares are trading near all-time highs, reflecting a broader trend of investors seeking refuge in defensive sectors like pharmaceuticals amidst a tech selloff. This shift suggests a rotation towards perceived safer assets, benefiting established large-cap pharmaceutical companies. The move highlights investor sentiment favoring stability and consistent performance over high-growth, but potentially volatile, tech stocks. For shareholders, this trend indicates continued demand for pharmaceutical products and services, potentially leading to sustained stock price appreciation.

  • 8/4/2026NEUTRAL
    AbbVie Seeks at Least $8 Billion in Debt to Fund Apogee Deal

    AbbVie Inc. is planning a significant debt issuance, aiming to raise at least $8 billion through an investment-grade bond offering. This move is intended to finance a portion of its acquisition of Apogee Therapeutics Inc. The company's strategy to fund acquisitions via debt indicates a proactive approach to growth, but the substantial borrowing may also introduce financial leverage risks. Investors will monitor the terms of the debt and the integration progress of Apogee to assess the long-term impact on AbbVie's financial health and stock performance.

  • 8/4/2026POSITIVE
    AbbVie Sees Strong Demand for Its $10 Billion M&A Bond Sale

    AbbVie Inc. successfully priced a $10 billion investment-grade bond offering, indicating strong investor demand. This comes at a time when many investors have shown fatigue with new debt issuances aimed at funding artificial intelligence initiatives. The robust uptake of AbbVie's bonds suggests a preference for established pharmaceutical companies with solid fundamentals over speculative tech-related debt. The offering's success provides AbbVie with ample liquidity for its strategic M&A activities, potentially enhancing its long-term growth prospects and shareholder value.

  • 6/26/2026POSITIVE
    Healthcare stocks have become a haven for investors ditching tech

    AbbVie Inc. is poised to reach new all-time highs, reflecting a resurgent investor interest in the biopharmaceutical sector. This trend, also seen with peers Eli Lilly and Johnson & Johnson, suggests a strategic shift by investors moving capital away from technology stocks towards healthcare. The sector's perceived stability and defensive qualities are attracting capital, potentially signaling a rotation driven by macroeconomic uncertainty or a reassessment of growth prospects across different industries. For investors, this indicates a potential opportunity in healthcare, especially in companies demonstrating strong fundamentals and innovation.

  • 6/22/2026POSITIVE
    AbbVie to Buy Apogee Therapeutics for $10.9 Billion

    AbbVie Inc. is set to acquire Apogee Therapeutics for $10.9 billion, a strategic move to bolster its dermatology pipeline. The acquisition includes Apogee's promising treatments for atopic dermatitis, commonly known as eczema. This deal significantly enhances AbbVie's market position in the lucrative dermatology sector. For investors, this acquisition signals AbbVie's commitment to expanding its therapeutic offerings and driving future growth through targeted M&A activity, potentially leading to increased revenue streams and market share.

  • 6/20/2026POSITIVE
    AbbVie would gain an experimental eczema drug by buying biotech: report

    AbbVie Inc. is reportedly in advanced talks to acquire a biotechnology firm for $10.9 billion in cash, seeking to bolster its pipeline with a promising experimental drug for atopic dermatitis. This strategic move aims to diversify AbbVie's revenue streams beyond its current blockbuster treatments and secure future growth in the dermatology sector. The acquisition, if successful, could significantly enhance AbbVie's market position and offer substantial long-term value to its shareholders by integrating innovative therapies into its portfolio.

  • 6/11/2026POSITIVE
    AbbVie, Devon Energy And More On CNBC's 'Final Trades'

    CNBC's 'Final Trades' segment highlighted AbbVie Inc. (ABBV) as a top pick, citing its growth prospects driven by an expanded drug label. This positive outlook suggests potential for increased revenue and market share for the biopharmaceutical company. Investors may view this endorsement as a signal of strong upcoming performance, potentially leading to increased demand for ABBV shares.