AbbVie Inc (ABBV)
OvervaluedFundamental
73
Price
$285.64
Market Cap
$503.27B
Part 1 · What the company is worth
Overview
AbbVie is a global, research-based biopharmaceutical company that develops, manufactures, and commercializes innovative therapies across immunology, oncology, aesthetics, neuroscience, and eye care. The company markets branded biologic and small-molecule drugs through integrated R&D and commercialization teams serving markets worldwide.
How it makes money
AbbVie generates revenue primarily through the sale of branded pharmaceutical products. Revenue is driven by physician prescriptions for patients in developed and emerging markets, supported by direct sales forces and partnerships with healthcare providers, managed care organizations, and government healthcare programs.
Competitive moat
Patents and licences · WideAbbVie possesses a durable competitive advantage through an extensive patent portfolio protecting key products. Skyrizi and Rinvoq, which collectively generated $17.6 billion in 2024 revenues, benefit from composition-of-matter patents with exclusive protection extending to 2033. The company's integrated R&D and manufacturing capabilities, established market positions across multiple therapeutic areas, and a pipeline of approximately 90 compounds create substantial barriers to entry. Brand loyalty among physicians and healthcare systems, combined with regulatory approval barriers for competitor products, reinforce the moat.
What drives demand
Moderately cyclicalAbbVie's demand is moderately cyclical. Immunology demand reflects underlying disease prevalence (rheumatoid arthritis, psoriasis, inflammatory bowel disease) which remains relatively stable but is influenced by aging populations, rising obesity, and diagnostic improvement. Oncology demand is driven by cancer incidence which increases with age and is generally resilient to economic cycles. However, healthcare spending and access are influenced by insurance coverage decisions, government healthcare budgets, and economic conditions affecting patient compliance.
Key risks
- Patent Expiration and Biosimilar Competition — AbbVie faces material revenue risk from patent expiration and biosimilar entry. Humira, a former flagship product, experienced a 40.8% revenue decline in 2024 following biosimilar competition after loss of exclusivity in January 2023. The immunology portfolio, which generated $26.7 billion in 2024, depends heavily on Skyrizi and Rinvoq; their composition-of-matter patents expire in 2033, after which biosimilar competitors may enter the market.
- Regulatory Approval and Clinical Development Risk — AbbVie's future growth depends on regulatory approval of pipeline candidates. Approximately 90 compounds and indications are in development; clinical failures, regulatory delays, or unexpected adverse safety findings could materially impair revenue growth. The company carries indefinite-lived intangible assets related to unapproved IPR&D programs that require annual impairment assessment.
- Pricing and Reimbursement Pressures — AbbVie faces significant pricing pressures from government healthcare programs and private payers globally. Cost-containment efforts, rebates, chargebacks, and price controls by authorities in developed markets could reduce revenues and operating margins. In the United States, managed care providers, Medicare, Medicaid, and the Department of Veterans Affairs are substantial customers whose negotiating power affects pricing.
- R&D Execution and Pipeline Risk — AbbVie invested $10.8 billion in R&D in 2024. Success depends on advancing the pipeline efficiently. Manufacturing challenges, supply disruptions, clinical trial setbacks, or competitive products reaching market could impair the company's ability to replace declining products and achieve growth targets.
- Intense Competition in Key Therapeutic Areas — Immunology and oncology markets are highly competitive with multiple companies developing similar mechanisms of action. Competitors may develop more efficacious therapies, obtain approvals more quickly, or establish stronger market positions, reducing AbbVie's market share and pricing power in these core therapeutic areas.
- Product Liability and Litigation — AbbVie faces potential product liability claims and patent-related litigation. While management does not believe such matters will materially affect financial condition, substantial litigation expenses or unfavorable verdicts could impact results. The company also faces legacy product liability exposure.
Customer concentration
AbbVie has no single customer that, if lost, would have a material adverse effect on the business. However, the company has substantial customer concentration through wholesale distributors in the United States. Three wholesale distributors (McKesson Corporation, Cardinal Health, Inc., and Cencora, Inc.) account for substantially all U.S. pharmaceutical product sales, and these three wholesalers collectively represent 81% of accounts receivable. No individual wholesaler accounted for more than 39% of 2024 gross revenues. Significant customers also include managed care organizations, hospitals, and government agencies including Medicare, Medicaid, and the Department of Veterans Affairs.
The case for
Buyers argue that AbbVie's transition from dependence on Humira is succeeding faster than expected. Skyrizi and Rinvoq, jointly generating $17.6 billion in 2024 revenues with growth rates of 51.9% and 62.9% respectively, demonstrate strong market acceptance and pricing power in premium immunology segments. The company's portfolio diversification across five therapeutic areas reduces single-product risk. Strong patent protection through 2033 on key growth drivers provides revenue visibility. Continued aging in developed markets and rising obesity prevalence will expand addressable populations for immunology and oncology treatments. AbbVie's $100 billion, decade-long R&D and capital investment commitment signals management's confidence in pipeline productivity. The oncology portfolio's 10.8% growth and expanding pipeline across cancer indications offer significant upside potential.
The case against
Sellers fear that AbbVie faces a relentless patent cliff despite the Humira transition. While Skyrizi and Rinvoq patents extend to 2033, that provides less than nine years of exclusivity—a typical product lifecycle in biopharmaceuticals. Biosimilar competition for these flagship products is inevitable and may prove more aggressive than for Humira. Management must replace $26+ billion in immunology revenue within the decade, a challenging execution task. Pricing pressures from government healthcare programs and payers globally are intensifying, with more jurisdictions implementing price controls. R&D execution risk is material; nine years is insufficient time to prove and commercialize multiple blockbuster replacements. The company's 81% customer concentration through three wholesalers creates distribution channel vulnerability. Competitive threats from JAK and IL-23 inhibitors developed by rivals (Eli Lilly, Janssen, Amgen) are intensifying. Climate change and geopolitical risks could disrupt manufacturing for biologic therapies. IPR&D impairment risks remain if clinical-stage programs underperform or fail.
Generated with artificial intelligence on September 21, 2026, shared with all users
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
Generated with artificial intelligence on September 17, 2026, shared with all users
Its Stelara and Tremfya go head-to-head with AbbVie's Skyrizi for the same psoriasis and inflammatory bowel disease patients, the franchise that now drives most of AbbVie's revenue.
Lilly sells Omvoh and Taltz against Skyrizi in psoriasis and ulcerative colitis, and Olumiant against Rinvoq among JAK inhibitors, prescribed by the same specialists.
Pfizer's Xeljanz and Velsipity compete with Rinvoq in rheumatology and ulcerative colitis, while Nurtec challenges AbbVie's migraine drugs for the same prescriptions.
Its Sotyktu and Zeposia target the same psoriasis and inflammatory bowel disease patients as Skyrizi and Rinvoq, and both firms compete in blood-cancer treatments.
Amgen takes revenue directly from AbbVie with Amjevita, the leading Humira biosimilar, and with Otezla in psoriasis.
Cosentyx competes directly with Skyrizi for psoriasis and axial spondyloarthritis patients, and Novartis also disputes the same oncology and neuroscience budgets.
Balance Sheet & Liquidity
Revenue
$64.39B
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Net Income
$6.31B
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Free Cash Flow
$17.82B
Total Equity
$-3.27B
Total Liabilities
$137.19B
Current Ratio
0.81
Interest Coverage
5.21
Debt/EBITDA
2.30
Earnings Per Share
Revenue & Net Income
Free Cash Flow
Income Breakdown
Historical statement
Margins over time
Debt over time
How heavy the debt is
Growth grid
Growth — Revenue
Fair Value Estimation
Fair Value
$181.62
Current Price
$285.64
Margin of Safety
-57.3%
Fair Value Range
$118.06 - $245.19
Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.
Estimation Methods
Valuation Metrics
P/E Ratio
80.69
ROE
-129.2%
P/B Ratio
-
P/FCF
27.72
Gross Margin
71.5%
ROIC
13.1%
Profitability Radar
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
13.1%
WACC
7.4%
ROIC − WACC
+5.7 pp
ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.
Fundamental Analysis Criteria
Passed (18)
- EPS shows upward trend
- Price CAGR 16.30%
- ROIC 13.1%
- Gross margin 71.5%
- P/FCF 27.72
- Operating margin 24.6%
- Positive free cash flow
- CapEx intensity
- Current ratio
- Interest coverage
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on tangible assets
- ROE 95.6%
- Revenue growth 5Y 6.0%
- Earnings quality (operating cash flow / net income) 3.09
- Share dilution 0.0%
- Net margin trend 9.8% vs 6.5%
- Piotroski F-Score 7/9
Failed (4)
- EPS CAGR 0.57%
- Low reliance on intangibles
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
- Earnings surprise, average 0.6%
Unavailable (5)
- P/B ratio –
- Dividend payout –
- Debt/equity ratio
- Price below Graham Number
- PEG ratio (needs P/E > 0 and growth > 0)
Piotroski F-Score
Strong financial health
Earnings Quality
High quality: earnings backed by cash
Share Dilution
Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly
Institutional Holdings
Governance
Executive Team
| Name | Title | Age |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Robert A. Michael CPA | CEO & Chairman of the Board | 55 |
| Mr. Scott T. Reents | Executive VP & CFO | 58 |
| Dr. Azita Saleki Ph.D. | Executive VP & COO | 62 |
| Dr. Roopal B. Thakkar M.D. | Executive VP of Research & Development and Chief Scientific Officer | 53 |
| Mr. Jeffrey Ryan Stewart | Executive VP & Chief Commercial Officer | 56 |
| Ms. Linda Ray | Senior VP & Chief Information Officer | - |
| Ms. Elizabeth Shea | Senior Vice President of Investor Relations | - |
| Mr. Perry C. Siatis | Executive VP, General Counsel & Secretary | 50 |
| Mr. Demetris D. Crum | Executive VP & Chief Human Resources Officer | 44 |
| Mr. Wulff-Erik von Borcke | Senior VP & President of Oncology | - |
Audit Risk
6
Board Risk
5
Compensation Risk
2
Shareholder Rights Risk
9
Documents
- View document
Annual Report (10-K)
A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.
Filed on 2026-02-20
- View document
Quarterly Report (10-Q)
A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.
Filed on 2026-08-03
- View document
Current Report (8-K)
An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.
Filed on 2026-10-15
via SEC EDGAR
Income History
via SEC EDGAR
Part 2 · The price and its context
This part shows how the price has behaved, not whether the company is worth owning. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.
Market Reaction Profile
How much ABBV moves, measured on its daily prices.
More volatile than 22% of the tracked stocks (90-day volatility).
- Volatility 30d
- 18.4%
- Volatility 90d
- 25.8%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (1y)
- -0.15Correlation -0.07
- Max drawdown (12m)
- -16.5%
- ATR (14d, % of price)
- 2.26%
Earnings reactions
How ABBV moved around its past quarterly results.
Next earnings release
Oct 30, 2026 · In 6 days · Before the open
EPS estimate: 3.78Revenue estimate: $17.3B
What usually happens
- Over the last 12 releases the stock moved a median of 3.6% the next day, up or down.
- Next-day moves: up 6, down 6 (out of 12).
Release history
| Date | When | EPS est. | EPS actual | Surprise | Gap | 1 day | 5 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 2026 | During the session | 3.68 | 3.65 | -0.7% | -1.9% | -2.5% | -5.3% |
| Apr 29, 2026 | During the session | 2.65 | 2.65 | +0.2% | -2.9% | +3.1% | +4.3% |
| Feb 4, 2026 | During the session | 2.71 | 2.71 | +0.2% | -7.0% | -3.8% | -1.4% |
| Oct 31, 2025 | During the session | 1.81 | 1.86 | +2.7% | -2.3% | -4.5% | -4.0% |
| Jul 31, 2025 | During the session | n/a | n/a | n/a | +4.1% | -0.2% | +3.7% |
| Apr 25, 2025 | During the session | n/a | n/a | n/a | +3.7% | +3.2% | +7.2% |
| Jan 31, 2025 | During the session | n/a | n/a | n/a | +6.6% | +4.7% | +9.9% |
| Oct 30, 2024 | During the session | n/a | n/a | n/a | +1.1% | +6.4% | +6.5% |
| Jul 25, 2024 | During the session | n/a | n/a | n/a | +0.4% | +3.4% | +5.2% |
| Apr 26, 2024 | During the session | n/a | n/a | n/a | -0.1% | -4.6% | -3.9% |
| Feb 2, 2024 | During the session | n/a | n/a | n/a | +1.1% | +0.6% | +4.3% |
| Oct 27, 2023 | During the session | n/a | n/a | n/a | -4.4% | -4.3% | -1.3% |
Release dates from SEC 8-K filings.
Updated 10/24/2026
Historical statistics for educational purposes only. They are not forecasts and not investment advice.
Price reaction to the news
Latest news on ABBV and what the price did next.
- 10/15/2026PositiveBig pharma stocks close near all-time highs as tech selloff pushes investors toward safer bets
- +1 day
- +1.8%
- +3 days
- +2.4%
- 8/4/2026PositiveAbbVie Sees Strong Demand for Its $10 Billion M&A Bond Sale
- +1 day
- -2.3%
- +3 days
- -1.9%
- 6/26/2026PositiveHealthcare stocks have become a haven for investors ditching tech
Published while the US market was open: the move of that day cannot be split into before and after the news, so no figure is shown.
- 6/22/2026PositiveAbbVie to Buy Apogee Therapeutics for $10.9 Billion
Published while the US market was open: the move of that day cannot be split into before and after the news, so no figure is shown.
- 6/20/2026PositiveAbbVie would gain an experimental eczema drug by buying biotech: report
- +1 day
- +6.6%
- +3 days
- +10.3%
- 6/11/2026PositiveAbbVie, Devon Energy And More On CNBC's 'Final Trades'
- +1 day
- -1.8%
- +3 days
- -5.5%
- 6/5/2026PositiveHeadline no longer in the latest news feed
- +1 day
- +3.6%
- +3 days
- +2.9%
- 3/18/2026NegativeHeadline no longer in the latest news feed
Published while the US market was open: the move of that day cannot be split into before and after the news, so no figure is shown.
Return of the stock minus return of SPY over the same days. A news item close to a price move did not necessarily cause it. Historical data for educational purposes only, not investment advice.
Latest News
Recent headlines for ABBV.
- 9d agoPOSITIVEBig pharma stocks close near all-time highs as tech selloff pushes investors toward safer bets
AbbVie Inc. (ABBV) shares are trading near all-time highs, reflecting a broader trend of investors seeking refuge in defensive sectors like pharmaceuticals amidst a tech selloff. This shift suggests a rotation towards perceived safer assets, benefiting established large-cap pharmaceutical companies. The move highlights investor sentiment favoring stability and consistent performance over high-growth, but potentially volatile, tech stocks. For shareholders, this trend indicates continued demand for pharmaceutical products and services, potentially leading to sustained stock price appreciation.
- 8/4/2026NEUTRALAbbVie Seeks at Least $8 Billion in Debt to Fund Apogee Deal
AbbVie Inc. is planning a significant debt issuance, aiming to raise at least $8 billion through an investment-grade bond offering. This move is intended to finance a portion of its acquisition of Apogee Therapeutics Inc. The company's strategy to fund acquisitions via debt indicates a proactive approach to growth, but the substantial borrowing may also introduce financial leverage risks. Investors will monitor the terms of the debt and the integration progress of Apogee to assess the long-term impact on AbbVie's financial health and stock performance.
- 8/4/2026POSITIVEAbbVie Sees Strong Demand for Its $10 Billion M&A Bond Sale
AbbVie Inc. successfully priced a $10 billion investment-grade bond offering, indicating strong investor demand. This comes at a time when many investors have shown fatigue with new debt issuances aimed at funding artificial intelligence initiatives. The robust uptake of AbbVie's bonds suggests a preference for established pharmaceutical companies with solid fundamentals over speculative tech-related debt. The offering's success provides AbbVie with ample liquidity for its strategic M&A activities, potentially enhancing its long-term growth prospects and shareholder value.
- 6/26/2026POSITIVEHealthcare stocks have become a haven for investors ditching tech
AbbVie Inc. is poised to reach new all-time highs, reflecting a resurgent investor interest in the biopharmaceutical sector. This trend, also seen with peers Eli Lilly and Johnson & Johnson, suggests a strategic shift by investors moving capital away from technology stocks towards healthcare. The sector's perceived stability and defensive qualities are attracting capital, potentially signaling a rotation driven by macroeconomic uncertainty or a reassessment of growth prospects across different industries. For investors, this indicates a potential opportunity in healthcare, especially in companies demonstrating strong fundamentals and innovation.
- 6/22/2026POSITIVEAbbVie to Buy Apogee Therapeutics for $10.9 Billion
AbbVie Inc. is set to acquire Apogee Therapeutics for $10.9 billion, a strategic move to bolster its dermatology pipeline. The acquisition includes Apogee's promising treatments for atopic dermatitis, commonly known as eczema. This deal significantly enhances AbbVie's market position in the lucrative dermatology sector. For investors, this acquisition signals AbbVie's commitment to expanding its therapeutic offerings and driving future growth through targeted M&A activity, potentially leading to increased revenue streams and market share.
- 6/20/2026POSITIVEAbbVie would gain an experimental eczema drug by buying biotech: report
AbbVie Inc. is reportedly in advanced talks to acquire a biotechnology firm for $10.9 billion in cash, seeking to bolster its pipeline with a promising experimental drug for atopic dermatitis. This strategic move aims to diversify AbbVie's revenue streams beyond its current blockbuster treatments and secure future growth in the dermatology sector. The acquisition, if successful, could significantly enhance AbbVie's market position and offer substantial long-term value to its shareholders by integrating innovative therapies into its portfolio.
- 6/11/2026POSITIVEAbbVie, Devon Energy And More On CNBC's 'Final Trades'
CNBC's 'Final Trades' segment highlighted AbbVie Inc. (ABBV) as a top pick, citing its growth prospects driven by an expanded drug label. This positive outlook suggests potential for increased revenue and market share for the biopharmaceutical company. Investors may view this endorsement as a signal of strong upcoming performance, potentially leading to increased demand for ABBV shares.