Back to rankings

Bank of New York Mellon Corp (BNY)

Overvalued
Financial ServicesBanks - DiversifiedUnited States

Fundamental

58

Price

$145.27

Market Cap

$98.96B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

Bank of New York Mellon is a global financial services company that acts as an essential infrastructure partner for institutions moving capital. The company provides asset servicing, wealth management, and investment management services to asset managers, asset owners, broker-dealers, wealth firms, issuers, and affluent clients. As of December 31, 2025, BNY oversees $59.3 trillion in assets under custody and/or administration and $2.2 trillion in assets under management. The company operates globally across 35+ countries and serves over 90% of the Fortune 100 and nearly all of the top 100 banks globally.

How it makes money

BNY generates revenue primarily through fee-based services on assets under management and administration, combined with net interest income. Fee revenue in 2025 increased 6%, driven by net new business, higher client activity, increased market values, and favorable currency impacts. Net interest income rose 15%, primarily from reinvestment of maturing investment securities at higher yields and balance sheet growth, partially offset by deposit margin compression. Investment and other revenue contributed an additional $757 million in 2025.

Revenue by segment

Securities Services48.4%

Provides asset servicing, clearing, settlement, and payment services for institutional clients globally. Includes custody services, payment and clearing, and settlement services for securities transactions. Revenue of $9.73 billion in 2025, up 8% year-over-year.

Market and Wealth Services34.8%

Delivers data, analytics, and digital platforms serving capital markets participants, including traders, risk managers, and wealth professionals. Provides platforms for trading, treasury management, foreign exchange, and wealth advisory services. Revenue of $7.0 billion in 2025, up 12% year-over-year.

Investment and Wealth Management16.2%

Provides investment management, advisory, and wealth management services to institutional and individual clients. Manages assets and provides discretionary and non-discretionary portfolio management. Revenue of $3.258 billion in 2025, comprising $3.049 billion in fee revenue and $174 million in net interest income.

Competitive moat

Scale · Wide

BNY's moat stems from extraordinary scale and systemic importance in global finance. Only a handful of institutions can handle the custody, clearing, and settlement of trillions of dollars in securities. The company clears approximately 50% of U.S. government securities transactions and operates in over 35 countries, creating formidable barriers to entry. Competitors would need to invest billions to replicate the infrastructure, regulatory licenses, and client relationships. The 240-year brand heritage reinforces institutional trust. Fintech competitors can offer niche services but cannot replicate the systemic reach required for institutional-grade custody and settlement.

What drives demand

Moderately cyclical

BNY's business demonstrates moderate cyclicality. Asset servicing and custody—the company's largest segments—generate stable, recurring fee revenue relatively insensitive to market cycles, as institutions continue to require custody services regardless of market conditions. However, wealth management, trading volumes, and advisory services are more sensitive to equity market performance and investor confidence. Market downturns reduce the value of AUC/A and may trigger client redemptions, depressing fee income. Conversely, bull markets expand both valuations and new client inflows. Net interest income adds a defensive element, though it is subject to interest rate cycles.

Key risks

  • Interest Rate and Net Interest Income Compression — BNY's net interest income, which increased 15% in 2025, is dependent on interest rate levels and the yield curve. A prolonged rate-cutting cycle would compress the spread between earning assets and interest-bearing liabilities, pressuring profitability. This represents a material headwind if the Federal Reserve cuts rates significantly in response to economic slowdown.
  • Intense Competition and Fee Compression — BNY faces pricing pressures from traditional competitors and non-bank financial technology firms that are not subject to the same regulatory constraints. Larger and more geographically diverse institutions, along with fintech startups offering competitive pricing, may erode BNY's fee revenue over time. The company has experienced, and anticipates continuing to experience, pricing pressures that may reduce the price charged for products and services.
  • Assets Under Custody Market Dependency — BNY's fee revenue is directly tied to the value of assets under custody and administration ($59.3 trillion as of December 31, 2025). A significant market correction or decline in global equity and fixed-income markets would immediately reduce fee revenue, as would net outflows of client assets due to competitive pressures or market events.
  • Geopolitical and Economic Uncertainties — Rising geopolitical tensions, including US-China trade disputes, the Ukraine conflict, and Middle East instability, create uncertainty for global capital flows. Recession risk persists, and fiscal policy implementation uncertainty could impact trading volumes and client activity levels. These macroeconomic headwinds could reduce demand for BNY's services and volatility in earnings.
  • Regulatory and Technology Risk — BNY operates in a heavily regulated environment and faces evolving regulatory requirements across multiple jurisdictions. Emerging technologies like blockchain, artificial intelligence, quantum computing, and digital assets present both opportunities and uncertainties. Regulatory treatment of stablecoins and digital assets remains unclear, and fintech companies offering similar services face less regulation, creating competitive disadvantages for BNY despite its superior infrastructure.

Customer concentration

BNY's customer base is highly diversified across institutional clients globally. The company serves over 90% of the Fortune 100, nearly all top 100 banks globally, and over 90% of the top 100 pension plans. The filing does not disclose a specific percentage for the largest customers' revenue contribution, indicating that no single customer represents a material concentration risk. The business is geographic-concentrated to developed financial markets (United States and Europe), but not customer-concentrated.

The case for

Buyers argue that BNY is exceptionally well-positioned in a capital-intensive financial system that requires trustworthy, large-scale infrastructure. The company delivered record 2025 revenue of $20.1 billion and net income of $5.3 billion with a return on tangible common equity of 26%. Net new business remains strong, and the company is a dominant player in digital assets, serving 80% of digital asset exchange-traded products and administering 50% of tokenized funds globally. BNY's investments in AI, including its proprietary tool Eliza, position the company to benefit from increased automation and efficiency gains. The company returned $5 billion to shareholders in 2025 through dividends and buybacks. Its fortress balance sheet, regulatory licenses, and systemic importance create a moat that is difficult for competitors to breach, offering defensive earnings through market cycles.

The case against

Sellers fear that BNY's core business model is under structural pressure. Fee revenue is fundamentally dependent on the total value of assets under custody, which is subject to market corrections, client flows, and competitive attrition. A significant market downturn would immediately compress revenues. Net interest income, which rose 15% in 2025 from higher rates, is at risk if the Federal Reserve enters a sustained rate-cutting cycle. Competition from fintech firms and niche custody providers is intensifying, and BNY's investments in AI and digital assets lack transparent ROI metrics and may dilute shareholder returns. The company's high debt load (relative to equity) limits financial flexibility. Regulatory uncertainty around digital assets and cryptocurrencies poses execution risk on BNY's growth initiatives. At current valuations (trailing P/E of 16.2x), the market may be pricing in optimistic growth assumptions that could disappoint if macroeconomic headwinds intensify.

Generated with artificial intelligence on September 21, 2026, shared with all users

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated with artificial intelligence on September 18, 2026, shared with all users

P/E: 14.8Score: 75Market cap: $46.41B

State Street is the other large US custody bank, selling the same custody, fund administration and investment-servicing mandates to the same institutional asset managers, pension funds and sovereign clients.

P/E: 18.9Score: 68Market cap: $30.29B

Northern Trust competes on both of BNY's core fronts — asset servicing for institutional investors and wealth management for wealthy families — though on a smaller scale.

P/E: 14.2Score: 65Market cap: $891.00B

JPMorgan's Securities Services division bids for the same global custody, fund accounting and collateral-management mandates, and its clearing arm competes with BNY's Pershing.

P/E: 17.3Score: 74Market cap: $216.65B

Citi's Securities Services business is one of the four largest global custodians and is BNY's main rival where clients need custody and sub-custody across many emerging markets.

P/E: 16.5Score: 73Market cap: $158.48B

Schwab Advisor Services competes head-on with BNY's Pershing unit for the custody and clearing business of independent financial advisers and broker-dealers in the United States.

Fidelity Investments (FMR LLC)Not tracked

Fidelity's institutional arm provides custody and clearing to thousands of registered investment advisers, the same client base Pershing serves, and it is privately held.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$21.37B

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Net Income

$6.30B

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Free Cash Flow

$5.18B

Total Equity

$44.31B

Total Liabilities

$427.49B

Current Ratio

-

Interest Coverage

0.90

Debt/EBITDA

-

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

BankOvervalued

Fair Value

$117.30

Current Price

$145.27

Margin of Safety

-23.9%

Fair Value Range

$77.81 - $156.78

Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.

Estimation Methods

Analyst price target:$162.63
Discounted cash flow (DCF):Not applicable to this type of company
Earnings multiple (P/E):$136.33
Graham growth formula:Not applicable to this type of company
Earnings power value (EPV):Not applicable to this type of company
Justified P/B:$113.12
Dividend discount (Gordon):$40.70
P/FFO, funds from operations:Not applicable to this type of company
Mid-cycle earnings:Not applicable to this type of company
Revenue multiple:Not applicable to this type of company
Last Earnings Surprise:+3.55%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

16.93

ROE

12.5%

P/B Ratio

2.21

P/FCF

61.91

Gross Margin

-

ROIC

-

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

-

WACC

10.4%

ROIC − WACC

-

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (13)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 7.05%
  • Price CAGR 11.26%
  • P/B ratio 2.21
  • Operating margin 22.1%
  • Positive free cash flow
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • ROE 14.8%
  • Earnings surprise, average 8.1%
  • PEG ratio 1.09
  • Share dilution -4.0%
  • Net margin trend 29.5% vs 25.8%
  • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

Failed (8)

  • P/FCF 61.91
  • Debt/equity ratio
  • CapEx intensity
  • Interest coverage
  • Return on tangible assets
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Earnings quality (operating cash flow / net income) 0.57

Unavailable (6)

  • ROIC –
  • Gross margin –
  • Dividend payout –
  • Current ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Revenue growth 5Y

Piotroski F-Score

5/9

Mixed signals: some areas need attention

ROA > 0
Operating cash flow > 0
ΔROA > 0
Cash flow > net income
Leverage ↓
Current ratio ↑
No dilution
Gross margin ↑
Asset turnover ↑

Earnings Quality

0.57

Moderate: some gap between profits and cash

Share Dilution

-4.0%

Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly

Institutional Holdings

No institutional filings reported for this company.

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. Robin Antony VincePresident, CEO & Chairman of the Board54
Mr. Dermot William McDonoghSenior Executive VP & CFO61
Mr. Jose Manuel MinayaSenior EVP and Global Head of BNY Investments & Wealth53
Mr. J. Kevin McCarthy J.D.Senior EVP & General Counsel60
Ms. Jayee Xu KoffeySenior EVP & Chief Global Affairs Officer44
Mr. Alejandro PerezChief Operating Officer53
Ms. Leigh-Ann RussellChief Information Officer & Global Head of Engineering50
Mr. Marius MerzHead of Investor Relations & Corporate Development and Co-Head of Business Finance-
Mr. Brian A. RuaneSenior EVP & Global Head of Clearance and Collateral Management, Credit Services & Corporate Trust-
Mr. John M. RoyExecutive VP & Chief Operating Officer of Corporate Treasury-

Audit Risk

1

Board Risk

7

Compensation Risk

10

Shareholder Rights Risk

3

Documents

  • Annual Report (10-K)

    A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.

    Filed on 2026-02-25

    View document
  • Quarterly Report (10-Q)

    A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.

    Filed on 2026-07-31

    View document
  • Current Report (8-K)

    An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.

    Filed on 2026-10-15

    View document

via SEC EDGAR

Income History

via SEC EDGAR

Part 2 · The price and its context

This part shows how the price has behaved, not whether the company is worth owning. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Market Reaction Profile

How much BNY moves, measured on its daily prices.

VolatilityLow

More volatile than 11% of the tracked stocks (90-day volatility).

Volatility 30d
20.2%
Volatility 90d
21.7%
Beta vs S&P 500 (1y)
0.74Correlation 0.44
Max drawdown (12m)
-16.5%
ATR (14d, % of price)
2.19%

Earnings reactions

How BNY moved around its past quarterly results.

Next earnings release

Jan 15, 2027 · In 83 days · Before the open

EPS estimate: 2.35Revenue estimate: $5.7B

What usually happens

  • Over the last 12 releases the stock moved a median of 2.1% the next day, up or down.
  • Next-day moves: up 8, down 4 (out of 12).
  • Of the 5 releases that beat estimates, the stock fell the next day after 1.

Release history

DateWhen EPS est.EPS actualSurprise Gap 1 day5 days
Oct 15, 2026Before the open2.262.37+4.8% +1.6% +3.2% +6.0%
Jul 15, 2026During the session2.242.46+9.6% +1.3% +5.1% +2.8%
Apr 16, 2026During the session1.952.25+15.5% +2.1% +2.2% +3.0%
Jan 13, 2026During the session2.002.08+3.8% +0.5% +1.9% 0.0%
Oct 16, 2025During the session1.791.91+6.8% -1.1% -2.0% -1.7%
Jul 15, 2025During the sessionn/an/an/a-1.6% -0.1% +3.5%
Apr 11, 2025During the sessionn/an/an/a-3.9% +1.4% -0.4%
Jan 15, 2025During the sessionn/an/an/a+4.2% +8.0% +11.0%
Oct 11, 2024During the sessionn/an/an/a+1.0% -0.4% +4.4%
Jul 12, 2024During the sessionn/an/an/a+2.7% +5.2% +3.3%
Apr 16, 2024During the sessionn/an/an/a+0.5% -2.0% +3.8%
Jan 12, 2024During the sessionn/an/an/a+4.3% +4.0% +4.4%

Release dates from SEC 8-K filings.

Updated 10/24/2026

Historical statistics for educational purposes only. They are not forecasts and not investment advice.

Price reaction to the news

Latest news on BNY and what the price did next.

Return of the stock minus return of SPY over the same days. A news item close to a price move did not necessarily cause it. Historical data for educational purposes only, not investment advice.

Latest News

Recent headlines for BNY.

  • 3/3/2026POSITIVE
    BNY CIO Leigh-Ann Russell on Upskilling Employees with AI, Internal AI Platform

    Leigh-Ann Russell, CIO and Global Head of Engineering at The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation (BNY Mellon), recently outlined the company's strategy for integrating artificial intelligence (AI) and upskilling its employees. Speaking at the Bloomberg Invest conference in New York, Russell highlighted the importance of an internal AI platform and staff training programs. This initiative underscores BNY Mellon's commitment to technological innovation, a crucial factor for maintaining a competitive edge in the rapidly evolving financial sector. Investors should view this move as a positive signal, indicating forward-thinking management aiming to enhance operational efficiency and drive long-term growth through the strategic adoption of cutting-edge technologies.