Corpay Inc (CPAY)
Fair ValueFundamental
68
Price
$408.46
Market Cap
$26.76B
Part 1 · What the company is worth
Overview
Corpay (formerly FLEETCOR, NYSE: CPAY) is a US-based corporate payments company that helps businesses control and pay their expenses. It issues payment cards and runs payment platforms for four kinds of business spending: fuel and vehicle costs for fleets, supplier invoices and cross-border payments for finance departments, hotel rooms booked in bulk by companies and airlines, and smaller programs such as gift and payroll cards. It operates on four continents and reports four segments: Vehicle Payments, Corporate Payments, Lodging Payments and Other. Consolidated revenue was $4.53 billion in fiscal 2025, up about 14% on 2024.
How it makes money
Corpay does not sell software by subscription so much as it earns a slice of the money that passes through it. The filing describes several streams: transaction and processing fees charged to customers and merchants; interchange income earned when its cards are used, including on its own proprietary networks; spread on foreign-exchange and cross-border transactions; interest (float) earned on customer money held before it is paid out; and late fees and finance charges on outstanding card balances. Revenue is therefore volume-driven and recurring: it rises with the number of transactions, with fuel prices and with cross-border volumes, and the float portion moves with interest rates.
Revenue by segment
Fuel cards, toll, parking and fleet maintenance payment programs sold to companies that run vehicle fleets, plus the related data and spend controls. Revenue was $2,138.7 million in fiscal 2025.
Accounts-payable automation, virtual cards, cross-border and foreign-exchange payments and travel-and-expense cards, sold to finance departments of mid-size and large companies. Revenue was $1,635.1 million in fiscal 2025 and this is the fastest-growing segment.
Booking and payment of hotel rooms bought in bulk, mainly for travelling workforces, airline crews and passengers stranded by cancellations, and for insurance-funded stays. Revenue was $469.5 million in fiscal 2025 and fell against 2024.
Residual businesses that are not part of the three main platforms, chiefly gift-card and payroll-card programs. Revenue was $285.1 million in fiscal 2025.
Competitive moat
Network effects · NarrowThe 10-K argues the company's advantage comes from proprietary closed-loop networks: Corpay contracts directly with fuel merchants and hotels, so it captures data at the point of sale that an open card network does not see, and it keeps the economics of both sides of the transaction. Scale across four continents and payment programs that sit inside a customer's payables or fleet workflow make the product awkward to rip out. The advantage is real but not absolute: fuel cards, AP automation and virtual cards are all contested by banks, fintechs and the card networks themselves, and growth has depended heavily on acquisitions.
What drives demand
Moderately cyclicalDemand follows business activity rather than consumer sentiment, and the filing notes that business customers tend to have relatively predictable, consistent volumes — companies keep fuelling trucks and paying suppliers in most conditions. But the revenue is not insulated: fleet fuel volumes and fuel prices, cross-border trade flows, corporate travel and the hotel nights bought by airlines all soften in a downturn, and the float component shrinks when interest rates fall, as management flagged for Corporate Payments in 2025.
Key risks
- Credit losses on customer receivables — Corpay extends credit to business customers when they use its cards and settles with merchants before being paid. The filing lists the management of credit risk, the adequacy of the allowance for losses, and the ability to keep securitising receivables among its risks: a deterioration in customers' finances would show up directly in losses and in funding capacity.
- Fraud, data breaches and system outages — The company holds payment credentials and customer funds and processes transactions continuously. It discloses risks from fraud and cybersecurity incidents, and from disruption of its computer systems and data centres; an incident could mean direct losses, remediation cost and loss of customer trust.
- Regulation, supervision and pending litigation — The filing cites regulatory supervision and litigation with the Federal Trade Commission, plus obligations on privacy and data protection and on anti-money-laundering and counter-terrorism rules across many countries. Changes in these rules, or an adverse outcome, could force changes to fee practices.
- Dependence on partners and merchants — Much of the business runs through relationships with fuel merchants, hotels, card networks and distribution partners. The 10-K lists the retention and performance of these partners among its risks: losing a large network relationship would remove volume the company does not originate on its own.
- Acquisitions and their integration — Growth has come partly from purchases — the filing names the AvidXchange and Alpha transactions — and discloses risks around integrating acquired businesses and executing the growth strategy, together with remediation of internal control weaknesses.
- Macroeconomic conditions, currencies and trade policy — The company discloses exposure to macroeconomic conditions and market volatility, to international operations and currency movements, to global conflicts and to changes in tariffs and trade policy — all of which move the transaction volumes it earns on.
Customer concentration
The annual report we read does not state a percentage of revenue attributable to the largest customer or customers, and no single-customer concentration disclosure was found. What the filing does flag is dependence on partners: the retention and performance of merchants, hotels, card networks and distribution partners appears among its risk factors, so the exposure is more to a handful of large network relationships than to one end customer.
The case for
Buyers argue that Corpay sits on payment rails businesses cannot easily leave, earning a small fee on an enormous and repeating flow of corporate spending, and that the mix is shifting towards its best part: Corporate Payments grew revenue about 34% in 2025 and now supplies roughly a third of the group, against a fuel-card business that is steadier but slower. They point to a record $4.53 billion of revenue, a company that converts a high share of it into operating profit, proprietary networks that capture data and economics an open card scheme does not, and a management team that has repeatedly bought and folded in new payment businesses.
The case against
Sellers fear that the engine is slower than it looks once acquisitions are stripped out: nearly half of revenue still comes from Vehicle Payments, tied to fuel volumes and fuel prices in a fleet market that is electrifying, while Lodging Payments shrank in 2025. They worry about the quality of the earnings — part of it is float interest that falls with rates, and part is late fees and card charges that regulators and the FTC litigation named in the filing have put under scrutiny. They also point to the debt and integration work that acquisitions such as AvidXchange bring, to the internal control remediation disclosed in the filing, and to competition from banks, card networks and fintechs in exactly the accounts-payable and cross-border niches the company is counting on for growth.
Generated with artificial intelligence on September 18, 2026, shared with all users
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
Generated with artificial intelligence on September 18, 2026, shared with all users
American Express competes for corporate card and B2B supplier payment volume, and through its travel arm for the managed hotel spend that Corpay's Lodging Payments business books.
WEX is the other large US fleet- and fuel-card network, selling the same closed-loop payment cards and spend controls to the same commercial vehicle fleets that Corpay's Vehicle Payments segment serves.
Edenred competes with Corpay on fuel cards, toll payments (Repom) and employee benefit cards, above all in Europe and Brazil, where both fight for the same corporate fleet and payroll-benefit accounts.
BILL sells accounts-payable automation and virtual-card payments to small and mid-sized businesses, the same buyers and the same spend that Corpay's Corporate Payments segment targets.
Convera provides cross-border payments and currency risk management to mid-market companies, the same service Corpay sells through its cross-border business.
DKV Mobility runs one of the largest European fuel- and toll-card networks for road transport operators, competing head-on with Corpay's European fleet card offering.
Balance Sheet & Liquidity
Revenue
$5.02B
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Net Income
$1.14B
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Free Cash Flow
$1.30B
Total Equity
$3.88B
Total Liabilities
$22.48B
Current Ratio
0.97
Interest Coverage
5.02
Debt/EBITDA
6.35
Earnings Per Share
Revenue & Net Income
Free Cash Flow
Income Breakdown
Historical statement
Margins over time
Debt over time
How heavy the debt is
Growth grid
Growth — Revenue
Fair Value Estimation
Fair Value
$468.49
Current Price
$408.46
Margin of Safety
+12.8%
Fair Value Range
$304.52 - $632.46
Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.
Estimation Methods
Valuation Metrics
P/E Ratio
24.88
ROE
27.5%
P/B Ratio
7.57
P/FCF
16.37
Gross Margin
-
ROIC
15.4%
Profitability Radar
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
15.4%
WACC
7.0%
ROIC − WACC
+8.4 pp
ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.
Fundamental Analysis Criteria
Passed (16)
- EPS shows upward trend
- EPS CAGR 17.56%
- Price CAGR 10.76%
- ROIC 15.4%
- P/FCF 16.37
- Operating margin 43.7%
- Positive free cash flow
- CapEx intensity
- Current ratio
- Interest coverage
- Return on tangible assets
- ROE 30.4%
- Revenue growth 5Y 13.6%
- PEG ratio 1.79
- Earnings quality (operating cash flow / net income) 1.62
- Share dilution -0.9%
Failed (9)
- P/B ratio 7.57
- Debt/equity ratio
- Debt/EBITDA
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
- Earnings surprise, average 1.7%
- Net margin trend 22.7% vs 25.2%
- Piotroski F-Score 4/9
Unavailable (2)
- Gross margin –
- Dividend payout –
Piotroski F-Score
Mixed signals: some areas need attention
Earnings Quality
High quality: earnings backed by cash
Share Dilution
Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly
Institutional Holdings
Governance
Executive Team
| Name | Title | Age |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Ronald F. Clarke | Chairman, President & CEO | 69 |
| Mr. Peter Walker CPA | Chief Financial Officer | 52 |
| Ms. Alissa B. Vickery | Chief Accounting Officer | 46 |
| Mr. Armando Lins Netto | Group President of Brazil Vehicle Payments & Strategic Transformation | 57 |
| Mr. Alan King | Group President of Vehicle Payments in UK, Europe, Australasia and Mexico | 48 |
| Mr. Scott A. Dufour | Global Chief Information Officer | 56 |
| Mr. James P. Eglseder | Senior Vice President of Global Investor Relations | - |
| Mr. Steve C. Greene | Executive Vice President of Corporate Development & Strategy | 50 |
| Mr. Chris Byrne | Chief Marketing Officer | - |
| Ms. Crystal Williams | Chief Human Resources Officer | - |
Audit Risk
10
Board Risk
10
Compensation Risk
10
Shareholder Rights Risk
2
Documents
- View document
Annual Report (10-K)
A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.
Filed on 2026-02-27
- View document
Quarterly Report (10-Q)
A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.
Filed on 2026-08-10
- View document
Current Report (8-K)
An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.
Filed on 2026-08-05
via SEC EDGAR
Income History
via SEC EDGAR
Part 2 · The price and its context
This part shows how the price has behaved, not whether the company is worth owning. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.
Market Reaction Profile
How much CPAY moves, measured on its daily prices.
More volatile than 23% of the tracked stocks (90-day volatility).
- Volatility 30d
- 19.9%
- Volatility 90d
- 26.0%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (1y)
- 0.81Correlation 0.28
- Max drawdown (12m)
- -20.2%
- ATR (14d, % of price)
- 2.26%
Earnings reactions
How CPAY moved around its past quarterly results.
Next earnings release
Nov 4, 2026 · In 11 days · Time not known
EPS estimate: 7.20Revenue estimate: $1.4B
What usually happens
- Over the last 12 releases the stock moved a median of 5.8% the next day, up or down.
- Next-day moves: up 7, down 5 (out of 12).
Release history
| Date | When | EPS est. | EPS actual | Surprise | Gap | 1 day | 5 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 2026 | After the close | 6.71 | 7.00 | +4.4% | -1.4% | +1.0% | +3.8% |
| May 7, 2026 | After the close | 5.58 | 5.80 | +3.9% | +6.3% | +12.5% | +7.7% |
| Feb 4, 2026 | After the close | 6.06 | 6.04 | -0.4% | +8.0% | +11.6% | +15.4% |
| Nov 5, 2025 | After the close | 5.75 | 5.70 | -1.0% | +3.7% | +6.2% | +9.6% |
| Aug 6, 2025 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | +1.0% | -3.4% | +0.5% |
| May 6, 2025 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | -2.9% | -0.1% | +8.7% |
| Feb 5, 2025 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | -2.7% | +0.2% | -5.5% |
| Nov 7, 2024 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | +2.7% | +5.6% | +6.9% |
| Aug 7, 2024 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | +3.3% | +5.9% | +6.6% |
| May 8, 2024 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | -5.1% | -7.0% | -8.4% |
| Feb 7, 2024 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | -7.4% | -9.2% | -6.7% |
| Nov 8, 2023 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | -1.1% | -2.9% | +0.1% |
Release dates from SEC 8-K filings.
Updated 10/24/2026
Historical statistics for educational purposes only. They are not forecasts and not investment advice.
Price reaction to the news
Latest news on CPAY and what the price did next.
Return of the stock minus return of SPY over the same days. A news item close to a price move did not necessarily cause it. Historical data for educational purposes only, not investment advice.
Latest News
Recent headlines for CPAY.