Daimler Truck Holding AG (DTGHF)
POSITIVEFundamental
70
Price
$47.36
Market Cap
$35.08B
Part 1 · What the company is worth
Overview
Daimler Truck builds and sells heavy trucks and buses under brands including Freightliner, Western Star and Mercedes-Benz. Spun off from Mercedes-Benz Group in 2021, it makes money selling the vehicles themselves and, through a captive finance arm, financing and leasing them to the fleets and operators that buy them. North America and Europe are its two largest markets.
How it makes money
Revenue is booked when a truck or bus is delivered to a dealer or fleet customer, so it tracks the industry-wide replacement cycle for commercial vehicles rather than steady consumption. A smaller, steadier stream comes from financial services — loans and leases on the vehicles Daimler Truck itself sold — and from parts and service, which holds up better than new-vehicle sales when the market slows.
Revenue by segment
Heavy trucks sold mainly in Europe and Latin America under the Mercedes-Benz brand.
Freightliner and Western Star trucks sold in the United States, Canada and Mexico — historically the group's largest and most cyclical market.
City, intercity and coach buses sold under the Mercedes-Benz and Setra brands, mostly in Europe and Latin America.
Trucks sold under the Fuso and BharatBenz brands across Japan, India and other Asian markets.
What drives demand
CyclicalTruck orders follow freight volumes and haulage rates: when shippers have more goods to move and can charge more for it, fleets buy new trucks; when freight demand slumps, as it did through 2025, orders can fall for several quarters even after the freight market itself starts to recover, because fleets first work through excess capacity.
Key risks
- Prolonged freight-market downturn — The company reported that the 2025 freight recession lasted longer than it had anticipated, with North American heavy-duty unit sales down sharply year over year, showing how quickly a soft freight market can cut into truck demand.
- US tariff exposure — Daimler Truck recorded roughly €250 million of tariff-related costs in 2025, concentrated in North America, which by the company's own account cut its return on sales by more than a full percentage point.
- Regional concentration and market cyclicality — North America and Europe together account for the large majority of unit sales, so a downturn in either region — as seen with the 6% decline in the European heavy-duty market in 2025 — has an outsized effect on group results.
The case for
Buyers argue that Daimler Truck's roughly 40% share of the North American Class 8 market gives it pricing power once the freight cycle turns, and that its size lets it absorb a tough year like 2025 while smaller rivals struggle more.
The case against
Sellers fear that the freight recession has already lasted longer than management expected, that US tariffs keep eating into North American margins, and that a business this dependent on two cyclical regions offers little shelter when both slow down at once.
Written by the editors, published on August 18, 2026
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
No editorial profile for this company yet
No competitor list for this company yet.
Balance Sheet & Liquidity
Revenue
$44.47B
Trailing 12 months to the last reported quarter — estimated from per-share metrics
Net Income
$2.55B
Trailing 12 months to the last reported quarter — estimated from per-share metrics
Free Cash Flow
$5.42B
Total Equity
$22.57B
Total Liabilities
$29.14B
Current Ratio
1.70
Interest Coverage
-
Debt/EBITDA
7.76
Earnings Per Share
Revenue & Net Income
Free Cash Flow
Income Breakdown
Historical statement
Margins over time
Debt over time
How heavy the debt is
Growth grid
Growth — Revenue
Fair Value Estimation
Fair Value
$49.87
Current Price
$47.36
Margin of Safety
+5.0%
Fair Value Range
$32.41 - $67.32
Estimation Methods
Valuation Metrics
P/E Ratio
13.84
ROE
5.0%
P/B Ratio
1.57
P/FCF
6.47
Gross Margin
17.9%
ROIC
4.8%
Profitability Radar
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
4.8%
WACC
5.0%
ROIC − WACC
-0.2 pp
ROIC is roughly in line with the cost of capital — the company is barely covering its capital cost.
Fundamental Analysis Criteria
Passed (13)
- Price CAGR 7.68%
- P/FCF 6.47
- P/B Ratio 1.57
- Debt/Equity ratio
- Operating Margin 5.6%
- Positive Free Cash Flow
- Current Ratio
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Undervalued)
- ROE 11.7%
- Analyst Consensus 70% Buy
- Earnings Surprise avg 8.8%
- Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.93
Failed (7)
- ROIC 4.8%
- Gross Margin 17.9%
- CapEx intensity
- Debt/EBITDA
- Revenue Growth 5Y 4.8%
- Net Margin Trend 4.0% vs 5.4%
- Piotroski F-Score 2/9
Unavailable (7)
- EPS data insufficient
- Dividend Payout NaN%
- Interest Coverage
- Return on Tangible Assets
- Low reliance on intangibles
- PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
- Share Dilution (missing shares data)
Piotroski F-Score
Serious financial concerns
Earnings Quality
High quality: earnings backed by cash
Share Dilution
Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly
Governance
Executive Team
| Name | Title | Age |
|---|---|---|
| Ms. Karin Radstrom | President, CEO & Member of the Board of Management | 46 |
| Ms. Eva Scherer | CFO, Finance & Controlling and Member of the Management Board | 42 |
| Mr. Jurgen Hartwig | Human Resource Officer, Labor Director & Member of the Board of Management | 58 |
| Mr. John O'Leary | Member of the Board of Management | 65 |
| Dr. Andreas Gorbach | Member of the Board of Management | 50 |
| Mr. Achim Puchert | Member of the Board of Management | 46 |
| Mr. Raghavendra Vaidya | Chief Information Officer | - |
| Mr. Marcus Poppe | Head of Investor Relations | - |
| Dr. Florian Hofer | Chief Legal & Compliance Officer | - |
| Mr. Thomas Hovermann | Head of Corporate Communications | - |
Audit Risk
5
Board Risk
6
Compensation Risk
3
Shareholder Rights Risk
1
Part 2 · The price and when to enter
This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.
Latest News
Recent headlines for DTGHF, sourced from Markets Gazette.