First Financial Bancorp. (FFBC)
Fair ValueFundamental
63
Price
$32.64
Market Cap
$3.33B
Part 1 · What the company is worth
Overview
First Financial Bancorp is a regional bank holding company headquartered in Cincinnati, Ohio, providing comprehensive financial services through its wholly-owned subsidiary First Financial Bank (founded 1863). The company operates primarily across Ohio, Indiana, Kentucky, and Illinois, delivering commercial banking, real estate lending, consumer financing, and wealth management services. As of December 31, 2025, the company had $21.1 billion in assets, $13.4 billion in loans, $16.4 billion in deposits, and approximately 2,199 employees.
How it makes money
First Financial generates revenue primarily through net interest income from commercial loans, consumer loans, residential mortgages, and deposits, supplemented by noninterest income from wealth management services, foreign exchange operations, insurance premium financing (Agile), equipment lease financing (Summit Funding Group), and other specialized lending services. Adjusted noninterest income reached a record $279.8 million in 2025, up 16%, driven by wealth management, foreign exchange, leasing, and mortgage income.
Revenue by segment
Commercial and industrial lending, working capital financing, long-term business financing, and equipment leasing through Summit Funding Group serving mid-market and small business customers.
Consumer and personal banking services including deposit products, consumer loans, vehicle loans, personal credit lines, and cash management services for individual customers.
Commercial real estate lending for income-producing properties and investor financing, representing approximately 28% of total loan portfolio.
Residential mortgage lending for one- to four-family properties, home equity lines of credit, and mortgage origination services.
Specialized lending platforms including insurance premium financing (Agile Premium Finance), franchise financing, and foreign exchange services (Bannockburn), operating nationally beyond the company's core geographic footprint.
Portfolio management, investment advisory services, trust services, and financial planning for affluent individuals and institutions, generating recurring fee-based income.
Competitive moat
Patents and licences · NarrowFirst Financial's competitive advantage is built on specialized expertise in niche lending verticals (insurance premium financing through Agile, equipment leasing through Summit, foreign exchange through Bannockburn) and established relationships in Midwest regional markets. These platforms operate nationally, generating higher-margin revenue streams beyond the company's core banking centers. However, the moat is narrow because specialty lending platforms are replicable by larger competitors, the regional banking model faces pressure from national and fintech competitors, and customer relationships in commercial lending are frequently transferable. The company does not possess durable advantages in brand recognition, pricing power, or switching costs that would constitute a wide moat.
What drives demand
CyclicalFirst Financial's revenue and credit quality are cyclical, driven by the economic cycle in its Midwest markets. During expansions, business lending demand increases, real estate values rise, mortgage activity accelerates, and specialty lending volumes (insurance premiums, franchise activity) expand. During recessions, loan demand contracts, credit losses rise, real estate values decline, and deposit volatility increases. Interest rate cycles also create cyclicality: rising rates improve net interest margins initially but later compress them as loan yields saturate and deposit competition intensifies. The company's specialty lending platforms (Agile, Bannockburn, Summit) introduce additional cyclicality tied to insurance underwriting cycles, foreign exchange volatility, and equipment capital expenditure cycles.
Key risks
- Credit Risk and Loan Portfolio Deterioration — The company faces exposure to borrower defaults across commercial, real estate, and consumer loan segments. Commercial real estate lending (28% of portfolio) is particularly vulnerable to economic downturns, property value declines, and construction industry stress. Consumer lending quality depends on employment stability and income growth in the served regions.
- Interest Rate Risk and Net Interest Margin Compression — A prolonged low-interest-rate environment compresses net interest margins (the spread between rates earned on assets and rates paid on deposits). As a regional bank dependent on net interest income, sustained margin compression directly impacts profitability. Rising rates conversely create refinancing pressure and asset quality risks.
- Geographic and Economic Concentration — First Financial's operations are concentrated in four Midwest states (Ohio, Indiana, Kentucky, Illinois), creating exposure to regional economic shocks, unemployment trends, and industry-specific downturns. A severe recession in these markets would disproportionately impact loan demand, credit quality, and deposit stability across the entire company.
- Regulatory Compliance and Capital Requirements — As a bank holding company, First Financial operates under extensive federal and state banking regulations, including capital adequacy standards (CET1, Tier 1, Total capital ratios), liquidity requirements, stress testing, and compliance examinations. Regulatory changes or more stringent capital requirements could increase compliance costs and limit the company's ability to deploy capital for acquisitions or shareholder distributions.
- Competitive Pressure and Market Share Loss — The banking industry faces intense competition from larger regional and national banks with superior scale and pricing power, credit unions offering competitive deposit rates, and fintech disruptors with lower cost structures. Margin pressure from pricing competition and inability to match service innovation could result in market share loss and revenue decline.
- Cybersecurity and Data Breach Risk — As a financial institution holding sensitive customer data and managing payment systems, First Financial faces ongoing threats from cyberattacks, data breaches, ransomware, and system failures. A successful breach could compromise customer information, disrupt operations, trigger regulatory penalties, damage reputation, and result in litigation and customer loss.
Customer concentration
First Financial does not disclose a single largest customer or borrower by name or concentration percentage. The company manages lending portfolios to avoid inappropriate industry, geographic, or borrower concentration risk. However, commercial real estate lending (28% of portfolio) and commercial/industrial lending create higher per-customer exposure in those segments. Consumer lending segments (residential mortgages, home equity, installment loans, credit cards) are inherently more granular with numerous smaller borrowers, limiting individual customer concentration in those lines. The company's risk management framework emphasizes portfolio-level diversification rather than customer-level concentration limits.
The case for
Buyers argue that First Financial offers compelling value through its diversified specialty lending platforms (Agile Premium Finance, Bannockburn foreign exchange, Summit equipment leasing) that generate higher-margin revenue streams operating nationally beyond the core banking footprint. The company achieved record 2025 revenue of $921.8 million (8% growth) and adjusted noninterest income of $279.8 million (16% growth), demonstrating the strength of these fee-based businesses. Operational leverage is significant: 2,199 employees support a $21.1 billion balance sheet, creating room for margin expansion if efficiency ratios improve. The Mid-Atlantic and Midwest regional banking sector remains consolidation-rich, positioning FFBC as both an acquisition target and a potential acquirer of smaller competitors. Wealth management services offer stable, recurring fee income with secular tailwinds as high-net-worth individuals seek advisory services. A stable core deposit base ($16.4 billion) provides low-cost funding and cross-sell opportunities.
The case against
Sellers fear that First Financial faces headwinds from its structural exposure to Midwest regional economics. A recession disproportionately affecting Ohio, Indiana, Kentucky, and Illinois would immediately stress both loan demand and credit quality. Commercial real estate lending (28% of portfolio) is especially vulnerable to falling property values and refinancing stress; construction loans and owner-occupied CRE are sensitive to business investment cycles. Interest rate sensitivity is acute: the company achieved its record earnings amid elevated rates (2025 benefited from 5%+ fed funds rate); a 2-3 year decline to 3% would compress net interest margins significantly and erode the bulk of earnings growth. Mid-sized regional banks like FFBC compete on unfavorable terms against larger national competitors (JPMorgan, Bank of America, Wells Fargo) that offer scale, technology investment, and pricing power, and against fintech disruptors (SoFi, LendingClub, Revolut) with lower cost structures. Specialty lending platforms (Agile, Bannockburn, Summit) are high-margin but cyclical and vulnerable to underwriting losses in downturns—insurance underwriting cycles, FX volatility, and equipment lease impairment are unpredictable earnings drivers. Regulatory burden continues to increase, constraining profitability and capital deployment. At mid-sized scale (~$21B assets), the company lacks the diversification and pricing power of mega-cap banks but cannot match the agility and cost structure of pure-play fintech.
Generated with artificial intelligence on September 21, 2026, shared with all users
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
Generated with artificial intelligence on September 18, 2026, shared with all users
An Indiana-based commercial bank of almost identical size that lends to the same middle-market businesses and gathers the same retail deposits across Indiana, Ohio and Illinois.
Headquartered in the same city, it holds the largest share of Cincinnati deposits and competes directly with First Financial for the region's commercial lending and wealth management clients.
A Louisville bank that has pushed into the Cincinnati and Indianapolis metro areas, targeting the same closely held businesses and trust clients in Kentucky, Ohio and Indiana.
A regional bank whose branch network overlaps First Financial's in Ohio, Kentucky and Indiana, competing for the same commercial real estate lending and deposit relationships.
An Ohio community-banking group that competes branch by branch for the same small-business and retail customers in Cincinnati and central Ohio.
An Ohio bank with a very similar mix of community branches plus equipment leasing and insurance-premium finance, the same specialty niches First Financial built with Summit Funding and Agile Premium Finance.
Balance Sheet & Liquidity
Revenue
$1.01B
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Net Income
$285M
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Free Cash Flow
$317M
Total Equity
$2.77B
Total Liabilities
$18.36B
Current Ratio
-
Interest Coverage
0.50
Debt/EBITDA
-
Earnings Per Share
Revenue & Net Income
Free Cash Flow
Income Breakdown
Historical statement
Margins over time
Debt over time
Growth grid
Growth — Revenue
Fair Value Estimation
Fair Value
$28.97
Current Price
$32.64
Margin of Safety
-12.6%
Fair Value Range
$22.35 - $35.60
Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.
Estimation Methods
Valuation Metrics
P/E Ratio
11.53
ROE
9.2%
P/B Ratio
1.15
P/FCF
4.53
Gross Margin
-
ROIC
-
Profitability Radar
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
-
WACC
11.2%
ROIC − WACC
-
Fundamental Analysis Criteria
Passed (14)
- P/FCF 4.53
- P/B ratio 1.15
- Operating margin 35.5%
- Positive free cash flow
- CapEx intensity
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Price below Graham Number
- ROE 10.1%
- Revenue growth 5Y 11.9%
- Earnings surprise, average 2.9%
- PEG ratio 1.07
- Earnings quality (operating cash flow / net income) 2.78
- Share dilution 0.8%
- Net margin trend 28.3% vs 28.0%
Failed (8)
- EPS shows upward trend
- EPS CAGR -3.60%
- Price CAGR 0.93%
- Debt/equity ratio
- Interest coverage
- Return on tangible assets
- DCF valuation (Fairly Valued)
- Piotroski F-Score 4/9
Unavailable (5)
- ROIC –
- Gross margin –
- Dividend payout –
- Current ratio
- Debt/EBITDA
Piotroski F-Score
Mixed signals: some areas need attention
Earnings Quality
High quality: earnings backed by cash
Share Dilution
Share count is stable
Institutional Holdings
Governance
Executive Team
| Name | Title | Age |
|---|---|---|
| Ms. Karen Ball Woods J.D. | Executive VP, General Counsel, Chief Administrative Officer & Corporate Secretary | 57 |
| Mr. Richard S. Dennen CPA | Executive VP & Chief Corporate Banking Officer | 58 |
| Mr. Jacob Holbrook | Commercial Banking President | - |
| Mr. Matthew D. Reckman | Chief Commercial Banking Officer | 46 |
| Mr. Scott T. Crawley CPA | Senior VP & Controller | 44 |
Audit Risk
4
Board Risk
4
Compensation Risk
1
Shareholder Rights Risk
7
Documents
- View document
Annual Report (10-K)
A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.
Filed on 2026-02-19
- View document
Quarterly Report (10-Q)
A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.
Filed on 2026-08-06
- View document
Current Report (8-K)
An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.
Filed on 2026-09-15
via SEC EDGAR
Income History
via SEC EDGAR
Part 2 · The price and its context
This part shows how the price has behaved, not whether the company is worth owning. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.
Market Reaction Profile
How much FFBC moves, measured on its daily prices.
More volatile than 9% of the tracked stocks (90-day volatility).
- Volatility 30d
- 19.2%
- Volatility 90d
- 20.7%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (1y)
- 0.49Correlation 0.27
- Max drawdown (12m)
- -15.0%
- ATR (14d, % of price)
- 1.97%
Earnings reactions
How FFBC moved around its past quarterly results.
Next earnings release
Oct 27, 2026 · In 3 days · After the close
EPS estimate: 0.83Revenue estimate: $271M
What usually happens
- Over the last 12 releases the stock moved a median of 4.0% the next day, up or down.
- Next-day moves: up 5, down 7 (out of 12).
Release history
| Date | When | EPS est. | EPS actual | Surprise | Gap | 1 day | 5 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2026 | After the close | 0.79 | 0.73 | -7.3% | -6.8% | -4.8% | -5.3% |
| Apr 23, 2026 | After the close | 0.66 | 0.71 | +8.0% | +3.1% | +2.4% | +1.4% |
| Jan 28, 2026 | After the close | 0.57 | 0.64 | +13.1% | -0.8% | +5.9% | +10.7% |
| Oct 23, 2025 | After the close | 0.77 | 0.75 | -2.2% | -0.1% | -0.9% | -3.2% |
| Jul 24, 2025 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | +2.5% | +4.3% | +1.7% |
| Apr 24, 2025 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | -3.3% | -4.5% | -2.7% |
| Jan 23, 2025 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | +1.1% | -0.9% | -0.5% |
| Oct 24, 2024 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | -2.0% | -4.1% | +0.6% |
| Jul 25, 2024 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | +2.6% | +3.8% | -3.3% |
| Apr 25, 2024 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | +2.0% | +0.9% | +3.2% |
| Jan 25, 2024 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | -1.1% | -1.7% | -3.9% |
| Oct 24, 2023 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | -0.6% | -6.5% | -0.4% |
Release dates from SEC 8-K filings.
Updated 10/24/2026
Historical statistics for educational purposes only. They are not forecasts and not investment advice.
Price reaction to the news
Latest news on FFBC and what the price did next.
Return of the stock minus return of SPY over the same days. A news item close to a price move did not necessarily cause it. Historical data for educational purposes only, not investment advice.
Latest News
Recent headlines for FFBC.
- 4/24/2026NEUTRALFull Transcript: First Financial Bancorp Q1 2026 Earnings Call
First Financial Bancorp has released the full transcript of its Q1 2026 Earnings Call. While the transcript provides detailed insights into the company's performance, strategic initiatives, and future outlook, it does not contain specific forward-looking guidance or immediate performance metrics that would suggest a significant shift in the stock's valuation. Investors should review the transcript for qualitative information regarding management's commentary on market conditions, operational efficiency, and growth opportunities, but the document itself is primarily informational.