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Genuine Parts Co (GPC)

Fair Value
Consumer CyclicalAuto PartsUnited States

Fundamental

39

Price

$123.02

Market Cap

$17.20B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

Genuine Parts Company is a distributor, not a manufacturer. It buys replacement parts from thousands of suppliers, holds them in a network of distribution centers and stores, and gets them to a repair shop or a factory within hours. The automotive side sells under the NAPA brand in the United States and Canada, under Alliance Automotive Group in Europe and under GPC Asia Pacific in Australia and New Zealand; the industrial side is Motion, which supplies bearings, hydraulics, conveyance and automation parts to manufacturers and other industrial plants in North America and Australasia. The 2025 10-K describes over 10,800 locations across these regions. The company has announced a plan to split the automotive and industrial businesses into two separate listed companies, targeted for the first quarter of 2027.

How it makes money

Revenue is the margin on parts sold, multiplied by an enormous number of small transactions. In the automotive segments the 10-K reports that roughly 80% of sales go to commercial 'Do-It-For-Me' customers — independent repair shops, dealerships, fleets — and roughly 20% to retail 'Do-It-Yourself' buyers. A large part of the store network is not owned by the company: in North America 6,864 automotive locations, of which about 35% are company-owned and 65% independently owned, so GPC earns wholesale distribution margin on the independents rather than retail margin. The industrial segment sells maintenance, repair and operations parts directly to more than 180,000 customers, with national accounts making up around 45% of that segment's sales, and adds services such as vendor-managed inventory and on-site repair.

Revenue by segment

North America Automotive Parts Group39%

The NAPA business in the United States and Canada: replacement parts distributed to company-owned and independent NAPA stores and to some 20,000 affiliated NAPA Auto Care repair centres. 2025 sales were $9.520 billion.

Industrial Parts Group37%

Motion, which distributes bearings, power transmission, hydraulic, conveyance and automation components, plus related services, to manufacturers and other industrial plants in North America and Australasia. 2025 sales were $8.922 billion.

International Automotive Parts Group24%

Alliance Automotive Group in Europe and GPC Asia Pacific in Australia and New Zealand, selling the same kind of replacement parts to repair shops and retail customers outside North America. 2025 sales were $5.859 billion.

Competitive moat

Scale · Narrow

What a repair shop buys is availability: a part in stock this morning, not a cheaper part on Thursday. That favours whoever has the densest network and the deepest local inventory, and GPC has built one — over 10,800 locations, and in North America a distribution web that individual suppliers or smaller rivals would need years and a lot of capital to replicate. The NAPA name carries real recognition with mechanics, and the NAPA Auto Care affiliation ties roughly 20,000 shops loosely to the network. But the advantage is narrow rather than wide: the parts themselves are commodities, the 10-K's own risk factors describe an industry where competitors' price cuts force matching price cuts, and dealer groups, e-commerce distributors and large retail chains contest the same customers.

What drives demand

Moderately cyclical

The two halves behave differently. Automotive replacement parts are close to defensive: a car that needs brakes needs brakes whatever the economy is doing, and in a weak year people repair the old car instead of buying a new one, which can help. The medium-term drivers are the size and average age of the vehicle fleet and the miles driven. The industrial half is more cyclical — Motion sells into manufacturing plants, so its volumes follow factory output and industrial capital spending, and orders can be deferred when plants slow down. Blended, the group is moderate: less volatile than a pure industrial distributor, more exposed than a consumer staple.

Key risks

  • A slowdown in demand for parts — The company states that its business will be adversely affected if demand for its products slows, and cites among the causes fewer miles driven and changes in travel patterns, as well as the spread of electric vehicles, which have fewer wearing parts than combustion engines.
  • Supply chain delays or interruptions — A distributor with nothing on the shelf has nothing to sell. The filing lists delays or interruptions in the supply chain as a risk that could harm the business, and separately flags that its supply chain modernisation programme requires substantial capital and could itself be delayed or disrupted.
  • Intense competition and price pressure — The filing describes both parts industries as substantially competitive, driven by name recognition, product availability, customer service and price. If competitors reduce prices the company may be forced to follow, with a material decline in revenues and earnings; consolidation among competitors and the growth of digital and e-commerce distributors are named explicitly.
  • Failure or breach of information systems — Operations depend on information systems, and the company discloses the risk of cyberattacks and security breaches, alongside the execution risk of its e-commerce platforms.
  • Bankruptcy or insolvency of significant customers or vendors — The company discloses that the bankruptcy or insolvency of a significant customer or vendor could adversely affect it — a risk that matters both for receivables from independent store owners and shops and for continuity of supply.
  • The announced separation may not complete or deliver its benefits — Among the disclosed risk factors is that the proposed separation of the automotive and industrial businesses may not be completed, or may not produce the intended benefits, alongside the broader risks of strategic transactions and the ongoing transformation plan.
  • Trade policy, legislation and regulation — Changes in legislation, regulation and international trade policy are disclosed as a risk. The company sources parts globally and operates in numerous countries outside the United States, including western Europe and Australasia, where geopolitical conflict is also named as a risk to operations.

Customer concentration

The filing does not disclose a top-customer percentage, and states that its commercial customer base is diverse with no specific customer type representing an outsized concentration of the business. The one figure it does give is within the industrial segment, where national account customers collectively account for around 45% of that segment's annual sales — a concentration of contract type rather than of a single buyer. The automotive side sells to thousands of independent stores, repair shops and retail buyers.

The case for

Buyers argue that parts distribution is a dull business that compounds: an ageing vehicle fleet keeps generating repairs whatever the economy does, and the density of a 10,800-location network is genuinely hard to copy. They point to the announced separation as the reason to look now — the automotive business, over $15 billion of 2025 sales with $1.2 billion of EBITDA, and the industrial business, roughly $9 billion of sales with over $1.1 billion of EBITDA, would be valued as two different businesses rather than one blended average, and the company describes the split as tax-free for U.S. shareholders. Buyers also note that Motion sells into reshoring of manufacturing and data-centre build-out, and that group sales still grew 3.5% in 2025.

The case against

Sellers fear that the margin, not the revenue, is the problem. The company's own risk factors describe an industry where a competitor's price cut forces a matching price cut, with digital and e-commerce distributors and consolidating rivals pressing from several directions at once, and a distributor that does not manufacture what it sells has little room to absorb that. They point to the electric vehicle transition named in the filing — fewer wearing parts per car, over a fleet that turns over slowly but does turn over — and to the industrial half's exposure to factory output, which can stall. They also note that the separation is a risk factor as much as a catalyst: the filing itself discloses that it may not complete or may not deliver the intended benefits, the target is Q1 2027, and two smaller companies carry two sets of overheads.

Generated with artificial intelligence on September 18, 2026, shared with all users

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated with artificial intelligence on September 18, 2026, shared with all users

P/E: 28.5Score: 73Market cap: $72.22B

Named by Genuine Parts in its own 10-K as an automotive competitor: both sell replacement parts to professional repair shops and DIY customers across a dense North American store network.

P/E: 22.0Score: 74Market cap: $51.53B

Named in the 10-K as a direct rival in the automotive aftermarket, competing for the same DIY and commercial repair customers in the United States and Mexico.

P/E: 28.9Score: 81Market cap: $12.44B

Named in the 10-K as a competitor of the Industrial segment: it distributes bearings, power transmission and fluid power components to the same North American maintenance and plant customers served by Motion Industries.

P/E: 9.8Score: 65Market cap: $5.62B

Named in the 10-K as an automotive competitor, mainly in Europe, where both distribute replacement parts to independent repair shops in the same markets as GPC's Alliance Automotive Group.

Advance Auto Parts, Inc.AAP

Another competitor named in the 10-K, selling the same categories of replacement parts to the same professional installer and retail customers in North America.

W.W. Grainger, Inc.GWW

Named in the 10-K as an industrial competitor: it supplies maintenance, repair and operations products to the same industrial plants and facility managers targeted by Motion Industries.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$25.33B

Trailing 12 months (through 9/30/2026)

Net Income

$31M

Trailing 12 months (through 9/30/2026)

Free Cash Flow

$421M

Total Equity

$4.42B

Total Liabilities

$16.36B

Current Ratio

1.22

Interest Coverage

-

Debt/EBITDA

3.60

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

CyclicalFairly Valued

Fair Value

$158.52

Current Price

$123.02

Margin of Safety

+22.4%

Fair Value Range

$103.04 - $214.00

Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.

Estimation Methods

Analyst price target:$140.00
Discounted cash flow (DCF):Not applicable to this type of company
Earnings multiple (P/E):$4.09
Graham growth formula:Not applicable to this type of company
Earnings power value (EPV):$12.36
Justified P/B:Not applicable to this type of company
Dividend discount (Gordon):Not applicable to this type of company
P/FFO, funds from operations:Not applicable to this type of company
Mid-cycle earnings:$217.97
Revenue multiple:Not applicable to this type of company
Last Earnings Surprise:-0.24%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

473.15

ROE

1.5%

P/B Ratio

3.65

P/FCF

22.23

Gross Margin

37.1%

ROIC

-

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

-

WACC

6.3%

ROIC − WACC

-

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (10)

  • Gross margin 37.1%
  • P/FCF 22.23
  • Debt/equity ratio
  • Positive free cash flow
  • Current ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Revenue growth 5Y 8.0%
  • Earnings quality (operating cash flow / net income) 38.55
  • Share dilution 0.4%
  • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

Failed (12)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR -9.75%
  • Price CAGR 3.26%
  • P/B ratio 3.65
  • CapEx intensity
  • Return on tangible assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • ROE 0.7%
  • Earnings surprise, average -3.4%
  • Net margin trend 0.1% vs 3.4%

Unavailable (5)

  • ROIC –
  • Dividend payout –
  • Operating margin –
  • Interest coverage
  • PEG ratio (needs P/E > 0 and growth > 0)

Piotroski F-Score

5/9

Mixed signals: some areas need attention

ROA > 0
Operating cash flow > 0
ΔROA > 0
Cash flow > net income
Leverage ↓
Current ratio ↑
No dilution
Gross margin ↑
Asset turnover ↑

Earnings Quality

38.55

High quality: earnings backed by cash

Share Dilution

0.4%

Share count is stable

Institutional Holdings

No institutional filings reported for this company.

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. William P. Stengel IICEO & Chairman47
Mr. Herbert C. NappierExecutive VP and Chief Financial & Operating Officer50
Mr. Alain MassePresident of North America Automotive56
Mr. James F. HowePresident & COO of Motion54
Mr. Timothy WalshVice President of Investor Relations-
Mr. Christopher T. GallaSenior VP, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary50
Ms. Jennifer HulettExecutive VP & Chief People Officer44
Mr. Rob CameronMD & Group CEO of Australasia-
Mr. David R. NagelVP & Chief Information Security Officer-
Mr. Franck BaduelChief Executive Officer of European Automotive-

Audit Risk

5

Board Risk

9

Compensation Risk

8

Shareholder Rights Risk

4

Documents

  • Annual Report (10-K)

    A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.

    Filed on 2026-02-20

    View document
  • Quarterly Report (10-Q)

    A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.

    Filed on 2026-10-20

    View document
  • Current Report (8-K)

    An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.

    Filed on 2026-10-20

    View document

via SEC EDGAR

Income History

via SEC EDGAR

Part 2 · The price and its context

This part shows how the price has behaved, not whether the company is worth owning. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Market Reaction Profile

How much GPC moves, measured on its daily prices.

VolatilityMedium

More volatile than 48% of the tracked stocks (90-day volatility).

Volatility 30d
28.8%
Volatility 90d
35.6%
Beta vs S&P 500 (1y)
0.48Correlation 0.18
Max drawdown (12m)
-38.0%
ATR (14d, % of price)
3.04%

Earnings reactions

How GPC moved around its past quarterly results.

Next earnings release

No upcoming release on the calendar.

What usually happens

  • Over the last 12 releases the stock moved a median of 2.7% the next day, up or down.
  • Next-day moves: up 5, down 7 (out of 12).

Release history

DateWhen EPS est.EPS actualSurprise Gap 1 day5 days
Oct 20, 2026Before the open2.042.07+1.6% -2.7% -5.1% n/a
Jul 21, 2026During the session2.102.15+2.6% -6.1% -2.7% +4.3%
Apr 21, 2026During the session1.781.77-0.5% +1.9% +2.1% -5.4%
Feb 17, 2026During the session1.841.55-15.6% -6.6% -14.6% -21.1%
Oct 21, 2025During the session2.011.98-1.6% +0.9% +2.0% -0.3%
Jul 22, 2025During the sessionn/an/an/a-1.2% +7.6% +7.4%
Apr 22, 2025During the sessionn/an/an/a+3.8% +2.8% +5.1%
Feb 18, 2025During the sessionn/an/an/a-0.4% -2.6% -2.2%
Oct 22, 2024During the sessionn/an/an/a-15.8% -21.0% -17.3%
Jul 23, 2024During the sessionn/an/an/a-1.7% -0.8% +3.2%
Apr 18, 2024During the sessionn/an/an/a+8.2% +11.2% +12.3%
Feb 15, 2024During the sessionn/an/an/a-6.3% -0.2% +1.4%

Release dates from SEC 8-K filings.

Updated 10/24/2026

Historical statistics for educational purposes only. They are not forecasts and not investment advice.

Price reaction to the news

Latest news on GPC and what the price did next.

  • 7/2/2026Positive
    Genuine Parts Said to Receive O’Reilly Interest in Auto Unit

    Published while the US market was open: the move of that day cannot be split into before and after the news, so no figure is shown.

  • 7/2/2026Positive
    Headline no longer in the latest news feed

    Published while the US market was open: the move of that day cannot be split into before and after the news, so no figure is shown.

Return of the stock minus return of SPY over the same days. A news item close to a price move did not necessarily cause it. Historical data for educational purposes only, not investment advice.

Latest News

Recent headlines for GPC.

  • 7/2/2026POSITIVE
    Genuine Parts Said to Receive O’Reilly Interest in Auto Unit

    Genuine Parts Company (GPC) has reportedly attracted a cash offer for its auto-parts division from rival O'Reilly Automotive Inc. This potential acquisition signals a strategic shift for Genuine Parts, aiming to concentrate on its industrial business segment. For investors, this news could unlock value by divesting a potentially underperforming or less strategic asset, allowing management to better focus resources and capital on higher-growth industrial operations. The market may view this as a positive move towards streamlining the business and enhancing shareholder returns.

  • 2/18/2026NEUTRAL
    Should You Buy This Dividend King Before Its Spinoff?

    Genuine Parts (GPC) has announced a spin-off plan to separate the company into two distinct public entities. While the company has a strong dividend history, the spin-off news introduces uncertainty regarding the future valuation of the individual entities, making the signal mixed for investors in the short term.