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Grifols, S.A. (GRFS)

Undervalued
HealthcareDrug Manufacturers - GeneralSpain

Fundamental

76

Price

$7.56

Market Cap

$5.10B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

Grifols is a Spanish healthcare group and one of the three largest makers of plasma-derived medicines in the world, together with Takeda and CSL. It collects human plasma from donors at more than 400 of its own collection centers in the United States, Europe, Canada and Egypt. It then separates that plasma into proteins used as medicines, such as immunoglobulins, albumin and alpha-1 antitrypsin. It is the world's largest producer of alpha-1 antitrypsin. It also makes diagnostic tests and instruments for blood banks and laboratories. It sells in more than 100 countries.

How it makes money

Grifols earns most of its money by selling plasma-derived medicines to hospitals, specialty pharmacies, home-care providers and distributors. In the United States it relies mainly on group purchasing organizations and distributors. Immunoglobulins alone made up about 54.3% of net revenue in 2025. The United States and Canada provided 56.5% of 2025 net revenue, the European Union 21.5% and the rest of the world 22.0%. Smaller revenue streams come from diagnostic reagents and instruments, biological materials for non-therapeutic use, and contract manufacturing.

Revenue by segment

Biopharma86.2%

Collects and fractionates plasma into medicines such as immunoglobulins, albumin, alpha-1 antitrypsin and clotting factors. It sells them to hospitals, pharmacies and distributors that treat immune deficiencies, lung disease and bleeding disorders.

Diagnostic8.5%

Makes in vitro diagnostic instruments, reagents and software for transfusion medicine, including NAT tests that screen donated blood and plasma for infections. Its main customers are blood donation centers, clinical laboratories and hospital blood services.

Others3.2%

Contract manufacturing for third parties, third-party plasma sales, research activities, and Healthcare Solutions, which sells products to hospital pharmacies.

Bio Supplies2%

Sells biological products for non-therapeutic use, such as materials for research and industry, and plasma to third parties.

Competitive moat

Scale · Narrow

Plasma medicines are hard to copy. A maker needs a large network of licensed collection centers, complex sterile factories and approvals from regulators, which take years and large sums to build. Grifols owns more than 400 centers and is one of only three global leaders. That scale is a real barrier for new entrants. The advantage is narrow rather than wide, for three reasons. Takeda, CSL and other competitors already sell similar 10% immunoglobulin products. New subcutaneous and non-plasma drugs, such as argenx's VYVGART, can take part of the market. The company also carries heavy debt.

What drives demand

Defensive

Demand comes from patients with chronic conditions such as immune deficiencies, alpha-1 deficiency and bleeding disorders. They need treatment whatever the economy is doing. More diagnosis and more health spending in emerging markets support growth. The economy matters more for supply than for demand: plasma donations and their cost can change with economic conditions. Prices depend on public reimbursement policies.

Key risks

  • Heavy debt — The company says its large debt could hurt its finances, limit how it reacts to change and make repayment harder. Debt covenants restrict how it runs the business. Part of the debt pays variable interest rates.
  • Plasma supply — Plasma is the key raw material and comes from donors. The economy, pandemics, changes in immigration policy or trouble at collection centers could reduce supply. That would limit production and growth.
  • Dependence on immunoglobulins — Immunoglobulins made up about 54.3% of 2025 net revenue. Any adverse event in that market, from competition or from new therapies, could seriously affect the company.
  • Competition — Grifols faces rivals with greater financial resources, such as Takeda and CSL Behring. It also faces new subcutaneous and non-plasma-derived therapies.
  • Manufacturing and safety — The production processes are complex and can be contaminated. Facilities must keep meeting good manufacturing rules. Product recalls, liability claims or new pathogens in the plasma supply could hurt the business.
  • Pricing and reimbursement — US healthcare reform, government price controls in Europe and limits set by payers on reimbursement could reduce prices and margins.
  • Currency, tariffs and China — A big change in the euro against the dollar, trade disputes and tariffs, and regulatory uncertainty in China could hurt results.
  • Controlling family and short sellers — The Grifols family may have significant influence over the business. The company also says short sellers could push the share price down and lead to litigation.

Customer concentration

In 2025 and 2024 no single customer accounted for more than 10% of the group's gross revenue. In 2023, one Biopharma customer accounted for about 10.37%. In the United States the company depends heavily on group purchasing organizations and distributors to sell its immunoglobulins.

The case for

Buyers argue that demand for immunoglobulins keeps growing. Immunoglobulin sales rose 14.7% at constant currency in 2025, and the subcutaneous product Xembify rose 59.5%. They say Grifols' large plasma network and its place among the three global leaders are hard to replicate. They also point out that leverage fell from 4.6x in 2024 to 4.2x in 2025, a sign the debt is slowly coming down.

Generated with artificial intelligence on October 23, 2026, shared with all users

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated with artificial intelligence on September 18, 2026, shared with all users

P/E: 15.3Score: 70Market cap: $2.47B

A smaller US fractionator with its own donation centers whose immunoglobulin Asceniv competes for the same immunodeficiency patients and the same US plasma donors.

P/E: 31.2Score: 70Market cap: $51.51B

Its non-plasma antibody Vyvgart treats myasthenia gravis and CIDP, the neurological indications that account for a large share of Grifols' immunoglobulin revenue.

CSL Limited (CSL Behring)CSL

The largest plasma fractionator worldwide, it collects donor plasma in the same US centers and sells rival immunoglobulins and the alpha-1 therapy Respreeza against Grifols' Gamunex and Prolastin.

Takeda Pharmaceutical Company Limited (武田薬品工業株式会社)4502

Through its BioLife donation network and its plasma-derived business, it sells a 10% liquid immunoglobulin and the alpha-1 products Aralast and Glassia to the same hospitals and specialty pharmacies Grifols supplies.

Octapharma AGNot tracked

A privately held Swiss fractionator that runs its own US plasma centers and markets 5% and 10% liquid immunoglobulins competing head-on with Flebogamma and Xembify.

Kedrion Biopharma S.p.A.Not tracked

An Italian private plasma company selling immunoglobulins, albumin and hyperimmunes in Europe and the United States, the same product range and the same territories as Grifols' Biopharma division.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$2.01B

Trailing 12 months to the last reported quarter — estimated from per-share metrics

Net Income

$172M

Trailing 12 months to the last reported quarter — estimated from per-share metrics

Free Cash Flow

$573M

Total Equity

$1.18B

Total Liabilities

$9.36B

Current Ratio

2.37

Interest Coverage

-

Debt/EBITDA

5.69

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

General caseUndervalued

Fair Value

$12.87

Current Price

$7.56

Margin of Safety

+41.2%

Fair Value Range

$8.36 - $17.37

Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.

Estimation Methods

Analyst price target:$10.87
Discounted cash flow (DCF):$33.73
Earnings multiple (P/E):$6.99
Graham growth formula:$5.68
Earnings power value (EPV):$11.00
Justified P/B:$6.79
Dividend discount (Gordon):$3.87
P/FFO, funds from operations:Not enough data to compute it
Mid-cycle earnings:Not enough data to compute it
Revenue multiple:$29.41
Last Earnings Surprise:+151.33%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

11.37

ROE

6.9%

P/B Ratio

0.93

P/FCF

3.38

Gross Margin

37.0%

ROIC

8.8%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

8.8%

WACC

3.5%

ROIC − WACC

+5.3 pp

ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (15)

  • ROIC 8.8%
  • Gross margin 37.0%
  • P/FCF 3.38
  • P/B ratio 0.93
  • Operating margin 16.2%
  • Positive free cash flow
  • Current ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Undervalued)
  • ROE 8.4%
  • Revenue growth 5Y 7.1%
  • Earnings surprise, average 45.6%
  • Earnings quality (operating cash flow / net income) 2.71
  • Net margin trend 5.3% vs 2.2%

Failed (4)

  • Price CAGR -7.72%
  • Debt/equity ratio
  • CapEx intensity
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

Unavailable (7)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend payout –
  • Interest coverage
  • Return on tangible assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • PEG ratio (needs P/E > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Share dilution (missing share count)

Piotroski F-Score

2/9

Serious financial concerns

ROA > 0
Operating cash flow > 0
ΔROA > 0
Cash flow > net income
Leverage ↓
Current ratio ↑
No dilution
Gross margin ↑
Asset turnover ↑

Earnings Quality

2.71

High quality: earnings backed by cash

Share Dilution

-

Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly

Institutional Holdings

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. Jose Ignacio Abia BuenacheCEO & Director57
Mr. Rahul SrinivasanChief Financial Officer48
Mr. Lluis Pons GomezSenior Vice President of Strategy & COO Office41
Daniel SegarraHead of Investor Relations & Sustainability and Vice President-
Mr. David Ian BellChief Corporate Affairs & Legal Officer71
Mr. Enrique de la TorreChief Compliance Officer52
Ms. Montse RibasChief Communications and Reputation Officer56
Mr. Camille AlpiChief Human Resources & Talent Officer44
Mr. Vicente Blanquer TorreChief Quality Officer64
Mr. Ignacio Ramal SubiraChief Internal Audit & Enterprise Risk Manager57

Documents

via SEC EDGAR

Part 2 · The price and its context

This part shows how the price has behaved, not whether the company is worth owning. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Market Reaction Profile

How much GRFS moves, measured on its daily prices.

VolatilityMedium

More volatile than 29% of the tracked stocks (90-day volatility).

Volatility 30d
23.5%
Volatility 90d
28.4%
Beta vs S&P 500 (1y)
0.90Correlation 0.36
Max drawdown (12m)
-27.8%
ATR (14d, % of price)
2.19%

Earnings reactions

How GRFS moved around its past quarterly results.

No earnings releases recorded yet for GRFS. This can happen with recent listings or with companies that do not file 8-K reports with the SEC.

Updated 10/24/2026

Historical statistics for educational purposes only. They are not forecasts and not investment advice.

Price reaction to the news

Latest news on GRFS and what the price did next.

No positive or negative news on GRFS has been archived yet.

Return of the stock minus return of SPY over the same days. A news item close to a price move did not necessarily cause it. Historical data for educational purposes only, not investment advice.

Latest News

Recent headlines for GRFS.

No recent news for GRFS.