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H World Group Limited (HTHT)

POSITIVE
Consumer CyclicalLodgingChina

Fundamental

71

Price

$37.82

Market Cap

$116.86B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

H World operates and franchises hotels under brands spanning budget to upscale, mostly in China (HanTing, Ibis, Orange, Joya) and, since acquiring Deutsche Hospitality, in Europe under Steigenberger and related names. Rather than owning most of its properties, the company signs manachise and franchise agreements: hotel owners fund the building, and H World supplies the brand, reservation system, training and standards in exchange for fees. It runs one of China's largest hotel networks by room count.

How it makes money

Most rooms — 93% as of early 2026 — operate under the manachised and franchised model, where H World earns a fee based on a percentage of the franchisee's hotel revenue plus system and reservation charges, rather than paying for the building or the staff. That asset-light structure means franchise fee income grew faster than the company's overall revenue and now supplies most of its gross operating profit. A small remaining share of hotels is leased and directly operated, carrying real estate costs the franchised hotels do not.

Revenue by segment

Legacy-Huazhu81%

The original China hotel business — HanTing, Ibis, Orange and other brands — operated mostly through manachise and franchise agreements.

Legacy-DH19%

Deutsche Hospitality's European hotels under Steigenberger and related brands, acquired to extend the group beyond China.

Competitive moat

Brand · Narrow

A large membership loyalty program and a portfolio of recognized brands make H World hotels a default choice for repeat domestic travelers, and its scale gives it purchasing and system advantages a small independent hotel cannot match. Chinese hotel groups like Jinjiang and BTG offer similar loyalty programs and comparable scale, so the advantage is real but not unique.

What drives demand

Cyclical

Hotel demand tracks business and leisure travel, both of which contract sharply when the economy weakens or when travel restrictions return, as seen during the pandemic. The manachise model shifts some of that risk onto hotel owners rather than H World directly, but franchise fee income still falls when the hotels themselves see fewer bookings.

Key risks

  • VIE structure and Chinese regulatory risk — H World's structure relies on contractual arrangements rather than direct ownership of some China operations; a change in how Chinese authorities treat this structure could affect its validity or the company's control.
  • Cross-border data regulation — Hotel reservations involve cross-border data transfers subject to Chinese cybersecurity and data security approval requirements that could tighten or change with little notice.
  • US listing and audit access risk — Tensions over US regulators' access to audit work on China-based companies, and broader US-China friction, could affect the company's ability to remain listed on a US exchange.
  • Reliance on franchisees to protect the brand — With 93% of rooms now manachised or franchised, service quality and brand standards depend on independent hotel owners H World does not directly control.

The case for

Buyers argue that the asset-light manachise model lets H World grow its hotel network and franchise fee income without funding real estate itself, and that a leading loyalty program and multi-brand portfolio in China's large domestic travel market support pricing power over time.

The case against

Sellers fear that regulatory shifts around the VIE structure, cross-border data rules or US listing access could disrupt the business with little warning, and that ceding day-to-day control to thousands of franchisees makes consistent brand quality harder to guarantee as the network grows.

Written by the editors, published on August 18, 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

No editorial profile for this company yet

No competitor list for this company yet.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$25.91B

Trailing 12 months (through 3/31/2026)

Net Income

$5.00B

Trailing 12 months (through 3/31/2026)

Free Cash Flow

$7.37B

Total Equity

$16.02B

Total Liabilities

$34.23B

Current Ratio

1.21

Interest Coverage

-

Debt/EBITDA

3.85

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

Fairly Valued

Fair Value

$36.08

Current Price

$37.82

Margin of Safety

-4.8%

Fair Value Range

$23.45 - $48.71

Estimation Methods

Analyst Target:$47.62
DCF:$51.90
PE-based:$16.04
Graham Growth:$17.91
EPV:$20.76
Analyst Consensus:Strong Buy (20B / 1H / 0S)
Last Earnings Surprise:+836.93%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

34.55

ROE

38.1%

P/B Ratio

7.29

P/FCF

15.85

Gross Margin

41.0%

ROIC

13.0%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

13.0%

WACC

6.9%

ROIC − WACC

+6.1 pp

ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (14)

  • ROIC 13.0%
  • Gross Margin 41.0%
  • P/FCF 15.85
  • Debt/Equity ratio
  • Positive Free Cash Flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current Ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • ROE 40.5%
  • Revenue Growth 5Y 19.9%
  • Analyst Consensus 95% Buy
  • Earnings Surprise avg 207.0%
  • Earnings Quality (OCF/NI) 1.73
  • Net Margin Trend 20.1% vs 12.8%

Failed (4)

  • Price CAGR 1.16%
  • P/B Ratio 7.29
  • DCF valuation (Fairly valued)
  • Piotroski F-Score 2/9

Unavailable (9)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • Dividend Payout NaN%
  • Operating Margin NaN%
  • Interest Coverage
  • Return on Tangible Assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • PEG Ratio (need PE > 0 and growth > 0)
  • Share Dilution (missing shares data)

Piotroski F-Score

2/9

Serious financial concerns

score
criteria

Earnings Quality

1.73

High quality: earnings backed by cash

Share Dilution

-

Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. Qi JiFounder & Executive Chairman58
Mr. Hui JinChief Executive Officer47
Ms. Xinxin LiuPresident46
Mr. Junrui YuChief Financial Officer44
Mr. Dong LiChief Accounting Officer & Deputy CFO-
Ms. Ivy LuoHead of Investor Relations-
Mr. Yao ChenCompany Secretary & Director of Legal Affairs-
Ms. Fei YeDeputy CFO & VP of Strategic Investment and Capital Market-
Ms. Jihong HeChief Strategy Officer53
Yu IdaSenior Manager of Investor Relations-

Part 2 · The price and when to enter

This part won't tell you whether the company is worth owning: it helps you choose when to buy it, once the fundamentals have convinced you. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Latest News

Recent headlines for HTHT, sourced from Markets Gazette.

  • 5/15/2026NEUTRAL
    H World Group Reports Q1 2026 Results: Full Earnings Call Transcript

    H World Group Limited has released its Q1 2026 earnings call transcript. While the transcript provides detailed insights into the company's performance, strategic initiatives, and future outlook, it does not contain specific financial figures or forward-looking statements that would indicate a significant immediate impact on the stock price. Investors should review the transcript for qualitative information regarding operational efficiency, market positioning, and management's commentary on industry trends.

via Markets Gazette