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Illinois Tool Works Inc (ITW)

Fair Value
IndustrialsSpecialty Industrial MachineryUnited States

Fundamental

62

Price

$275.75

Market Cap

$78.83B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

Illinois Tool Works Inc. provides industrial products and equipment in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia Pacific, and South America. It operates through seven segments: Automotive OEM; Food Equipment; Test & Measurement and Electronics; Welding; Polymers & Fluids; Construction Products; and Specialty Products. The Automotive OEM segment offers plastic and metal components, fasteners, and assemblies for automobiles, light trucks, and other industrial uses. The Food Equipment segment provides warewashing, cooking, refrigeration, and food processing equipment; kitchen exhaust, ventilation, and pollution control systems; and food equipment maintenance and repair services. The Test & Measurement and Electronics segment produce and sells test and measurement; and electronic manufacturing and maintenance, repair, and operations solutions. The Welding segment produces arc welding equipment, and metal arc welding consumables and related accessories. The Polymers & Fluids segment produces adhesives, sealants, lubrication and cutting fluids, and fluids and polymers for auto aftermarket maintenance and appearance. The Construction Products segment offers engineered fastening systems and solutions for the residential construction, renovation/remodel, and commercial construction markets. The Specialty Products segment provides beverage packaging equipment and consumables, product coding and marking equipment and consumables, and appliance components and fasteners. The company serves automotive OEM and aftermarket, commercial food equipment, construction, general industrial, industrial capital goods, consumer durables, and other markets, as well as MRO markets. It distributes its products directly to industrial manufacturers, as well as through independent distributors. Illinois Tool Works Inc. was founded in 1912 and is based in Glenview, Illinois.

No editorial profile for this company yet

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated with artificial intelligence on September 19, 2026, shared with all users

P/E: 25.6Score: 74Market cap: $14.29B

Named by ITW in its own 10-K as a main competitor in the Welding segment, where both sell arc welding machines and consumables to the same industrial, fabrication and shipbuilding customers.

P/E: —Score: 55Market cap: $5.02B

Head-to-head rival of ITW's Food Equipment segment (Hobart, Vulcan, Baxter), selling commercial cooking, warewashing and food-prep equipment plus service contracts to restaurant chains and institutional kitchens.

P/E: 24.0Score: 68Market cap: $26.91B

Diversified decentralized manufacturer whose niche industrial units overlap with ITW in fluid handling, marking and coding and packaging equipment sold to the same industrial end markets.

P/E: 24.2Score: 67Market cap: $14.41B

Competes with ITW's Construction Products segment for the same builders and contractors on fastening systems, anchors and powder-actuated tools.

ESAB CorporationESAB

The second competitor ITW names in its Welding segment, offering a comparable range of welding equipment, filler metals and cutting products, with a stronger footprint in Europe and emerging markets.

Ali Group S.r.l.Not tracked

Privately held Italian foodservice-equipment group (Scotsman, Carpigiani, Welbilt) that bids for the same global restaurant and hospitality accounts as ITW's Food Equipment brands.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$16.47B

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Net Income

$3.19B

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Free Cash Flow

$2.71B

Total Equity

$3.23B

Total Liabilities

$12.92B

Current Ratio

1.11

Interest Coverage

14.45

Debt/EBITDA

2.45

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

General caseFairly Valued

Fair Value

$248.73

Current Price

$275.75

Margin of Safety

-10.9%

Fair Value Range

$201.83 - $295.62

Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.

Estimation Methods

Analyst price target:$294.57
Discounted cash flow (DCF):$225.33
Earnings multiple (P/E):$246.18
Graham growth formula:$269.26
Earnings power value (EPV):$122.63
Justified P/B:$188.46
Dividend discount (Gordon):$109.95
P/FFO, funds from operations:Not enough data to compute it
Mid-cycle earnings:$295.90
Revenue multiple:$165.67
Last Earnings Surprise:+0.63%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

25.00

ROE

95.0%

P/B Ratio

27.13

P/FCF

26.89

Gross Margin

53.0%

ROIC

32.7%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

32.7%

WACC

8.8%

ROIC − WACC

+23.9 pp

ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (17)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 6.53%
  • Price CAGR 8.21%
  • ROIC 32.7%
  • Gross margin 53.0%
  • P/FCF 26.89
  • Operating margin 26.5%
  • Positive free cash flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current ratio
  • Interest coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on tangible assets
  • ROE 101.8%
  • Earnings quality (operating cash flow / net income) 1.04
  • Share dilution -1.9%
  • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

Failed (9)

  • P/B ratio 27.13
  • Debt/equity ratio
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Revenue growth 5Y 5.0%
  • Earnings surprise, average 1.5%
  • PEG ratio 2.57
  • Net margin trend 19.4% vs 21.3%

Unavailable (1)

  • Dividend payout –

Piotroski F-Score

5/9

Mixed signals: some areas need attention

ROA > 0
Operating cash flow > 0
ΔROA > 0
Cash flow > net income
Leverage ↓
Current ratio ↑
No dilution
Gross margin ↑
Asset turnover ↑

Earnings Quality

1.04

High quality: earnings backed by cash

Share Dilution

-1.9%

Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly

Institutional Holdings

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. Christopher A. O'HerlihyPresident, CEO & Director61
Mr. Michael M. LarsenSenior VP & CFO56
Ms. Mary Katherine LawlerSenior VP & Chief Human Resources Officer59
Mr. Kenneth T. EscoeExecutive Vice President of Specialty Products49
Mr. Axel R. J. BeckExecutive Vice President of Food Equipment59
Mr. Matteo C. PigozzoVP & Chief Accounting Officer54
Erin LinnihanVice President of Investor Relations-
Mr. Christopher P. RauchSenior VP, General Counsel & Secretary55
Mr. Randall J. ScheunemanAdvisor57
Ms. Sharon A. SzafranskiExecutive Vice President of Welding58

Audit Risk

7

Board Risk

6

Compensation Risk

5

Shareholder Rights Risk

3

Documents

  • Annual Report (10-K)

    A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.

    Filed on 2026-02-13

    View document
  • Quarterly Report (10-Q)

    A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.

    Filed on 2026-08-06

    View document
  • Current Report (8-K)

    An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.

    Filed on 2026-08-13

    View document

via SEC EDGAR

Income History

via SEC EDGAR

Part 2 · The price and its context

This part shows how the price has behaved, not whether the company is worth owning. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Market Reaction Profile

How much ITW moves, measured on its daily prices.

VolatilityLow

More volatile than 10% of the tracked stocks (90-day volatility).

Volatility 30d
19.7%
Volatility 90d
21.1%
Beta vs S&P 500 (1y)
0.46Correlation 0.27
Max drawdown (12m)
-18.0%
ATR (14d, % of price)
2.05%

Earnings reactions

How ITW moved around its past quarterly results.

Next earnings release

Oct 27, 2026 · In 3 days · Before the open

EPS estimate: 2.97Revenue estimate: $4.3B

What usually happens

  • Over the last 12 releases the stock moved a median of 2.2% the next day, up or down.
  • Next-day moves: up 5, down 7 (out of 12).
  • Of the 4 releases that beat estimates, the stock fell the next day after 2.

Release history

DateWhen EPS est.EPS actualSurprise Gap 1 day5 days
Jul 28, 2026Before the open2.822.84+0.6% +4.9% +3.6% +1.3%
Apr 30, 2026Before the open2.592.66+2.7% -5.9% -2.9% -1.9%
Feb 3, 2026During the session2.712.72+0.3% +1.0% +5.6% +10.0%
Oct 24, 2025During the session2.742.81+2.5% -3.3% -4.5% -5.4%
Jul 30, 2025During the sessionn/an/an/a-0.7% -2.2% -1.3%
Apr 30, 2025Before the openn/an/an/a-0.8% -0.8% -0.8%
Feb 5, 2025During the sessionn/an/an/a-2.6% -0.2% +1.6%
Oct 30, 2024Before the openn/an/an/a+2.7% +3.2% +4.1%
Jul 30, 2024Before the openn/an/an/a+3.0% +0.5% -3.5%
Apr 30, 2024Before the openn/an/an/a+0.5% -2.1% -1.6%
Feb 1, 2024Before the openn/an/an/a-2.6% -2.1% -2.6%
Oct 24, 2023Before the openn/an/an/a+1.4% +0.3% +0.5%

Release dates from SEC 8-K filings.

Updated 10/24/2026

Historical statistics for educational purposes only. They are not forecasts and not investment advice.

Price reaction to the news

Latest news on ITW and what the price did next.

No positive or negative news on ITW has been archived yet.

Return of the stock minus return of SPY over the same days. A news item close to a price move did not necessarily cause it. Historical data for educational purposes only, not investment advice.

Latest News

Recent headlines for ITW.

No recent news for ITW.