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KeyCorp (KEY)

Fair Value
Financial ServicesBanks - RegionalUnited States

Fundamental

50

Price

$21.08

Market Cap

$22.44B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

KeyCorp operates as the holding company for KeyBank National Association that provides various retail and commercial banking products and services in the United States. It operates in two segments, Consumer Bank and Commercial Bank. The company offers various deposits and investment products; personal finance and financial wellness, lending, student loan refinancing, mortgage and home equity, credit card, treasury, and business advisory; commercial leasing, investment management, consumer finance; and wealth management and investment services for institutional, non-profit, and high-net-worth clients. It also provides lending, cash management, equipment financing, and commercial mortgage loans; and capital market products and services, such as syndicated finance, debt and equity underwriting, fixed income and equity sales and trading, derivatives, foreign exchange, mergers and acquisition, other advisory services, and public finance to large corporate and institutional clients. In addition, the company offers personal and institutional trust custody services, personal financial and planning services, access to mutual funds, treasury services, and international banking services. Further, it provides community development financing, securities underwriting, brokerage, and investment banking services, as well as merchant services. The company was founded in 1849 and is headquartered in Cleveland, Ohio.

No editorial profile for this company yet

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated with artificial intelligence on September 19, 2026, shared with all users

P/E: 12.1Score: 71Market cap: $30.95B

Ohio-headquartered regional bank that overlaps with KeyBank across the Great Lakes for the same retail deposit customers and middle-market commercial borrowers.

P/E: 18.1Score: 69Market cap: $45.68B

Competes branch-by-branch with KeyBank in Ohio and the Midwest and pitches the same commercial lending, treasury management and wealth services to mid-sized companies.

P/E: 14.2Score: 79Market cap: $27.33B

Regional bank of comparable size whose Northeast and Mid-Atlantic retail and commercial franchise competes directly with KeyBank's eastern footprint.

P/E: 12.4Score: 77Market cap: $88.92B

Pittsburgh-based bank that covers most of KeyBank's markets and targets the same middle-market corporate clients with lending and capital-markets services.

P/E: 11.7Score: 75Market cap: $31.70B

Northeast regional bank competing with KeyBank for deposits, commercial real estate lending and small-business relationships in New York and New England.

U.S. BancorpUSB

Larger Midwest and Pacific Northwest bank whose branch network and commercial banking business overlap with KeyBank's across much of its 15-state footprint.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$7.48B

Fiscal year ended 12/31/2025

Net Income

$1.83B

Fiscal year ended 12/31/2025

Free Cash Flow

$2.10B

Total Equity

$20.38B

Total Liabilities

$164.00B

Current Ratio

-

Interest Coverage

0.50

Debt/EBITDA

-

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

BankFairly Valued

Fair Value

$19.75

Current Price

$21.08

Margin of Safety

-6.7%

Fair Value Range

$16.30 - $23.20

Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.

Estimation Methods

Analyst price target:$25.11
Discounted cash flow (DCF):Not applicable to this type of company
Earnings multiple (P/E):$17.06
Graham growth formula:Not applicable to this type of company
Earnings power value (EPV):Not applicable to this type of company
Justified P/B:$19.45
Dividend discount (Gordon):$15.17
P/FFO, funds from operations:Not applicable to this type of company
Mid-cycle earnings:Not applicable to this type of company
Revenue multiple:Not applicable to this type of company
Last Earnings Surprise:+8.51%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

13.84

ROE

9.0%

P/B Ratio

1.14

P/FCF

18.76

Gross Margin

-

ROIC

-

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

-

WACC

12.3%

ROIC − WACC

-

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (11)

  • P/FCF 18.76
  • P/B ratio 1.14
  • Operating margin 30.8%
  • Positive free cash flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • ROE 10.9%
  • Earnings surprise, average 5.6%
  • Earnings quality (operating cash flow / net income) 1.21
  • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

Failed (10)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR -2.32%
  • Price CAGR 0.80%
  • Debt/equity ratio
  • Interest coverage
  • Return on tangible assets
  • DCF valuation (Fairly Valued)
  • Revenue growth 5Y 4.3%
  • PEG ratio 2.88
  • Share dilution 139.2%

Unavailable (6)

  • ROIC –
  • Gross margin –
  • Dividend payout –
  • Current ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Net margin trend (invalid data)

Piotroski F-Score

6/9

Mixed signals: some areas need attention

ROA > 0
Operating cash flow > 0
ΔROA > 0
Cash flow > net income
Leverage ↓
Current ratio ↑
No dilution
Gross margin ↑
Asset turnover ↑

Earnings Quality

1.21

High quality: earnings backed by cash

Share Dilution

139.2%

Issuing new shares, diluting ownership

Institutional Holdings

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. Christopher Marrott GormanChairman, President & CEO64
Mr. Clark Harold Ibrahim Khayat J.D.Chief Financial Officer53
Mr. Andrew Jackson Paine IIIHead of Institutional Banking & President of Key Institutional Bank55
Mr. Mohit RamaniChief Risk Officer51
Ms. Stacy L. GilbertChief Accounting Officer53
Mr. James L. Waters J.D.General Counsel & Corporate Secretary58
Ms. Susan E. DonlanChief Communications Officer-
Ms. Angela G. MagoChief Human Resources Officer59
Ms. Katrina M. EvansChief of Staff & Director of Corporate Center60
Mr. Kenneth C. GavrityHead of Commercial Banking48

Audit Risk

3

Board Risk

7

Compensation Risk

8

Shareholder Rights Risk

2

Documents

  • Annual Report (10-K)

    A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.

    Filed on 2026-02-23

    View document
  • Quarterly Report (10-Q)

    A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.

    Filed on 2026-08-04

    View document
  • Current Report (8-K)

    An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.

    Filed on 2026-10-20

    View document

via SEC EDGAR

Income History

via SEC EDGAR

Part 2 · The price and its context

This part shows how the price has behaved, not whether the company is worth owning. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Market Reaction Profile

How much KEY moves, measured on its daily prices.

VolatilityLow

More volatile than 9% of the tracked stocks (90-day volatility).

Volatility 30d
23.5%
Volatility 90d
20.9%
Beta vs S&P 500 (1y)
0.74Correlation 0.41
Max drawdown (12m)
-18.6%
ATR (14d, % of price)
1.98%

Earnings reactions

How KEY moved around its past quarterly results.

Next earnings release

Jan 20, 2027 · In 88 days · Before the open

EPS estimate: 0.50Revenue estimate: $2.1B

What usually happens

  • Over the last 12 releases the stock moved a median of 2.4% the next day, up or down.
  • Next-day moves: up 4, down 8 (out of 12).
  • Of the 5 releases that beat estimates, the stock fell the next day after 3.

Release history

DateWhen EPS est.EPS actualSurprise Gap 1 day5 days
Oct 20, 2026Before the open0.460.51+10.4% +0.6% +4.5% n/a
Jul 21, 2026Before the open0.430.44+3.1% -2.0% -1.6% -3.5%
Apr 16, 2026Before the open0.420.44+5.8% +0.2% +0.5% +2.2%
Jan 20, 2026Before the open0.390.41+4.9% -2.9% -0.4% +0.6%
Oct 16, 2025Before the open0.390.41+6.1% -3.2% -5.4% -1.5%
Jul 22, 2025Before the openn/an/an/a+1.2% +2.4% +0.9%
Apr 17, 2025Before the openn/an/an/a+3.1% +1.4% +5.7%
Jan 21, 2025Before the openn/an/an/a-4.7% -3.6% -3.5%
Oct 17, 2024Before the openn/an/an/a-2.8% -2.5% -3.5%
Jul 18, 2024Before the openn/an/an/a-2.2% -4.0% -2.6%
Apr 18, 2024Before the openn/an/an/a-0.9% -0.3% +3.5%
Jan 18, 2024Before the openn/an/an/a-2.8% -4.6% +4.3%

Release dates from SEC 8-K filings.

Updated 10/24/2026

Historical statistics for educational purposes only. They are not forecasts and not investment advice.

Price reaction to the news

Latest news on KEY and what the price did next.

No positive or negative news on KEY has been archived yet.

Return of the stock minus return of SPY over the same days. A news item close to a price move did not necessarily cause it. Historical data for educational purposes only, not investment advice.

Latest News

Recent headlines for KEY.

No recent news for KEY.