Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS)
Fair ValueFundamental
34
Price
$158.74
Market Cap
$43.56B
Part 1 · What the company is worth
Overview
Nebius Group N.V., a technology company, engages in building full-stack infrastructure to service the global AI industry in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It offers Nebius builds full-stack infrastructure for AI, including large-scale GPU clusters, cloud platforms, and tools and services for developers. The company also provides TripleTen, an edtech platform for re-skilling individuals for careers in technolgy; and Avride, which develops autonomous driving technology for self-driving cars and delivery robotics. It has a strategic alliance with NVIDIA Corporation to support the expansion of the company's AI cloud infrastructure. The company was formerly known as Yandex N.V. and changed its name to Nebius Group N.V. in August 2024. Nebius Group N.V. was founded in 1989 and is based in Schiphol, the Netherlands.
No editorial profile for this company yet
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
Generated with artificial intelligence on September 19, 2026, shared with all users
Named by Nebius in its 20-F as a specialized AI cloud provider, CoreWeave sells the same rented NVIDIA GPU clusters to the same AI labs and large technology buyers, and is the largest independent player in that market.
IREN has converted its power-rich data centre campuses into AI cloud capacity — including a multi-year GPU contract with Microsoft — and bids for the same multi-billion-dollar hyperscaler and AI-lab capacity deals Nebius pursues.
Nebius lists Oracle among the general-purpose clouds it competes with: Oracle Cloud Infrastructure sells large dedicated GPU clusters to AI companies on the same long-term contracts Nebius is chasing.
Also named by Nebius in its 20-F, Crusoe builds and rents energy-linked AI data centre capacity and GPU clusters to the same customers looking for large-scale training and inference capacity.
The third specialized rival Nebius names in its 20-F: Lambda rents on-demand and reserved GPU instances to AI developers and enterprises, competing directly on price and availability of the newest NVIDIA chips.
Balance Sheet & Liquidity
Revenue
$1.36B
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Net Income
$42M
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Free Cash Flow
$-9.61B
Total Equity
$8.31B
Total Liabilities
$10.20B
Current Ratio
4.03
Interest Coverage
-
Debt/EBITDA
39.52
Earnings Per Share
Revenue & Net Income
Free Cash Flow
Income Breakdown
Historical statement
Margins over time
Debt over time
How heavy the debt is
Growth grid
Growth — Revenue
Fair Value Estimation
Fair Value
$183.74
Current Price
$158.74
Margin of Safety
+13.6%
Fair Value Range
$119.43 - $248.05
Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.
Estimation Methods
Valuation Metrics
P/E Ratio
134.04
ROE
0.6%
P/B Ratio
4.55
P/FCF
-
Gross Margin
74.3%
ROIC
-0.0%
Profitability Radar
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
-0.0%
WACC
8.7%
ROIC − WACC
-8.7 pp
ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.
Fundamental Analysis Criteria
Passed (7)
- Price CAGR 186.23%
- Gross margin 74.3%
- Debt/equity ratio
- Current ratio
- Earnings surprise, average 51.5%
- Earnings quality (operating cash flow / net income) 51.70
- Net margin trend 19.2% vs 0.0%
Failed (8)
- ROIC -0.0%
- P/B ratio 4.55
- Positive free cash flow
- Debt/EBITDA
- DCF valuation (Unknown)
- ROE 0.6%
- Revenue growth 5Y -29.4%
- Piotroski F-Score 2/9
Unavailable (11)
- EPS data insufficient
- P/FCF –
- Dividend payout –
- Operating margin –
- CapEx intensity
- Interest coverage
- Return on tangible assets
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Price below Graham Number
- PEG ratio (needs P/E > 0 and growth > 0)
- Share dilution (missing share count)
Piotroski F-Score
Serious financial concerns
Earnings Quality
High quality: earnings backed by cash
Share Dilution
Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly
Institutional Holdings
No institutional filings reported for this company.
Governance
Executive Team
| Name | Title | Age |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Arkady Volozh | Founder, CEO & Non-Independent Executive Director | 61 |
| Ms. Maria del Dado Alonso Sanchez | Chief Financial Officer | - |
| Dr. Ophir Nave | COO & Non-Independent Executive Director | 55 |
| Mr. Danila Shtan | Chief Technology Officer | - |
| Mr. Neil A. Doshi | VP & Head of Investor Relations | - |
| Attorney Yael Almog | General Counsel | 57 |
| Mr. Tom Blackwell | Chief Communications Officer | - |
| Ms. Lindsey Irvine | Chief Marketing Officer | - |
| Mr. Roman Chernin | Chief Business Officer | - |
| Ms. Elena Bunina | Head of Science and Education & Non-Independent Non-Executive Director | 48 |
Audit Risk
3
Board Risk
9
Compensation Risk
10
Shareholder Rights Risk
10
Documents
via SEC EDGAR
Part 2 · The price and its context
This part shows how the price has behaved, not whether the company is worth owning. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.
Market Reaction Profile
How much NBIS moves, measured on its daily prices.
More volatile than 100% of the tracked stocks (90-day volatility).
- Volatility 30d
- 76.9%
- Volatility 90d
- 119.2%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (1y)
- 3.93Correlation 0.46
- Max drawdown (12m)
- -48.3%
- ATR (14d, % of price)
- 10.03%
Earnings reactions
How NBIS moved around its past quarterly results.
Next earnings release
Nov 10, 2026 · In 17 days · Before the open
EPS estimate: -0.64Revenue estimate: $906M
What usually happens
- Not enough releases with data yet: we have 0, we need at least 4.
Release dates from SEC 8-K filings.
Updated 10/24/2026
Historical statistics for educational purposes only. They are not forecasts and not investment advice.
Price reaction to the news
Latest news on NBIS and what the price did next.
- 10/22/2026NegativeNebius scende dopo prestito da $3,5 mld, timori sul debito per infrastrutture AI
Published while the US market was open: the move of that day cannot be split into before and after the news, so no figure is shown.
- 10/14/2026NegativeIl crollo di Nebius continua mentre Gartner lancia un durissimo avvertimento
Published while the US market was open: the move of that day cannot be split into before and after the news, so no figure is shown.
- 9/30/2026PositivePerché il titolo Nebius sale nel premarket oggi
- +1 day
- -0.4%
- +3 days
- +1.6%
- 9/24/2026PositivePerché il titolo Nebius sale del 9% oggi
Published while the US market was open: the move of that day cannot be split into before and after the news, so no figure is shown.
- 9/17/2026NegativeProspettive di Nebius: il crollo in corso di NBIS è un'opportunità di acquisto?
- +1 day
- +3.0%
- +3 days
- +8.6%
- 9/8/2026PositivePerché le azioni Nebius volano oggi e cosa aspettarsi
Published while the US market was open: the move of that day cannot be split into before and after the news, so no figure is shown.
- 6/17/2026PositiveNebius Shares Rise Over 5% After Key Trading Signal
- +1 day
- +1.3%
- +3 days
- -1.0%
- 6/16/2026PositiveWhy Is Nebius Stock Surging On Tuesday?
Published while the US market was open: the move of that day cannot be split into before and after the news, so no figure is shown.
- 6/8/2026PositiveWhy Is Nebius Stock Gaining Monday?
- +1 day
- -4.5%
- +3 days
- -5.4%
- 6/5/2026NegativeWhy Is Nebius Stock Falling On Friday?
Published while the US market was open: the move of that day cannot be split into before and after the news, so no figure is shown.
Return of the stock minus return of SPY over the same days. A news item close to a price move did not necessarily cause it. Historical data for educational purposes only, not investment advice.
Latest News
Recent headlines for NBIS.
- 2d agoNEGATIVENebius scende dopo prestito da $3,5 mld, timori sul debito per infrastrutture AI
Nebius Group (NBIS) shares fell as much as 6.8% on Thursday, as investors grappled with the company's new $3.5 billion credit facility. The financing, intended to fuel short-term development plans for its AI infrastructure, has raised concerns about debt-fueled expansion in the sector. This comes amid a broader market downturn and increased scrutiny on the financial risks associated with rapid AI infrastructure growth. Competitors like CoreWeave also saw declines. The news suggests that while Nebius is securing capital for expansion, the market is currently prioritizing concerns over rising debt levels.
- 10d agoNEGATIVEIl crollo di Nebius continua mentre Gartner lancia un durissimo avvertimento
Nebius Inc. shares plummeted on October 14th, hitting a low not seen since August 11th, closing at $185.63. This represents a nearly 40% drop from its year-to-date high, slashing its market capitalization from a peak of $76.3 billion to $50.3 billion. The sharp decline follows a severe warning issued by Gartner, a prominent technology research firm. The company's stock has been in a continuous retreat, mirroring downturns in other neocloud sector companies like CoreWeave and IREN, which have also experienced significant losses. Investors are closely monitoring the situation for further developments and potential impact on the broader neocloud industry.
- 24d agoPOSITIVEPerché il titolo Nebius sale nel premarket oggi
Nebius Inc. (NBIS) shares climbed 2% in pre-market trading Wednesday following the initiation of coverage by William Blair with an 'Outperform' rating. Analyst Jason Ader highlighted Nebius's infrastructure scale, software capabilities, key customer relationships, and low-cost capital access as differentiators for its AI-focused cloud platform. Ader views Nebius as more than just another cloud provider, suggesting its current valuation does not fully capture its long-term earnings potential. The positive outlook from William Blair, citing specific strengths, is likely to attract investor interest and could lead to upward price momentum.
- 9/24/2026POSITIVEPerché il titolo Nebius sale del 9% oggi
Nebius Group (NBIS) shares surged 9% on Thursday following significant analyst upgrades. Bank of America raised its revenue forecasts for 2026, 2027, and 2028, while reiterating a Buy rating and a $310 price target. BNP Paribas elevated its rating from Neutral to Outperform, hiking the price target to $399. These positive revisions are driven by Nebius's expansion in cloud AI and strong demand for high-end GPU computing power, benefiting from Nvidia's technology. Investors are reacting favorably to the company's growth prospects and analyst confidence.
- 9/17/2026NEGATIVEProspettive di Nebius: il crollo in corso di NBIS è un'opportunità di acquisto?
Nebius Group (NBIS) shares have experienced a sharp decline, plummeting over 30% from their year-to-date high to $209. This sell-off intensified this week as investors reacted to ongoing concerns surrounding AI safety. Nebius and other AI companies have seen significant drops amid investor apprehension about the sector's unprecedented growth, prompting calls from industry leaders like Dario Amodei and Sam Altman for a slowdown and global coordination. The current price drop presents a potential buying opportunity for some, but the underlying risks associated with AI regulation and safety remain a significant overhang for the stock.
- 9/8/2026POSITIVEPerché le azioni Nebius volano oggi e cosa aspettarsi
Nebius Group shares surged over 10% on September 8th, reaching a high of $250, the highest level since August 18th. This rally follows a significant partnership announcement with Palantir Technologies, a major software provider. Palantir has designated Nebius as its preferred partner for sovereign AI infrastructure, integrating Nebius's compute and inference endpoints. This strategic alliance is driving substantial investor interest, propelling Nebius's stock performance and mirroring gains seen in other neocloud companies like CoreWeave and IREN. The deal positions Nebius as a key player in the AI infrastructure space.
- 6/17/2026POSITIVENebius Shares Rise Over 5% After Key Trading Signal
Nebius Inc. shares experienced a significant upward movement, surging over 5% following the appearance of a key trading signal. The stock reached an intraday high after trading at $282.68, indicating strong positive momentum. This technical indicator suggests a potential shift in market sentiment or an upcoming price appreciation, drawing investor attention to the stock. The rapid price increase following the signal implies that market participants are reacting favorably to this development, potentially anticipating further gains.
- 6/16/2026POSITIVEWhy Is Nebius Stock Surging On Tuesday?
Nebius Group N.V. (NASDAQ: NBIS) experienced a significant surge in its stock price on Tuesday, driven by two key developments. Firstly, the company confirmed its upcoming inclusion in the prestigious Nasdaq-100 Index, a move that typically attracts passive fund inflows and signals strong market performance. Secondly, Nebius Group successfully closed its acquisition of Eigen AI. This strategic acquisition is expected to enhance Nebius's technological capabilities and market position. For investors, these events collectively signal robust growth prospects and increased investor confidence in Nebius's future trajectory.
- 6/8/2026POSITIVEWhy Is Nebius Stock Gaining Monday?
Nebius (NBIS) stock experienced a pre-market surge on Monday, driven by a broader rebound in technology futures. While specific fundamental catalysts are not detailed, the upward movement suggests positive investor sentiment and potential technical trading opportunities. Analysts are closely watching the stock for its next price targets, with the current momentum indicating a favorable short-term outlook. Investors may consider this a signal for potential short-term gains as the tech sector shows signs of recovery.
- 6/5/2026NEGATIVEWhy Is Nebius Stock Falling On Friday?
Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS) shares experienced a decline on Friday, influenced by a confluence of negative factors. A recent hot jobs report has amplified hawkish sentiment among central banks, raising concerns about prolonged higher interest rates. Compounding this macroeconomic pressure, significant insider selling by Director Mark Stevens has eroded investor confidence. This dual impact of unfavorable market conditions and internal selling pressure suggests a challenging outlook for NBIS in the short term, potentially signaling further downside risk.