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Oracle Corp (ORCL)

Fair Value
TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureUnited States

Fundamental

61

Price

$126.16

Market Cap

$391.46B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

Oracle Corporation offers products and services that build, run and support enterprise information technology frameworks worldwide. Its Oracle cloud software as a service offering includes various cloud software applications, including Oracle Fusion cloud enterprise resource planning ERP, Oracle Fusion cloud enterprise performance management EPM, Oracle Fusion cloud supply chain and manufacturing management SCM, Oracle Fusion cloud human capital management HCM, and NetSuite applications suite, Oracle Health applications, as well as Oracle Fusion Sales, Service, and Marketing. The company also offers cloud-based industry solutions for various industries; Oracle cloud license and on-premise license; and Oracle license support services. In addition, it provides cloud and license business' infrastructure technologies, such as the Oracle Database and MySQL Database; Java, a software development language; and middleware, including development tools and others. The company's cloud and license business' infrastructure technologies also comprise cloud-based compute, storage, and networking capabilities; and Oracle autonomous database, as well as AI, Internet-of-Things, machine learning, digital assistant, and blockchain. Further, it provides hardware products and other hardware-related software offerings, including Oracle engineered systems, enterprise servers, storage solutions, industry-specific hardware, virtualization software, operating systems, management software, and related hardware support services, and consulting and advanced customer services. It markets and sells its cloud, license, hardware, support, and services offerings directly to businesses in various industries, government agencies, and educational institutions, as well as through indirect channels. Oracle Corporation has a strategic alliance with Metron, Inc. The company was founded in 1977 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.

No editorial profile for this company yet

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated with artificial intelligence on September 19, 2026, shared with all users

P/E: 29.2Score: 78Market cap: $3.93T

Microsoft meets Oracle head-on in every one of its markets at once: SQL Server and Azure SQL against Oracle Database, Azure against Oracle Cloud Infrastructure, and Dynamics 365 against Oracle's ERP and HCM applications.

P/E: 20.0Score: 77Market cap: $2.70T

Through AWS, Amazon is the largest seller of the cloud computing capacity Oracle's OCI sells, and its managed databases (Aurora, RDS, Redshift) are the main destination for companies migrating off Oracle Database.

SAP SESAPGF
P/E: 29.8Score: 65Market cap: $229.94B

SAP is Oracle's historic rival for the enterprise applications budget, selling the same large organisations the ERP, finance and supply-chain software that Oracle Fusion Cloud Applications competes for.

P/E: 15.9Score: 69Market cap: $4.12T

Google Cloud bids against OCI for the same infrastructure and AI-training workloads, and its BigQuery and Spanner databases target the same enterprise data estates.

P/E: 22.5Score: 60Market cap: $236.91B

IBM sells the same large enterprises a competing database (Db2), hybrid-cloud platforms and the systems-integration services that overlap with Oracle's own services segment.

P/E: 22.7Score: 83Market cap: $198.98B

Salesforce competes for the same subscription spending on customer-facing cloud applications, directly against Oracle's CX, marketing and, through its acquisitions, human-resources and analytics suites.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$71.78B

Trailing 12 months (through 8/31/2026)

Net Income

$18.92B

Trailing 12 months (through 8/31/2026)

Free Cash Flow

$-23.69B

Total Equity

$42.51B

Total Liabilities

$218.70B

Current Ratio

1.17

Interest Coverage

4.52

Debt/EBITDA

4.91

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

General caseFairly Valued

Fair Value

$129.71

Current Price

$126.16

Margin of Safety

+2.7%

Fair Value Range

$84.31 - $175.11

Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.

Estimation Methods

Analyst price target:$237.36
Discounted cash flow (DCF):$47.25
Earnings multiple (P/E):$105.53
Graham growth formula:$106.22
Earnings power value (EPV):$42.51
Justified P/B:$55.39
Dividend discount (Gordon):$20.59
P/FFO, funds from operations:Not enough data to compute it
Mid-cycle earnings:$183.21
Revenue multiple:$129.00
Last Earnings Surprise:+8.24%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

19.77

ROE

40.2%

P/B Ratio

5.71

P/FCF

-

Gross Margin

-

ROIC

7.1%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

7.1%

WACC

10.6%

ROIC − WACC

-3.5 pp

ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (15)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 9.93%
  • Price CAGR 13.00%
  • ROIC 7.1%
  • Operating margin 32.1%
  • Current ratio
  • Interest coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on tangible assets
  • ROE 42.6%
  • Revenue growth 5Y 10.7%
  • Earnings quality (operating cash flow / net income) 2.48
  • Share dilution 2.2%
  • Net margin trend 26.4% vs 21.1%
  • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

Failed (8)

  • P/B ratio 5.71
  • Debt/equity ratio
  • Positive free cash flow
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Earnings surprise, average 2.1%
  • PEG ratio 3.94

Unavailable (4)

  • Gross margin –
  • P/FCF –
  • Dividend payout –
  • CapEx intensity

Piotroski F-Score

5/9

Mixed signals: some areas need attention

ROA > 0
Operating cash flow > 0
ΔROA > 0
Cash flow > net income
Leverage ↓
Current ratio ↑
No dilution
Gross margin ↑
Asset turnover ↑

Earnings Quality

2.48

High quality: earnings backed by cash

Share Dilution

2.2%

Issuing new shares, diluting ownership

Institutional Holdings

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. Lawrence J. EllisonCo-Founder, Executive Chairman & CTO81
Mr. Michael D. SiciliaChief Executive Officer & Director54
Mr. Clayton M. MagouyrkChief Executive Officer & Director39
Ms. Safra Ada CatzExecutive Vice Chair63
Ms. Hilary Barbara Maxson B.Sc., M.B.A.Chief Financial Officer47
Mr. Mark HuraPresident of Global Field Operations51
Mr. Stuart A. LeveyExecutive VP & Chief Legal Officer61
Mr. Douglas A. KehringExecutive VP & Head of Operations52
Mr. Jeffrey O. HenleyExecutive Vice Chairman of the Board80
Ms. Maria SmithExecutive VP & Chief Accounting Officer58

Audit Risk

1

Board Risk

10

Compensation Risk

10

Shareholder Rights Risk

6

Documents

  • Annual Report (10-K)

    A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.

    Filed on 2026-06-22

    View document
  • Quarterly Report (10-Q)

    A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.

    Filed on 2026-09-11

    View document
  • Current Report (8-K)

    An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.

    Filed on 2026-09-14

    View document

via SEC EDGAR

Income History

via SEC EDGAR

Part 2 · The price and its context

This part shows how the price has behaved, not whether the company is worth owning. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Market Reaction Profile

How much ORCL moves, measured on its daily prices.

VolatilityHigh

More volatile than 80% of the tracked stocks (90-day volatility).

Volatility 30d
52.4%
Volatility 90d
54.5%
Beta vs S&P 500 (1y)
2.24Correlation 0.50
Max drawdown (12m)
-59.4%
ATR (14d, % of price)
5.20%

Earnings reactions

How ORCL moved around its past quarterly results.

Next earnings release

Dec 14, 2026 · In 51 days · Time not known

EPS estimate: 1.89Revenue estimate: $21.3B

What usually happens

  • Over the last 12 releases the stock moved a median of 11.1% the next day, up or down.
  • Next-day moves: up 6, down 6 (out of 12).
  • Of the 4 releases that beat estimates, the stock fell the next day after 2.

Release history

DateWhen EPS est.EPS actualSurprise Gap 1 day5 days
Sep 10, 2026After the close2.002.03+1.4% +7.5% -1.7% -1.5%
Jun 10, 2026After the close1.741.79+3.1% -10.7% -8.5% -8.8%
Mar 10, 2026After the close1.672.26+35.2% +11.4% +9.2% +3.5%
Dec 10, 2025After the close1.511.47-2.6% -14.5% -10.8% -20.0%
Sep 9, 2025After the close1.681.70+1.4% +32.2% +35.9% +27.0%
Jun 11, 2025After the closen/an/an/a+7.7% +13.3% +19.6%
Mar 10, 2025After the closen/an/an/a-3.6% -3.1% +3.5%
Dec 9, 2024After the closen/an/an/a-8.9% -6.7% -10.1%
Sep 9, 2024After the closen/an/an/a+10.3% +11.4% +21.8%
Jun 11, 2024After the closen/an/an/a+8.7% +13.3% +16.8%
Mar 11, 2024After the closen/an/an/a+10.6% +11.7% +12.0%
Dec 11, 2023After the closen/an/an/a-10.8% -12.4% -8.8%

Release dates from SEC 8-K filings.

Updated 10/24/2026

Historical statistics for educational purposes only. They are not forecasts and not investment advice.

Price reaction to the news

Latest news on ORCL and what the price did next.

Return of the stock minus return of SPY over the same days. A news item close to a price move did not necessarily cause it. Historical data for educational purposes only, not investment advice.

Latest News

Recent headlines for ORCL.

  • 2d agoNEGATIVE
    Le azioni Oracle scendono del 4%: perché un analista vede un rialzo del 120%

    Oracle shares plunged 4% to $123.94, extending their year-to-date decline to 36% and heading for their worst annual performance since 2001. The stock has fallen 54% over the past 12 months, including a 16% drop in the last month. This downturn occurs despite robust demand for Oracle's services and continued growth in its contracted revenue backlog. Investors are currently weighing the company's significant financing needs for its AI infrastructure expansion, leading to concerns about debt levels and growth prospects, which outweigh the positive demand signals.

  • 4d agoPOSITIVE
    Le azioni Oracle salgono quasi del 2% oggi: ecco perché

    Oracle Corporation (ORCL) shares climbed 1.92% following news of an expanded healthcare AI collaboration with AstraZeneca. This partnership aims to leverage AI technologies for identifying clinical trial patients, enhancing care pathways, and bridging medical research with routine clinical practice. The initiative underscores Oracle's strategy to broaden AI applications beyond its cloud infrastructure. Analysts also noted improving demand for Oracle's software and potential support from Nvidia for its data center expansion plans. Despite ongoing scrutiny over data center investment costs, the positive developments in AI and strategic partnerships are driving investor sentiment.

  • 5d agoPOSITIVE
    La prossima grande opportunità AI di Oracle potrebbe non riguardare i data center

    Oracle has entered into a non-binding collaboration with AstraZeneca focused on AI in healthcare, signaling a strategic pivot beyond its core data center business. The partnership aims to leverage Oracle's technology and AstraZeneca's health data to enhance clinical trial identification, patient care pathways, and the integration of medical research with routine healthcare. This move suggests a significant commercial opportunity for Oracle in specialized healthcare technology sales to pharmaceutical companies and hospitals, diversifying its revenue streams from solely cloud infrastructure services. Investors will be watching to see if this specialized AI application can drive substantial growth and profitability.

  • 11d agoPOSITIVE
    Perché le azioni Oracle stanno guadagnando il 4% oggi?

    Oracle shares surged 3% on Tuesday as investors reacted positively to the company's proposed electrical agreement for its Project Jupiter AI data center in New Mexico. The deal with El Paso Electric aims to secure power during the critical construction and commissioning phases, while also addressing emergency power and worker safety needs. This initiative complements Oracle's existing plan to utilize Bloom Energy's fuel cell microgrid as a primary power source. Additionally, a separate collaboration with Microsoft and Marvell Technology on data center security further bolsters investor confidence. These developments underscore Oracle's aggressive expansion in the AI infrastructure space.

  • 15d agoNEUTRAL
    Oracle vacilla: ricavi in crescita e valutazione scontata innescheranno un rimbalzo?

    Oracle shares have experienced a significant downturn, falling 42% from their yearly high to trade at $142.35. This decline is largely attributed to investor focus on OpenAI, a major client, which is reportedly facing revenue challenges. Recent reports suggest OpenAI's annualized revenue is below $50 billion, significantly lower than media speculation and trailing competitors like Anthropic. While Oracle's stock shows signs of forming a bottom, suggesting a potential short-term rebound, the ongoing uncertainty surrounding OpenAI's performance and the broader AI competition introduces considerable risk. Investors are closely monitoring these developments for any signs of a sustained recovery.

  • 18d agoNEUTRAL
    Binance bStocks Will Reinvest Oracle And Marvell Dividends Onchain

    Binance's bStocks will automatically reinvest cash dividends from Oracle (ORCL) and Marvell (MRVL) into additional fractions of their respective bStocks (ORCLB, MRVLB). This process bypasses direct cash payouts to onchain holders, instead adjusting their holdings via a multiplier. While this offers a seamless way to accumulate more bStocks, it represents a change in dividend distribution mechanics rather than a fundamental change in the underlying companies' performance or dividend policy. Investors should note the operational aspect of dividend handling on the Binance platform.

  • 21d agoNEGATIVE
    Larry Ellison Risk Exposed by Paramount and Oracle Debt Binges

    Oracle Corp. is increasingly viewed with caution by Wall Street due to its significant debt accumulation, alongside Paramount Global's borrowing spree. Both companies share a prominent link to billionaire Larry Ellison, raising concerns about potential financial strain. This increased leverage could expose Oracle to greater financial risk, potentially impacting its stock performance and investor confidence as debt servicing costs rise and financial flexibility diminishes.

  • 25d agoPOSITIVE
    Good news for OpenAI is great news for Oracle’s stock — here’s why

    Oracle's stock is experiencing a surge in investor optimism, directly linked to OpenAI's proximity to a significant revenue milestone. While the specific figures for OpenAI's revenue are not detailed, the market's positive reaction suggests a substantial achievement that is expected to translate into increased demand for Oracle's cloud infrastructure and services, which are crucial for AI development. This news highlights the symbiotic relationship between AI innovation and the underlying technology providers, potentially leading to upward revisions in Oracle's earnings forecasts and increased analyst price targets.

  • 25d agoPOSITIVE
    Oracle Connects Bank Payment Systems To Swift’s Blockchain Ledger

    Oracle has announced a significant integration of its banking and blockchain infrastructure with Swift's shared ledger, enabling tokenized deposits. This collaboration allows banks to connect their tokenized-deposit systems directly to cross-bank payment flows, maintaining full control over their underlying assets. Oracle Banking Payments will facilitate the seamless connection of these digital-asset flows with existing ISO 20022 processing standards. The move is expected to streamline interbank transactions and foster greater adoption of tokenized assets in the financial sector, potentially enhancing Oracle's position in the financial technology space.