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Salesforce Inc (CRM)

Fair Value
TechnologySoftware - ApplicationUnited States

Fundamental

76

Price

$248.57

Market Cap

$198.98B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

Salesforce sells cloud-based enterprise software that companies use to manage their relationships with customers: sales pipelines, customer service cases, marketing campaigns, e-commerce storefronts, data integration and analytics. The customer never installs anything — the software runs on Salesforce's infrastructure and is reached through a browser or an app. In fiscal 2026 (the year ended 31 January 2026) the company generated $41.5 billion of revenue, up 10% year over year, and it now markets its products under the umbrella of the AI-driven 'Agentforce 360 Platform'. Its customers range from small businesses to the largest multinationals, across essentially every industry and every major geography. Salesforce has grown as much by acquisition as organically — Slack, Tableau, MuleSoft and, in November 2025, the data-management company Informatica.

How it makes money

Almost everything is subscription revenue. Customers sign multi-year contracts for a number of user licences or a volume of usage, pay in advance (usually annually), and the revenue is recognised evenly over the life of the contract. In fiscal 2026 subscription and support brought in $39.4 billion of the $41.5 billion total — roughly 95% — and the remaining $2.1 billion came from professional services: consulting, implementation and training, a lower-margin business that mostly exists to get the subscriptions live. The model produces very visible forward revenue: the company reported approximately $72.4 billion of total remaining performance obligation at 31 January 2026, that is, contracted business not yet recognised, up 14% year over year. Growth comes from three places: new customers, more seats inside existing customers, and selling additional clouds or AI add-ons to accounts that already use one.

Revenue by segment

Service23.6%

Customer-service software: case management, call-centre consoles, self-service portals and, increasingly, AI agents that answer customer requests. Sold to support and contact-centre organisations. $9,818 million in fiscal 2026.

Sales21.7%

The original CRM product: managing leads, opportunities, forecasts and sales-team activity. Sold to sales organisations, from a handful of reps to global sales forces. $9,028 million in fiscal 2026.

Platform, Slack and Other21.4%

Tools for building custom applications on Salesforce's infrastructure, the Slack collaboration service, industry-specific products and, from November 2025, Informatica. Sold to IT departments and to customers who want to extend the standard products. $8,882 million in fiscal 2026, including $388 million of subscription revenue from Informatica.

Integration and Analytics15%

MuleSoft, which connects Salesforce to the rest of a company's systems, and Tableau, which turns company data into charts and dashboards. Sold to data and IT teams. $6,232 million in fiscal 2026.

Marketing and Commerce13.1%

Campaign management, email and journey automation, plus software for running online storefronts. Sold to marketing departments and to retailers and brands selling direct. $5,428 million in fiscal 2026 — the slowest-growing of the offerings, up about 3% year over year.

Professional services and other5.1%

Consulting, implementation, migration and training delivered by Salesforce's own people to get customers onto the software. $2,137 million in fiscal 2026, down from $2,216 million the year before — the only line that shrank.

Competitive moat

Switching costs · Wide

Once a company runs its sales pipeline, its service cases and its custom-built applications on Salesforce, moving away means re-training every user, rebuilding integrations to the rest of the IT estate and migrating years of customer history. That cost is what keeps renewal rates high and lets the company sell additional products into accounts it already has. Two things reinforce it: the ecosystem of consultants, independent developers and third-party apps built around the platform, and the fact that MuleSoft and Slack sit in the plumbing between Salesforce and everything else a company uses. It is not an unassailable position — the company itself lists customer attrition and the possible withdrawal of third-party developers among its risk factors — but the evidence of a 14% increase in contracted, not-yet-recognised revenue points to customers who stay.

What drives demand

Moderately cyclical

Demand is neither defensive nor sharply cyclical. The stabiliser is the contract structure: multi-year subscriptions paid in advance, with about $72.4 billion of contracted revenue already booked but not yet recognised at 31 January 2026, so a downturn cannot remove revenue quickly — it slows the rate at which new revenue is added. The cyclical part is that Salesforce sells per user. Demand tracks corporate IT budgets and, more directly, corporate headcount: when clients stop hiring or cut staff, seat counts fall at renewal even if nobody cancels. The company names weakened economic conditions among its risk factors. Fiscal 2026 growth of 10%, with Marketing and Commerce up only about 3% while Platform, Slack and Other grew sharply, also shows demand shifting between product lines rather than moving as one block.

Key risks

  • Security breaches and cybersecurity incidents — Salesforce holds its customers' commercial and personal data on its own systems. The company lists breaches, unauthorised access and incidents affecting its infrastructure among its principal risks: such an event could expose customer data, trigger liability and regulatory action, and damage the brand on which sales depend.
  • Intense competition, including from AI-native entrants — The filing describes a market contested by large diversified software vendors and, explicitly, by 'AI-native companies and emerging startups that leverage generative AI and large language models as core foundation of their architecture, offering specialized, autonomous, or automated solutions'. Competitors may price more aggressively or move faster.
  • Social, ethical and regulatory issues around artificial intelligence — The company flags the development, deployment, use and capabilities of AI in its offerings as a risk in its own right: evolving rules, unintended outputs and public scrutiny could constrain the products it is now building its strategy around.
  • Acquisition integration — Salesforce lists the challenges of integrating acquired businesses among its risks. This is not abstract: Informatica closed in November 2025 and contributed $388 million of subscription revenue in fiscal 2026, and Slack, Tableau and MuleSoft all arrived the same way.
  • Privacy laws and restrictions on cross-border data transfer — As a custodian of personal data operating worldwide, the company is exposed to privacy legislation and to rules restricting where data may be stored and moved — a category of risk it lists separately, alongside industry-specific regulation of its customers.
  • Customer attrition and long, complex enterprise sales cycles — The subscription model only works if customers renew. The filing lists customer attrition, disruption in the sales organisation and the length and complexity of enterprise sales cycles as distinct risks — revenue is recognised over time, so a bad selling year shows up slowly and then persists.
  • Weakened economic conditions — Among its general risks the company lists weakened economic conditions, which reach it through customers' IT budgets and headcount: fewer employees at a client means fewer licences to renew.
  • Service defects, outages and dependence on third parties — Because everything runs on Salesforce's own infrastructure, defects or disruptions in the service — including interruptions at the third-party providers it relies on — hit every customer at once.

Customer concentration

There is no concentration to speak of. The 10-K states plainly: 'None of our customers accounted for more than ten percent of our revenues in fiscal years 2026, 2025 or 2024.' The filing does not disclose a combined share for the largest customers, so no number can be given. The revenue base is spread across businesses of every size and essentially every industry and geography — the exposure is to the corporate spending cycle as a whole, not to any one account.

The case for

Buyers argue that the business is about as predictable as enterprise software gets: roughly 95% of fiscal 2026 revenue was recurring subscription, contracted future revenue reached about $72.4 billion (up 14%, faster than the 10% revenue growth), and no customer is worth more than ten percent of the top line. They point to profitability that keeps improving alongside growth — operating income of $8.3 billion against $7.2 billion the year before, an operating margin of about 20% versus roughly 19%, and $15.0 billion of cash from operations, up 15%. On the product side, they argue that AI is a reason to buy more Salesforce rather than less: the agents are sold into the same accounts, on top of data the customer has already put in the platform, and the Platform, Slack and Other line growing from $7.2 billion to $8.9 billion is read as early evidence. They add that Informatica strengthens the data layer these agents depend on.

The case against

Sellers fear that the same AI wave is a threat rather than a tailwind. Salesforce's own risk factors name 'AI-native companies and emerging startups' that build on generative models as competitors offering specialised, autonomous or automated solutions — and if an agent can do the work a licensed user used to do, a business priced per seat is exposed at its foundation. They point to a top line growing 10% at a company of this size, with Marketing and Commerce up only about 3% and professional services actually shrinking from $2,216 million to $2,137 million, and note that $399 million of the fiscal 2026 increase came from Informatica rather than from the existing business. That leads to the second worry: a company that has bought Slack, Tableau, MuleSoft and now Informatica carries permanent integration risk, which the filing itself lists, and each deal makes it harder to tell bought growth from earned growth. Sellers also note that the company's own risk factors include customer attrition, long enterprise sales cycles and weakened economic conditions — a per-seat model shrinks quietly when clients stop hiring.

Generated with artificial intelligence on September 18, 2026, shared with all users

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated with artificial intelligence on September 18, 2026, shared with all users

P/E: 29.2Score: 78Market cap: $3.93T

Microsoft sells Dynamics 365 Sales, Service and Marketing to the same enterprise buyers Salesforce targets, and bundles them with Microsoft 365, Teams and Azure that many of those customers already pay for.

P/E: 19.8Score: 66Market cap: $390.46B

Oracle's Fusion Cloud CX competes head-on for large-enterprise sales, service and marketing deployments, and is the vendor closest to Salesforce by CRM application revenue in IDC's ranking.

SAP SESAPGF
P/E: 29.8Score: 65Market cap: $229.94B

SAP's Customer Experience suite bids for the same front-office budget in large multinationals, where SAP can attach it to the ERP backbone those companies already run.

P/E: 14.7Score: 77Market cap: $95.43B

Adobe Experience Cloud competes directly with Salesforce Marketing Cloud and Data Cloud for enterprise marketing automation, customer data and digital commerce spending.

P/E: 99.3Score: 74Market cap: $158.33B

ServiceNow's customer service and field service workflows overlap with Salesforce Service Cloud, and both now sell AI agents on top of the same enterprise platform budget.

P/E: 96.1Score: 71Market cap: $12.46B

HubSpot targets the small and mid-market end of the same sales and marketing CRM demand, where it is the alternative most often chosen instead of Salesforce.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$43.94B

Trailing 12 months (through 7/31/2026)

Net Income

$9.66B

Trailing 12 months (through 7/31/2026)

Free Cash Flow

$14.40B

Total Equity

$59.14B

Total Liabilities

$53.16B

Current Ratio

0.84

Interest Coverage

8.92

Debt/EBITDA

4.45

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

General caseFairly Valued

Fair Value

$251.72

Current Price

$248.57

Margin of Safety

+1.3%

Fair Value Range

$164.00 - $339.44

Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.

Estimation Methods

Analyst price target:$286.14
Discounted cash flow (DCF):$339.61
Earnings multiple (P/E):$156.71
Graham growth formula:$317.21
Earnings power value (EPV):$69.92
Justified P/B:$139.76
Dividend discount (Gordon):$23.73
P/FFO, funds from operations:$168.30
Mid-cycle earnings:$32.71
Revenue multiple:$288.54
Last Earnings Surprise:+78.44%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

22.68

ROE

12.6%

P/B Ratio

5.33

P/FCF

13.50

Gross Margin

77.3%

ROIC

8.3%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

8.3%

WACC

9.5%

ROIC − WACC

-1.2 pp

ROIC is below the cost of capital — the company is destroying value for every dollar invested.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (22)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • EPS CAGR 24.55%
  • Price CAGR 13.17%
  • ROIC 8.3%
  • Gross margin 77.3%
  • P/FCF 13.50
  • Debt/equity ratio
  • Operating margin 19.9%
  • Positive free cash flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current ratio
  • Interest coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on tangible assets
  • ROE 20.2%
  • Revenue growth 5Y 14.3%
  • Earnings surprise, average 50.8%
  • PEG ratio 1.69
  • Earnings quality (operating cash flow / net income) 1.63
  • Share dilution -1.9%
  • Net margin trend 22.0% vs 16.9%
  • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

Failed (4)

  • P/B ratio 5.33
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)

Unavailable (1)

  • Dividend payout –

Piotroski F-Score

7/9

Strong financial health

ROA > 0
Operating cash flow > 0
ΔROA > 0
Cash flow > net income
Leverage ↓
Current ratio ↑
No dilution
Gross margin ↑
Asset turnover ↑

Earnings Quality

1.63

High quality: earnings backed by cash

Share Dilution

-1.9%

Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly

Institutional Holdings

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. Marc R. BenioffCo-Founder, Chairman & CEO60
Mr. Miguel MilanoPresident & COO56
Ms. Robin L. Washington CPAPresident, Chief Operating & Financial Officer and Director62
Mr. Parker HarrisCo-Founder, Advisor to the CEO & Director58
Mr. Srinivas TallapragadaSpecial Advisor to the Chief Executive Officer55
Mr. Sabastian V. NilesPresident, Chief Legal Officer & Corporate Secretary45
Ms. Nathalie ScardinoPresident & Chief People Officer-
Ms. Alexa VignonePresident & Chief Revenue Officer-
Ms. Erin OlesPresident & Chief Marketing Officer-
Mr. Rohan KumarPresident & Chief Platform and Engineering Officer-

Audit Risk

3

Board Risk

7

Compensation Risk

9

Shareholder Rights Risk

2

Documents

  • Annual Report (10-K)

    A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.

    Filed on 2026-03-02

    View document
  • Quarterly Report (10-Q)

    A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.

    Filed on 2026-08-27

    View document
  • Current Report (8-K)

    An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.

    Filed on 2026-10-20

    View document

via SEC EDGAR

Income History

via SEC EDGAR

Part 2 · The price and its context

This part shows how the price has behaved, not whether the company is worth owning. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Market Reaction Profile

How much CRM moves, measured on its daily prices.

VolatilityHigh

More volatile than 77% of the tracked stocks (90-day volatility).

Volatility 30d
33.8%
Volatility 90d
52.0%
Beta vs S&P 500 (1y)
0.40Correlation 0.11
Max drawdown (12m)
-43.6%
ATR (14d, % of price)
3.53%

Earnings reactions

How CRM moved around its past quarterly results.

Next earnings release

Dec 2, 2026 · In 39 days · Time not known

EPS estimate: 3.45Revenue estimate: $11.5B

What usually happens

  • Over the last 12 releases the stock moved a median of 4.0% the next day, up or down.
  • Next-day moves: up 6, down 6 (out of 12).

Release history

DateWhen EPS est.EPS actualSurprise Gap 1 day5 days
Aug 26, 2026After the close3.153.88+23.2% +11.9% +22.6% +25.0%
May 27, 2026After the close3.083.81+23.9% +0.5% -0.8% +7.4%
Feb 25, 2026After the close2.893.25+12.6% +2.6% +4.0% +0.7%
Dec 3, 2025After the closen/an/an/a+2.1% +3.7% +10.7%
Sep 3, 2025After the closen/an/an/a-6.4% -4.9% -5.4%
May 28, 2025After the closen/an/an/a-4.5% -3.3% -4.7%
Feb 26, 2025After the closen/an/an/a-3.6% -4.0% -5.0%
Dec 3, 2024After the closen/an/an/a+10.7% +11.0% +5.2%
Aug 28, 2024After the closen/an/an/a+4.7% -0.7% -4.9%
May 29, 2024After the closen/an/an/a-17.8% -19.7% -12.9%
Feb 28, 2024After the closen/an/an/a+0.1% +3.0% +1.3%
Nov 29, 2023After the closen/an/an/a+8.1% +9.4% +8.2%

Release dates from SEC 8-K filings.

Updated 10/24/2026

Historical statistics for educational purposes only. They are not forecasts and not investment advice.

Price reaction to the news

Latest news on CRM and what the price did next.

Return of the stock minus return of SPY over the same days. A news item close to a price move did not necessarily cause it. Historical data for educational purposes only, not investment advice.

Latest News

Recent headlines for CRM.

  • 4d agoNEGATIVE
    Azioni Salesforce in calo mentre l'accordo da $5.7B per Braze suscita preoccupazioni

    Salesforce has agreed to acquire marketing software firm Braze for approximately $5.7 billion in cash. The deal, priced at $47.50 per Braze share, represents a significant premium of about 58% over Braze's prior closing price. While Braze shares surged on the news, Salesforce's stock declined. The acquisition aims to bolster Salesforce's AI capabilities and market position in a competitive landscape. However, the substantial cash outlay and the premium paid have raised investor concerns, leading to a negative market reaction for Salesforce's equity.

  • 12d agoNEUTRAL
    These stocks could be the future winners — and losers — of a massive shift in IT spending

    Analysts suggest a significant shift in IT spending towards AI software could benefit Salesforce by deepening customer relationships. Conversely, Adobe is perceived as potentially vulnerable in this evolving landscape. This divergence highlights a strategic pivot in the tech sector, where companies focusing on AI integration and offerings may gain a competitive edge. Investors should monitor how these companies adapt their product strategies and market positioning to capitalize on the AI boom, as it could redefine market leadership and shareholder value in the coming years.

  • 12d agoPOSITIVE
    Perché il titolo Salesforce sta salendo oggi?

    Salesforce shares surged over 2% following a significant upgrade from Bank of America, which moved the stock from 'Underperform' to 'Buy'. The upgrade is underpinned by the perceived potential of Artificial Intelligence (AI) to boost demand for enterprise software platforms. Adding to the positive sentiment, Salesforce announced its acquisition of Loops, an AI-powered analytics startup, further integrating AI into its business intelligence strategy. Bank of America also raised its price target for Salesforce to $285 from $160, emphasizing that large enterprises are unlikely to replace their core software platforms, which manage critical data, workflows, and compliance, as they adopt AI technologies. This strategic move and analyst confidence signal strong future prospects for the company.

  • 9/16/2026NEGATIVE
    Azioni Salesforce in calo per interruzione di servizio durante la conferenza

    Salesforce shares experienced a 2% decline on Tuesday as its annual Dreamforce conference commenced. The stock faced further scrutiny on Wednesday due to a widespread service outage affecting customer access to parts of its cloud suite. The disruption, which began around 7:50 UTC, occurred on the second day of the flagship event. The company indicated that customers across its three operating regions, primarily in the US, might encounter significant delays, intermittent errors, or complete inaccessibility. This incident raises concerns about service reliability during a critical customer engagement period.

  • 9/11/2026NEUTRAL
    Salesforce’s stock has been riding a wave of AI optimism. Here’s what Wall Street wants to see next.

    Salesforce's stock has been buoyed by AI enthusiasm, with investors now keenly awaiting developments from the upcoming Dreamforce conference. A key focus will be the practical integration and impact of the Claude AI partnership with Anthropic. Analysts are looking for tangible evidence of how this collaboration will translate into product innovation and enhanced customer value, which could solidify the company's position in the competitive AI landscape and justify current valuations. The market's reaction will hinge on concrete demonstrations of AI-driven growth strategies.

  • 8/27/2026POSITIVE
    Salesforce’s stock rockets 20% and gives the software sector a major lift

    Salesforce Inc. experienced a significant surge, with its stock price climbing 20% following its latest earnings report. The results indicate that the rise of Artificial Intelligence is not diminishing the demand for traditional software solutions. Furthermore, the report highlighted a willingness from major AI model operators to form strategic partnerships with established vendors like Salesforce. This development suggests a synergistic future where AI and legacy software can coexist and even enhance each other, providing a strong positive outlook for the company and the broader software sector.