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NBT Bancorp Inc. (NBTB)

Fair Value
Financial ServicesBanks - RegionalUnited States

Fundamental

64

Price

$52.87

Market Cap

$2.67B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

NBT Bancorp Inc., a financial holding company, provides personal and commercial banking, retail banking, and wealth management services in the United States. It operates through Banking, Retirement Plan Administration, and All Other segments. The company offers demand deposit, savings, interest-bearing checking, money market deposit, and certificate of deposit accounts; and indirect and direct consumer loans, home equity loans and lines of credit, residential mortgages, business banking loans, commercial and industrial loans, agricultural loans, commercial construction loans, commercial real estate loans, indirect auto loans, and other consumer loans, as well as agricultural lending, personal lines of credit, overdraft protection, and second mortgage loans. It also provides trust and investment services; financial planning and life insurance services; and retirement plan and health savings account recordkeeping and administration, and actuarial services. In addition, the company offers insurance products, such as personal property and casualty, business liability, and commercial insurance; and other products and services through a network of ATM locations and 24-hour online, mobile, and telephone channels that enable customers to check balances, make deposits, transfer funds, pay bills, access statements, apply for loans, and access various other products and services. Further, it operates as a property management and passive investment company, as well as investment advisor that provides investment management and financial consulting services. The company serves retail, commercial, and municipal customers. It operates in upstate New York, northeastern Pennsylvania, southern New Hampshire, western Massachusetts, Vermont, southern Maine, and central and northwestern Connecticut. NBT Bancorp Inc. was founded in 1856 and is headquartered in Norwich, New York.

No editorial profile for this company yet

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated with artificial intelligence on September 19, 2026, shared with all users

P/E: 11.7Score: 75Market cap: $31.70B

The dominant commercial bank in upstate New York and New England, it takes on NBT directly for middle-market lending, commercial real estate and branch deposits, with a far larger balance sheet and advertising budget.

Community Financial System, Inc.CBU

The closest match to NBT: a Syracuse-based community bank holding company with branches across the same upstate New York and northeastern Pennsylvania towns, and the same mix of retail and commercial banking plus wealth management, insurance and employee-benefit services.

Tompkins Financial CorporationTMP

Ithaca-based community bank serving the Finger Lakes, Hudson Valley and southeastern Pennsylvania — largely NBT's own footprint — with the same local-decision-making pitch to small businesses and the same trust and wealth-advisory business.

Arrow Financial CorporationAROW

Competes branch-for-branch with NBT in northeastern New York — Glens Falls, Saratoga County, the Capital Region and the North Country — for household deposits, small-business loans and municipal banking relationships.

Financial Institutions, Inc. (Five Star Bank)FISI

Its Five Star Bank subsidiary chases the same consumer, small-business and municipal customers across western and central New York, where NBT also lends and gathers deposits.

TrustCo BancorpTRST

Schenectady-based bank competing with NBT for residential mortgages and retail deposits in New York's Capital Region and Hudson Valley.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$742M

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Net Income

$214M

Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)

Free Cash Flow

$219M

Total Equity

$1.90B

Total Liabilities

$14.10B

Current Ratio

-

Interest Coverage

0.51

Debt/EBITDA

-

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

BankFairly Valued

Fair Value

$56.05

Current Price

$52.87

Margin of Safety

+5.7%

Fair Value Range

$45.62 - $66.47

Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.

Estimation Methods

Analyst price target:$57.50
Discounted cash flow (DCF):Not applicable to this type of company
Earnings multiple (P/E):$47.22
Graham growth formula:Not applicable to this type of company
Earnings power value (EPV):Not applicable to this type of company
Justified P/B:$65.93
Dividend discount (Gordon):$37.98
P/FFO, funds from operations:Not applicable to this type of company
Mid-cycle earnings:Not applicable to this type of company
Revenue multiple:Not applicable to this type of company
Last Earnings Surprise:-3.16%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

12.83

ROE

8.9%

P/B Ratio

1.41

P/FCF

11.19

Gross Margin

-

ROIC

-

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

-

WACC

8.7%

ROIC − WACC

-

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (13)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • P/FCF 11.19
  • P/B ratio 1.41
  • Operating margin 37.4%
  • Positive free cash flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • ROE 11.3%
  • PEG ratio 1.78
  • Earnings quality (operating cash flow / net income) 1.22
  • Net margin trend 28.8% vs 21.4%
  • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

Failed (9)

  • EPS CAGR 3.69%
  • Price CAGR 1.89%
  • Debt/equity ratio
  • Interest coverage
  • Return on tangible assets
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Revenue growth 5Y 4.4%
  • Earnings surprise, average 1.1%
  • Share dilution 7.3%

Unavailable (5)

  • ROIC –
  • Gross margin –
  • Dividend payout –
  • Current ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA

Piotroski F-Score

6/9

Mixed signals: some areas need attention

ROA > 0
Operating cash flow > 0
ΔROA > 0
Cash flow > net income
Leverage ↓
Current ratio ↑
No dilution
Gross margin ↑
Asset turnover ↑

Earnings Quality

1.22

High quality: earnings backed by cash

Share Dilution

7.3%

Issuing new shares, diluting ownership

Institutional Holdings

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. Scott A. Kingsley CPAPresident, CEO & Director60
Ms. Annette L. BurnsExecutive VP & CFO52
Mr. Joseph R. StaglianoSenior Executive Vice President56
Ms. Amy C. WilesStrategic Advisor66
Ms. Ruth Halley MahoneyExecutive VP & President of Wealth Management57
Amy S. HurtaSenior VP & Senior Director of Operations-
Mr. Kenneth J. Entenmann C.F.A.Senior VP, Chief Investment Officer & Chief Economist-
Mr. Martin Randolph SparksExecutive VP, General Counsel, Chief Ethics Officer & Corporate Secretary66
Ms. Florence R. DollerSenior VP & Director of Corporate Communications-
Ms. Cynthia A. SmaniottoExecutive VP & Chief Human Resources Officer-

Audit Risk

3

Board Risk

5

Compensation Risk

1

Shareholder Rights Risk

2

Documents

  • Annual Report (10-K)

    A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.

    Filed on 2026-02-27

    View document
  • Quarterly Report (10-Q)

    A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.

    Filed on 2026-08-07

    View document
  • Current Report (8-K)

    An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.

    Filed on 2026-09-21

    View document

via SEC EDGAR

Income History

via SEC EDGAR

Part 2 · The price and its context

This part shows how the price has behaved, not whether the company is worth owning. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Market Reaction Profile

How much NBTB moves, measured on its daily prices.

VolatilityLow

More volatile than 3% of the tracked stocks (90-day volatility).

Volatility 30d
15.7%
Volatility 90d
17.9%
Beta vs S&P 500 (1y)
0.36Correlation 0.21
Max drawdown (12m)
-12.9%
ATR (14d, % of price)
1.68%

Earnings reactions

How NBTB moved around its past quarterly results.

Next earnings release

Oct 27, 2026 · In 3 days · After the close

EPS estimate: 1.09Revenue estimate: $194M

What usually happens

  • Over the last 12 releases the stock moved a median of 3.4% the next day, up or down.
  • Next-day moves: up 8, down 4 (out of 12).

Release history

DateWhen EPS est.EPS actualSurprise Gap 1 day5 days
Jul 27, 2026After the close1.041.01-3.2% -0.6% +2.1% +0.7%
Apr 23, 2026After the close1.000.97-3.2% -4.5% -4.5% -3.5%
Jan 26, 2026After the close1.011.05+4.4% +0.7% -1.1% +3.4%
Oct 27, 2025After the close0.991.05+6.3% +2.6% +1.4% +0.2%
Jul 28, 2025After the closen/an/an/a+3.0% +3.8% -1.2%
Apr 24, 2025After the closen/an/an/a+0.2% +0.6% +0.4%
Jan 27, 2025After the closen/an/an/a-2.0% -5.4% -4.2%
Oct 28, 2024After the closen/an/an/a-0.9% +0.2% -3.0%
Jul 22, 2024After the closen/an/an/a+0.1% +8.1% +5.8%
Apr 22, 2024After the closen/an/an/a+2.3% +3.5% +1.4%
Jan 23, 2024After the closen/an/an/a+0.3% -3.3% -5.4%
Oct 24, 2023After the closen/an/an/a+4.0% +7.6% +10.1%

Release dates from SEC 8-K filings.

Updated 10/24/2026

Historical statistics for educational purposes only. They are not forecasts and not investment advice.

Price reaction to the news

Latest news on NBTB and what the price did next.

No positive or negative news on NBTB has been archived yet.

Return of the stock minus return of SPY over the same days. A news item close to a price move did not necessarily cause it. Historical data for educational purposes only, not investment advice.

Latest News

Recent headlines for NBTB.

  • 4/24/2026NEUTRAL
    Full Transcript: NBT Bancorp Q1 2026 Earnings Call

    NBT Bancorp has released the full transcript of its Q1 2026 Earnings Call, dated April 24, 2026. The transcript provides detailed insights into the company's financial performance, strategic initiatives, and outlook for the upcoming quarters. Investors and analysts can review the discussions on revenue streams, operational efficiency, market positioning, and management's forward-looking statements. While the transcript itself is informational, it allows for a deeper understanding of the company's trajectory and potential future developments without immediate price-moving news.