Northrop Grumman Corp (NOC)
Fair ValueFundamental
69
Price
$551.44
Market Cap
$76.62B
Part 1 · What the company is worth
Overview
Northrop Grumman Corporation operates as an aerospace and defense technology company in the United States, Asia/Pacific, Europe, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Aeronautics Systems, Defense Systems, Mission Systems and Space Systems. The Aeronautics Systems segment designs, develops, produces, integrates, sustains, and modernizes aircraft systems. This segment also offers unmanned autonomous aircraft systems, including high-altitude long-endurance strategic, surveillance and reconnaissance systems; and strategic long-range strike aircraft, tactical fighter and air dominance aircraft, and airborne battle management and command and control systems. Its Defense Systems segment designs, develops, integrates, and produces strategic deterrent systems, tactical weapons, and missile defense solutions; and provides sustainment, modernization, and training services for manned and unmanned aircraft and electronics systems. This segment also offers strategic missiles; integrated all-domain command and control systems; precision strike weapons; tactical solid rocket motors, and high-speed air-breathing and hypersonic systems; high-performance gun systems, ammunition, precision munitions, and advanced fuzes; and sustainment, operation, and modernization. The Mission Systems segment provides command, control, communication and computer, intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance systems; radar, electro-optical/infrared, and acoustic sensors; electronic warfare systems; advanced communications and network systems; microelectronics; navigation and positioning sensors; maritime power, propulsion, and payload launch systems; cyber solutions; and intelligence processing systems. Its Space Systems segment offers satellites, spacecraft systems, subsystems, sensors, and payloads; ground systems; missile defense systems and interceptors; and launch vehicles and related propulsion systems. The company was founded in 1939 and is based in Falls Church, Virginia.
No editorial profile for this company yet
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
Generated with artificial intelligence on September 19, 2026, shared with all users
Named by Northrop Grumman as a primary competitor, Lockheed Martin bids against it for the same U.S. Department of Defense contracts in military aircraft, missile defense and national-security space.
Named by Northrop Grumman as a primary competitor, RTX sells competing missiles, radars, sensors and electronic-warfare systems to the same U.S. and allied armed forces.
Named by Northrop Grumman as a primary competitor, L3Harris competes for the same mission-systems, military communications, small-satellite and solid rocket motor programs.
Named by Northrop Grumman as a primary competitor, Boeing's defense unit competes for the same military aircraft, strategic weapons and government space contracts.
Named by Northrop Grumman as a primary competitor, General Dynamics bids for the same defense electronics, command-and-control and government IT work for U.S. military and intelligence customers.
Through its large U.S. subsidiary BAE Systems, Inc., the British group competes head-to-head for American electronic-warfare, combat-systems and munitions programs, and for the same export customers among allied governments.
Balance Sheet & Liquidity
Revenue
$43.59B
Trailing 12 months (through 9/30/2026)
Net Income
$4.52B
Trailing 12 months (through 9/30/2026)
Free Cash Flow
$3.31B
Total Equity
$16.67B
Total Liabilities
$34.70B
Current Ratio
1.23
Interest Coverage
-
Debt/EBITDA
2.91
Earnings Per Share
Revenue & Net Income
Free Cash Flow
Income Breakdown
Historical statement
Margins over time
Debt over time
How heavy the debt is
Growth grid
Growth — Revenue
Fair Value Estimation
Fair Value
$588.62
Current Price
$551.44
Margin of Safety
+6.3%
Fair Value Range
$492.52 - $684.71
Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.
Estimation Methods
Valuation Metrics
P/E Ratio
17.42
ROE
25.1%
P/B Ratio
4.19
P/FCF
20.46
Gross Margin
-
ROIC
9.4%
Profitability Radar
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
9.4%
WACC
6.5%
ROIC − WACC
+2.9 pp
ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.
Fundamental Analysis Criteria
Passed (18)
- EPS shows upward trend
- EPS CAGR 10.13%
- Price CAGR 7.86%
- ROIC 9.4%
- P/FCF 20.46
- Debt/equity ratio
- Operating margin 10.6%
- Positive free cash flow
- Current ratio
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on tangible assets
- ROE 25.7%
- Earnings surprise, average 5.9%
- PEG ratio 1.92
- Earnings quality (operating cash flow / net income) 1.17
- Share dilution -2.4%
- Net margin trend 10.4% vs 9.8%
- Piotroski F-Score 6/9
Failed (6)
- P/B ratio 4.19
- CapEx intensity
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
- Revenue growth 5Y 2.7%
Unavailable (3)
- Gross margin –
- Dividend payout –
- Interest coverage
Piotroski F-Score
Mixed signals: some areas need attention
Earnings Quality
High quality: earnings backed by cash
Share Dilution
Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly
Institutional Holdings
Governance
Executive Team
| Name | Title | Age |
|---|---|---|
| Ms. Kathy J. Warden | Chair, CEO & President | 53 |
| Mr. Thomas H. Jones | Corporate VP & President of Aeronautics Systems Sector | 58 |
| Dr. Robert J. Fleming | Corporate VP & President of Northrop Grumman Space Systems Sector | 52 |
| Ms. Roshan S. Roeder | Corporate VP & President of Mission Systems Sector | 45 |
| Mr. John Thomas Greene | Corporate VP & CFO | 59 |
| Mr. Rajender K. Chandhok | Vice President of Trust Administration and Investments | 76 |
| Mr. Michael A. Hardesty | Corporate VP, Controller & Chief Accounting Officer | 53 |
| Mr. Bruce W. Stephenson | Vice President of Corporate Strategy & Technology | - |
| Mr. Travis Garriss | VP & Chief Information and Digital Officer | - |
| Mr. Todd B. Ernst | Vice President, Investor Relations | - |
Audit Risk
10
Board Risk
5
Compensation Risk
3
Shareholder Rights Risk
2
Documents
- View document
Annual Report (10-K)
A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.
Filed on 2026-01-27
- View document
Quarterly Report (10-Q)
A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.
Filed on 2026-10-20
- View document
Current Report (8-K)
An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.
Filed on 2026-10-20
via SEC EDGAR
Income History
via SEC EDGAR
Part 2 · The price and its context
This part shows how the price has behaved, not whether the company is worth owning. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.
Market Reaction Profile
How much NOC moves, measured on its daily prices.
More volatile than 32% of the tracked stocks (90-day volatility).
- Volatility 30d
- 30.2%
- Volatility 90d
- 29.1%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (1y)
- -0.02Correlation -0.01
- Max drawdown (12m)
- -38.4%
- ATR (14d, % of price)
- 2.53%
Earnings reactions
How NOC moved around its past quarterly results.
Next earnings release
No upcoming release on the calendar.
What usually happens
- Over the last 12 releases the stock moved a median of 3.7% the next day, up or down.
- Next-day moves: up 7, down 5 (out of 12).
- Of the 5 releases that beat estimates, the stock fell the next day after 3.
Release history
| Date | When | EPS est. | EPS actual | Surprise | Gap | 1 day | 5 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Before the open | 7.18 | 7.89 | +9.9% | +2.5% | +4.6% | n/a |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Before the open | 6.89 | 7.68 | +11.5% | -6.5% | -2.2% | +4.5% |
| Apr 21, 2026 | Before the open | 6.12 | 6.14 | +0.4% | -2.6% | -7.0% | -12.4% |
| Jan 27, 2026 | Before the open | 7.04 | 7.23 | +2.8% | -1.7% | +2.7% | +3.6% |
| Oct 21, 2025 | Before the open | 6.52 | 7.67 | +17.6% | -2.0% | -0.4% | -1.0% |
| Jul 22, 2025 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | +4.0% | +9.4% | +10.3% |
| Apr 22, 2025 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | -8.8% | -12.7% | -9.0% |
| Jan 30, 2025 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | -2.0% | +0.4% | -1.9% |
| Oct 24, 2024 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | -0.1% | +1.4% | -2.1% |
| Jul 25, 2024 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | +4.3% | +6.4% | +9.5% |
| Apr 25, 2024 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | -1.2% | +2.8% | +2.5% |
| Jan 25, 2024 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | -3.7% | -6.3% | -3.7% |
Release dates from SEC 8-K filings.
Updated 10/24/2026
Historical statistics for educational purposes only. They are not forecasts and not investment advice.
Price reaction to the news
Latest news on NOC and what the price did next.
- 10/20/2026PositiveNorthrop Grumman alza le stime sugli utili 2026: ordini record grazie alla domanda militare
- +1 day
- +4.2%
- +3 days
- +8.5%
- 8/25/2026PositiveNorthrop CEO on Defense Spending, Golden Dome System
- +1 day
- +1.3%
- +3 days
- +0.1%
- 7/25/2026NegativeDefense tech investors thought the war in Iran could make them millionaires. Instead, they faced a Wall Street bloodbath
- +1 day
- +1.0%
- +3 days
- 0.0%
- 4/21/2026NegativeWhat's Behind The Drop In Northrop Grumman Stock?
Published while the US market was open: the move of that day cannot be split into before and after the news, so no figure is shown.
- 3/7/2026Positive2 Dividend Stocks to Double Up On Right Now
- +1 day
- -2.0%
- +3 days
- -3.6%
- 2/20/2026Positive$100 Invested In Northrop Grumman 5 Years Ago Would Be Worth This Much Today
- +1 day
- +1.3%
- +3 days
- -3.3%
Return of the stock minus return of SPY over the same days. A news item close to a price move did not necessarily cause it. Historical data for educational purposes only, not investment advice.
Latest News
Recent headlines for NOC.
- 4d agoPOSITIVENorthrop Grumman alza le stime sugli utili 2026: ordini record grazie alla domanda militare
Northrop Grumman has raised its 2026 earnings outlook, citing robust demand for military aircraft, missiles, and defense systems. The US-based aerospace and defense company's upward revision signals strong performance driven by increased defense spending. This strategic positioning, fueled by geopolitical factors and a heightened need for advanced military capabilities, suggests a positive trajectory for the company's financial future. Investors can interpret this as a sign of sustained revenue growth and potential for increased shareholder value, supported by a backlog of significant orders.
- 8/25/2026POSITIVENorthrop CEO on Defense Spending, Golden Dome System
Northrop Grumman's CEO, Kathy Warden, highlighted a global defense spending boom fueled by geopolitical tensions and active conflicts. The company is actively involved in key projects like the Golden Dome space defense system. This environment suggests sustained demand for Northrop Grumman's advanced aerospace and defense solutions. Investors can view this as a positive indicator for future revenue growth and market position, as global instability directly translates into increased opportunities for defense contractors.
- 7/25/2026NEGATIVEDefense tech investors thought the war in Iran could make them millionaires. Instead, they faced a Wall Street bloodbath
Defense contractor Northrop Grumman is facing market struggles despite record military spending, leading to a 'Wall Street bloodbath' for investors in the sector. While government budgets allocate substantial funds for defense, the market's reaction suggests a disconnect between spending and investor returns. The article highlights that investors are now closely monitoring Congressional actions and the emergence of new defense technology startups, indicating a shift in market sentiment and potential future investment avenues. This situation implies that traditional defense giants may not be the sole beneficiaries of increased military expenditure, and investor expectations need recalibration.
- 4/21/2026NEGATIVEWhat's Behind The Drop In Northrop Grumman Stock?
Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) experienced a significant stock price decline on Tuesday following the release of its first-quarter earnings report before market open. While specific earnings figures and revenue details are not provided in this excerpt, the market's reaction indicates a negative sentiment. Investors are likely reacting to the earnings report, which may have missed expectations or provided a weaker-than-anticipated outlook. This price drop suggests potential concerns about the company's performance or future growth prospects, prompting a sell-off among shareholders.
- 4/21/2026NEUTRALNorthrop Grumman Gears Up For Q1 Print; Here Are The Recent Forecast Changes From Wall Street's Most Accurate Analysts
Northrop Grumman is set to release its first-quarter earnings on April 21. Analysts are forecasting earnings per share of $6.06 on revenue of $9.76 billion. While recent analyst ratings from firms like Wells Fargo and Morgan Stanley show a generally positive sentiment, with 'Overweight' maintained by Morgan Stanley, the upcoming earnings report is the key determinant for immediate market reaction. Investors will be scrutinizing the figures against expectations and management's forward guidance for any significant deviations that could impact the stock's trajectory.
- 3/7/2026POSITIVE2 Dividend Stocks to Double Up On Right Now
Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) and Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) are highlighted as compelling dividend stock investments. Northrop Grumman, a defense contractor, is noted for its above-average dividend yield and strong industry tailwinds, suggesting potential for capital appreciation alongside income generation. The article implies that these factors make both stocks attractive for investors seeking both income and growth, particularly within their respective sectors.
- 3/6/2026NEUTRALA Look Into Northrop Grumman Inc's Price Over Earnings
Northrop Grumman Inc. is under scrutiny as market participants analyze its stock performance relative to its earnings. While the article title suggests an examination of the company's valuation metrics, it does not provide specific earnings figures, forward guidance, or any new developments that would indicate a change in the company's fundamental outlook. Investors are advised to seek more detailed financial reports and analyst commentary to form a comprehensive investment thesis on Northrop Grumman.
- 2/20/2026POSITIVE$100 Invested In Northrop Grumman 5 Years Ago Would Be Worth This Much Today
An investment of $100 in Northrop Grumman five years ago would be worth a significant amount today, indicating strong stock performance over the period. This suggests robust growth and effective management by the company, making it potentially attractive for long-term investors.