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Ares Management Corp (ARES)

Fair Value
Financial ServicesAsset ManagementUnited States

Fundamental

51

Price

$122.08

Market Cap

$38.82B

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

Ares Management is a global investment manager specializing in alternative assets. The firm manages capital across four main operating groups: Credit Group (focusing on direct lending, collateralized loan obligations, and fixed-income strategies), Real Assets Group (infrastructure and real estate investments), Private Equity Group (buyout and growth equity strategies), and Secondaries Group (acquiring and managing secondary fund interests). The company serves approximately 2,700 direct institutional relationships including pension funds, insurance companies, family offices, and high-net-worth individuals.

How it makes money

Ares generates revenue through three primary channels: management fees based on assets under management across various funds and investment vehicles; incentive and performance fees tied to investment returns exceeding specified benchmarks; and principal investment income from the firm's own capital deployed alongside fund investments. Management fees represent the most stable and recurring revenue component, while performance fees are cyclical and tied to investment results.

Revenue by segment

Credit Group73.7%

Specializes in alternative credit strategies including direct lending, collateralized loan obligations (CLOs), and fixed-income investment strategies. Serves borrowers requiring large facilities ($500 million to over $1 billion) and institutional investors seeking fixed-income returns with downside protection.

Real Assets Group13%

Focuses on infrastructure and real estate investments, providing both equity and debt solutions to institutional investors. Manages a diversified portfolio of core and growth real assets with long-term cash flows.

Secondaries Group6.9%

Acquires and manages secondary fund interests, providing liquidity to investors and offering exposure to mature investments. Specializes in sourcing and managing partnerships in the secondary market.

Private Equity Group5.1%

Manages buyout and growth equity investment strategies targeting small to mid-market businesses in North America and Asia-Pacific. Focuses on value creation through operational improvements and strategic initiatives.

Other1.3%

Includes residual management and administrative revenues not allocated to the four main operating groups.

Competitive moat

Scale · Wide

Ares benefits from significant scale advantages with $484.4 billion of assets under management, creating a durable cost-of-capital advantage. The firm's scale enables it to underwrite large transactions (jumbo unitranche deals of $500 million to over $1 billion) that smaller competitors cannot, establishing Ares as a lender of first resort for large sponsors. Additionally, the company possesses strong brand recognition, a track record of superior investment performance (gross returns approximately 11% in senior direct lending and above 16% in alternative credit), an established distribution network, and relationships with approximately 2,700 institutional clients, creating switching costs and incumbency advantages. The diversified platform across multiple asset classes and strategies reduces concentration risk and strengthens negotiating position with investors.

What drives demand

Moderately cyclical

Demand for Ares' services is moderately cyclical. Management fees provide a stable, recurring revenue base tied to assets under management, which offers some defensive characteristics. However, overall growth and profitability are significantly influenced by asset valuations, which fluctuate with market cycles, investor risk appetite, and economic conditions. Performance fees are highly cyclical, growing during bull markets and compressing during downturns. Growth in AUM depends on successful capital deployment, investment returns, and the investor's appetite for alternative strategies, all of which are influenced by economic cycles and market sentiment. The private credit focus (approximately 65% of AUM) is somewhat more defensive than pure equity strategies but remains subject to credit cycle dynamics.

Key risks

  • Market Volatility and Asset Valuation Risk — Declines in asset valuations, driven by difficult market and political conditions, directly reduce assets under management and management fee revenue. The company is exposed to sector-specific and broad-based volatility, corrections, and downturns in commodities, equity, and credit markets, which could materially impact financial condition and business prospects.
  • Fundraising and Capital Deployment Risk — The ability to raise new capital, achieve target fund sizes, and deploy capital into investments at acceptable returns is critical to growth. Failure to successfully raise funds or extended periods of low deployment rates would constrain revenue growth and profitability. Market conditions that limit investor appetite for alternative investments directly impact fundraising success.
  • Private Credit Liquidity and Redemption Risk — With approximately 65% of assets under management in private credit strategies, the firm faces systemic risk if liquidity constraints emerge in this market segment. Investor redemptions from funds, fund gating (restricting withdrawals), or inability to deploy capital could create significant operational and financial challenges.
  • Competition and Fee Compression — The investment management industry faces intense competition from larger global asset managers and specialized competitors with greater resources or lower cost structures. Competitive pressure may force fee reductions and margin compression, impacting profitability despite AUM growth.
  • Key Person Dependency — Retaining and attracting senior investment professionals with strong track records and client relationships is critical to the firm's success. Loss of key personnel could impair the ability to manage existing portfolios, attract new capital, and maintain client relationships, particularly in competitive talent markets.
  • Regulatory and Compliance Risk — Changes in securities regulations, investment advisor regulations, tax laws, and compliance requirements could increase operational costs and limit investment flexibility. Regulatory violations or investigations could result in significant penalties, reputational harm, and restrictions on business operations.
  • Leverage and Capital Structure Risk — The company maintains significant debt levels to fund operations and investments. High debt-to-equity leverage magnifies losses in economic downturns and could limit financial flexibility. Rising interest rates or credit market disruptions could increase debt servicing costs or restrict access to capital.

Customer concentration

The 10-K filing does not disclose specific percentages for individual customer or investor concentration in assets under management. However, the filing indicates that Ares maintains approximately 2,700 direct institutional relationships and that existing LP clients represented 85% of institutional channel fundraising in 2024, suggesting significant repeat business and concentration among established investors. The institutional investor base is substantial, with insurance companies alone representing over $50 billion in AUM. The diversified client base includes pension funds, insurance companies, family offices, and high-net-worth individuals, which provides some mitigation of concentration risk.

The case for

Buyers argue that Ares is positioned for sustained growth driven by several powerful tailwinds. The shift toward private alternatives continues globally, creating strong structural demand for the firm's strategies. Ares achieved record fundraising and demonstrated consistent ability to convert dry powder into fee-paying assets. The firm's perpetual capital (nearly 50% of fee-paying AUM) provides recurring, higher-margin revenue streams with greater earnings predictability. Track record of superior investment performance (approximately 11% gross returns in senior direct lending and above 16% in alternative credit) attracts capital and supports fundraising. Scale advantages enable cost-efficient underwriting of large transactions while competitors struggle. The diversified distribution network, including growing private-wealth penetration, expands addressable market. International expansion (more than one-third of 2024 inflows from outside the U.S., up from less than 10% in 2023) provides growth acceleration runway. With favorable demographic shifts toward private credit and institutional mandates, Ares should compound AUM and earnings at elevated rates over the medium term.

The case against

Sellers fear that private credit faces a potential liquidity crisis as market conditions tighten and investors demand redemptions. With approximately 65% of AUM concentrated in private credit strategies, an extended period of fund gating or forced asset sales would devastate earnings and shareholder value. Rising expenses—particularly general and administrative costs increasing by over 20%—are consuming earnings growth, with compensation pressures limiting margin expansion despite revenue growth. Competitive fee compression from rivals willing to cut pricing is already evident and likely to intensify, squeezing profitability. The high debt-to-equity leverage of 3.49 magnifies downside exposure if AUM declines or investment performance deteriorates. Key person risk remains acute in an industry dependent on senior investment talent. The stock's recent underperformance (down nearly 30% over the past year) reflects growing skepticism about whether private credit valuations are sustainable. If alternative asset demand cools or a credit cycle downturn materializes, the entire investment thesis collapses, leaving investors exposed to significant capital impairment.

Generated with artificial intelligence on September 21, 2026, shared with all users

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated with artificial intelligence on September 18, 2026, shared with all users

P/E: 41.0Score: 64Market cap: $65.96B

Apollo is the only alternative manager larger than Ares in private credit, and the two bid against each other for the same direct-lending and asset-backed financing deals and for the same insurance and institutional capital.

P/E: 78.0Score: 54Market cap: —

Blue Owl is built around the same core business as Ares — direct lending to middle-market and large private companies, distributed largely through non-traded BDCs sold to financial advisers and individual investors.

P/E: 26.5Score: 73Market cap: $82.25B

Blackstone competes with Ares across every one of its segments — credit, real estate, infrastructure and private equity — and above all for the same institutional and wealth-channel fundraising.

P/E: 25.5Score: 63Market cap: $80.67B

KKR runs a comparably diversified credit, real assets and private equity platform and competes head-on with Ares for middle-market buyout financings and for the same pension and sovereign-fund mandates.

P/E: 40.2Score: 65Market cap: $12.96B

Carlyle's global credit arm and its private equity and real assets funds chase the same borrowers, the same deal flow and the same limited partners as Ares.

P/E: 26.8Score: 61Market cap: —

Brookfield, which owns Oaktree, competes with Ares in real estate, infrastructure and credit, the three areas where Ares raises much of its long-duration capital.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$5.60B

Fiscal year ended 12/31/2025

Net Income

$527M

Fiscal year ended 12/31/2025

Free Cash Flow

-

Total Equity

$4.28B

Total Liabilities

$19.93B

Current Ratio

0.30

Interest Coverage

-

Debt/EBITDA

10.40

Earnings Per Share

No EPS data available

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

General caseFairly Valued

Fair Value

$110.48

Current Price

$122.08

Margin of Safety

-10.5%

Fair Value Range

$73.39 - $147.57

Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.

Estimation Methods

Analyst price target:$144.80
Discounted cash flow (DCF):$108.60
Earnings multiple (P/E):$39.31
Graham growth formula:$88.72
Earnings power value (EPV):$29.93
Justified P/B:$15.22
Dividend discount (Gordon):Not enough data to compute it
P/FFO, funds from operations:Not enough data to compute it
Mid-cycle earnings:Not enough data to compute it
Revenue multiple:$69.00
Last Earnings Surprise:-2.29%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

41.10

ROE

12.3%

P/B Ratio

9.63

P/FCF

-

Gross Margin

-

ROIC

-

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

-

WACC

8.3%

ROIC − WACC

-

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (5)

  • Price CAGR 19.34%
  • ROE 15.2%
  • Revenue growth 5Y 26.0%
  • Earnings quality (operating cash flow / net income) 6.19
  • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

Failed (8)

  • P/B ratio 9.63
  • Debt/equity ratio
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on tangible assets
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Earnings surprise, average -6.6%
  • PEG ratio 2.17

Unavailable (13)

  • EPS data insufficient
  • ROIC –
  • Gross margin –
  • P/FCF –
  • Dividend payout –
  • Operating margin –
  • Positive free cash flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current ratio
  • Interest coverage
  • Price below Graham Number
  • Share dilution (missing share count)
  • Net margin trend (invalid data)

Piotroski F-Score

5/9

Mixed signals: some areas need attention

ROA > 0
Operating cash flow > 0
ΔROA > 0
Cash flow > net income
Leverage ↓
Current ratio ↑
No dilution
Gross margin ↑
Asset turnover ↑

Earnings Quality

6.19

High quality: earnings backed by cash

Share Dilution

-

Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly

Institutional Holdings

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. Antony Peter ResslerPartner, Director, Co-Founder & Executive Chairman65
Mr. Michael J. AroughetiCo-Founder, Partner, CEO & Director53
Mr. Blair Victor JacobsonPartner & Co-President-
Mr. Robert Kipp DeVeer IIIPartner, Director & Co-President52
Mr. Jarrod Morgan Phillips CPACFO, Partner & Principal Financial and Accounting Officer47
Ms. Naseem Sera Sagati Aghili J.D.Partner, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary43
Mr. Ryan James-Barclay BerryPartner, Chief Marketing & Strategy Officer45
Mr. William Stephen BenjaminPartner & Vice Chairman60
Mr. Seth J. BrufskyPartner & Vice Chair of Ares58
Mr. Gregory A. MargoliesPartner & Vice Chair of Ares58

Audit Risk

8

Board Risk

10

Compensation Risk

10

Shareholder Rights Risk

10

Documents

  • Annual Report (10-K)

    A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.

    Filed on 2026-02-25

    View document
  • Quarterly Report (10-Q)

    A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.

    Filed on 2026-08-07

    View document
  • Current Report (8-K)

    An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.

    Filed on 2026-09-30

    View document

via SEC EDGAR

Income History

via SEC EDGAR

Part 2 · The price and its context

This part shows how the price has behaved, not whether the company is worth owning. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Market Reaction Profile

How much ARES moves, measured on its daily prices.

VolatilityMedium

More volatile than 56% of the tracked stocks (90-day volatility).

Volatility 30d
31.8%
Volatility 90d
38.5%
Beta vs S&P 500 (1y)
1.65Correlation 0.49
Max drawdown (12m)
-45.9%
ATR (14d, % of price)
3.29%

Earnings reactions

How ARES moved around its past quarterly results.

Next earnings release

Oct 29, 2026 · In 5 days · Before the open

EPS estimate: 1.25Revenue estimate: $1.2B

What usually happens

  • Over the last 12 releases the stock moved a median of 3.1% the next day, up or down.
  • Next-day moves: up 6, down 6 (out of 12).

Release history

DateWhen EPS est.EPS actualSurprise Gap 1 day5 days
Jul 30, 2026After the close1.321.29-2.3% +3.5% +3.2% +11.3%
Apr 30, 2026After the close1.361.24-9.0% +2.3% +1.4% +4.9%
Feb 4, 2026After the close1.731.45-16.0% -3.8% -11.2% +0.1%
Oct 31, 2025After the close1.181.19+0.9% +3.8% +4.6% +3.5%
Jul 31, 2025After the closen/an/an/a-3.0% -1.5% +0.8%
May 2, 2025After the closen/an/an/a-0.4% +2.3% +5.0%
Feb 5, 2025Before the openn/an/an/a-7.3% -2.9% -4.6%
Oct 31, 2024After the closen/an/an/a+1.8% -3.5% +0.4%
Aug 1, 2024After the closen/an/an/a-3.7% -6.6% -6.8%
May 1, 2024After the closen/an/an/a-2.1% +2.2% +5.3%
Feb 7, 2024After the closen/an/an/a+5.6% +5.2% +6.1%
Oct 30, 2023After the closen/an/an/a-4.8% -2.8% +2.6%

Release dates from SEC 8-K filings.

Updated 10/24/2026

Historical statistics for educational purposes only. They are not forecasts and not investment advice.

Price reaction to the news

Latest news on ARES and what the price did next.

Return of the stock minus return of SPY over the same days. A news item close to a price move did not necessarily cause it. Historical data for educational purposes only, not investment advice.

Latest News

Recent headlines for ARES.

  • 12d agoNEGATIVE
    Ares Fund Offering Hit by Australia Crackdown on Private Credit

    Australia's securities regulator has temporarily suspended Fidante Partners Ltd. from offering units in a fund managed jointly with Ares Management Corp. This action is part of a broader regulatory crackdown on private credit, citing potential risks to retail investors. The move by the Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) could impact Ares' ability to raise capital for its private credit strategies in the Australian market, potentially affecting future fund performance and investor inflows. Investors will monitor the duration and scope of this ban.

  • 18d agoNEGATIVE
    Ares Faces 50% Loss on Money It Piled Into TalkTalk

    Ares Management Corp is poised to absorb a substantial loss, estimated at 50%, on its investment in TalkTalk. This comes as BT Group Plc has agreed to acquire the telecommunications firm, which was in insolvency proceedings. The significant write-down on Ares's capital infusion into TalkTalk highlights a major investment setback for the alternative asset manager. Investors will be monitoring Ares's other portfolio exposures and risk management strategies following this considerable financial blow.

  • 24d agoPOSITIVE
    Ares Leads Phoenix Tower Debt Package With $2 Billion Facility

    Ares Management Corp. is spearheading a substantial $2 billion debt facility for Phoenix Tower International, a significant player in telecom tower infrastructure based in Florida. This move highlights Ares's strategic deployment of capital into essential infrastructure assets, potentially bolstering its own financial performance and reputation. For investors, this deal signifies Ares's continued strength in private credit markets and its ability to structure large, impactful financing solutions for growing companies in the digital infrastructure space.

  • 9/1/2026POSITIVE
    Ares Venture Buys US Student Housing Properties for $435 Million

    Ares Management Corp. funds, in partnership with The Scion Group, have acquired four US student housing communities for approximately $435 million. This marks the second transaction for their newly formed partnership, signaling continued investment and confidence in the student housing sector. The deal underscores Ares' strategy to expand its real estate portfolio through targeted acquisitions in resilient asset classes. Investors may view this as a positive indicator of Ares' growth initiatives and its ability to deploy capital effectively in attractive real estate markets.

  • 8/31/2026POSITIVE
    Ares Raises $3.8 Billion for Japan-Focused Logistics Fund

    Ares Management Corp. has successfully raised ¥612 billion ($3.8 billion) for its new Japan-focused logistics development fund. This marks the largest closed-end institutional fundraise for its real estate division, signaling strong investor confidence in Ares' strategy and the Japanese logistics market. The substantial capital infusion is expected to fuel significant development and acquisition activities within the sector, potentially leading to increased asset values and rental income for the fund. Investors in Ares stock may see this as a positive indicator of the firm's growth trajectory and its ability to attract large-scale capital.

  • 8/5/2026POSITIVE
    Ares Eyes $2 Billion Loan Deal in Private Credit’s Slow Year

    Ares Management Corp. is spearheading a substantial $2.2 billion direct loan facility to back a healthcare services acquisition. This significant transaction marks one of the largest deals in the private credit market since it experienced considerable redemptions earlier in the year. The move by Ares highlights continued activity and investor appetite for direct lending opportunities, even amidst broader market volatility. For investors in Ares, this deal underscores the firm's robust origination capabilities and its strategic positioning within the resilient private credit sector, potentially signaling strong fee-related earnings.