Blackstone Inc (BX)
Fair ValueFundamental
69
Price
$117.97
Market Cap
$130.97B
Part 1 · What the company is worth
Overview
Blackstone Inc. is a global alternative asset management firm that manages investment funds for institutional and retail investors across multiple strategies. As the world's largest alternative asset manager, Blackstone consolidates certain managed funds on its balance sheet while managing third-party capital, creating a dual role as both manager and direct investor. The company operates 25 offices worldwide with approximately 4,735 employees and manages approximately $1.1 trillion in total assets under management.
How it makes money
Blackstone generates revenue through management fees collected on a quarterly basis from fund investors, calculated as a percentage of assets under management, and through performance allocations (commonly known as 'carry') earned when fund investments exceed specified hurdle rates. The company also earns advisory fees, transaction fees, and realizes investment income from its own direct investments in fund vehicles. Revenue is highly dependent on investment performance, asset valuations, and capital deployment activity across its fund portfolio.
Revenue by segment
Operates corporate private equity buyout funds across multiple strategies including traditional LBO funds, growth equity platforms, and specialized sector-focused vehicles. Targets control acquisitions of established mid-market and large-cap companies, pursuing operational improvements and value creation through buy-and-build strategies.
Manages private corporate credit strategies, liquid credit funds, infrastructure credit vehicles, and asset-based lending programs. Provides financing solutions to companies and projects while serving insurance companies and institutional investors seeking fixed-income returns and illiquidity premiums from credit investments.
Manages opportunistic real estate funds, core+ real estate strategies, and real estate debt vehicles investing across major property types including office, industrial, logistics, multifamily, hospitality and data center real estate. Serves institutional investors seeking long-term capital appreciation and income generation from real estate assets globally.
Competitive moat
Scale · WideBlackstone's moat is grounded in scale and informational advantage. With $1.1 trillion AUM and $200 billion in dry powder, the firm has unprecedented ability to deploy capital efficiently and capitalize on market dislocations faster than competitors. The company's established brand and strong track record of investment returns create sticky institutional relationships, with 87% of AUM from institutional investors. Management emphasizes that 'access to information is an enduring competitive advantage here at Blackstone, and this advantage grows as we grow larger.' The firm's diversified platform (over 70% of AUM in non-private-equity strategies) reduces dependence on any single market, while experienced leadership and proven operational capabilities further strengthen competitive positioning. Blackstone's scale enables negotiating power with portfolio companies, access to deal flow, and the ability to attract and retain top talent.
What drives demand
CyclicalBlackstone's business is highly cyclical, tied to capital markets conditions, economic growth, interest rate levels, and M&A activity. During strong economic periods with falling interest rates and robust M&A, the firm deploys dry powder, earns higher performance fees, and attracts capital inflows. Asset valuations benefit from investor risk appetite, expanding multiples, and lower discount rates. Conversely, during downturns—rising rates, credit stress, or recession—deal volumes collapse, asset values contract, performance fees evaporate or reverse via clawbacks, and investor redemptions may accelerate. Real estate cycles particularly influence the Real Estate segment, while M&A volumes drive Private Equity performance and credit market stress impacts the Credit and Insurance segment. Institutional capital allocation to alternatives also varies with market cycles, with choppy flows in uncertain periods.
Key risks
- Performance Allocation Volatility and Clawback Risk — A significant portion of Blackstone's revenue derives from performance allocations which are highly dependent on fund investment returns and market valuations. Market downturns can trigger clawback provisions requiring the firm to repay performance fees, creating unpredictable earnings volatility. In difficult market conditions, performance allocations could 'materially reduce our revenue, earnings and cash flow' according to the 10-K.
- Key Personnel and Succession Risk — Blackstone's business could be 'adversely affected by the loss of services from our co-founder and other key senior managing directors and personnel or future difficulty in recruiting and retaining professionals.' The firm's culture and investment success are closely associated with founder Stephen Schwarzman and senior leadership, creating succession vulnerability.
- Cybersecurity and Operational Risk — Cybersecurity breaches or operational failures 'could result in loss of data, interruptions in our business and damage to our reputation, and subject us to regulatory actions, increased costs and financial losses.' The firm manages sensitive investor data and operates critical systems across global offices; any significant disruption could damage client relationships and regulatory standing.
- Intense Competition in Asset Management — The asset management business is 'intensely competitive' with larger institutions, specialized competitors, and low-cost alternatives. Competitors may replicate strategies, attract talent, or offer superior risk-adjusted returns, pressuring fee levels and AUM growth. Blackstone competes for capital flows with numerous established and emerging alternative managers.
- Regulatory and Compliance Risk — The firm faces 'extensive regulation of our businesses [which] affects our activities, creates potential for significant liabilities.' Regulators increasingly scrutinize sustainability matters, ESG practices, and investment restrictions. Changes in investment regulations, tax treatment, or compliance requirements could increase operational costs and restrict fundraising or investment activities.
- Market and Economic Sensitivity — Blackstone's businesses are 'materially affected by conditions in the financial markets and economic conditions in the U.S., Europe, Asia and, to a lesser extent, elsewhere in the world.' Rising interest rates reduce asset valuations and borrowing capacity; recessions suppress M&A activity and deal valuations; credit market stress impairs credit fund performance. Geopolitical instability or financial crises directly impact capital deployment and fund returns.
Customer concentration
The filing does not explicitly disclose top customer concentration as a percentage of total revenue. However, Blackstone noted that specific funds such as Blackstone Private Credit Fund (BCRED) and Blackstone Real Estate Income Trust (BREIT) contributed materially to management and advisory fees in 2024, indicating some concentration among flagship fund vehicles. The company's diversified investor base across institutional investors (87% of AUM), sovereign wealth funds, pension funds, endowments, and insurance companies across multiple geographies suggests no single outside investor represents excessive dependency. Geographic and product diversification across four major segments and 25 global offices further mitigates customer concentration risk.
The case for
Buyers argue that Blackstone is positioned for robust long-term growth as the dominant player in a $10+ trillion global alternative asset management market still shifting capital from traditional finance. The firm's $200 billion dry powder uniquely enables it to capitalize on AI infrastructure buildout, data center expansion, energy transition projects, and portfolio company buildouts faster than any competitor. Record fundraising momentum, stable fee revenue base anchored by $1.1 trillion AUM, and improving credit market conditions support near-term earnings expansion. The dividend yield of approximately 4.5% provides downside protection and attracts income-focused institutional investors. As interest rates stabilize, real estate asset valuations should recover and unlock substantial performance allocations. Blackstone's diversified platform (70%+ non-private equity AUM) and scale advantages enable resilient earnings across market cycles. Realizations from maturing funds should accelerate, driving fee-related earnings to record levels by 2027.
The case against
Sellers fear that Blackstone's exposure to volatile performance fees creates earnings whiplash in market downturns. Real estate remains a structural headwind, with opportunistic real estate funds delivering only flat returns in 2025 despite the firm's $1.1 trillion alternative AUM being the largest alternative asset manager globally. Private credit market saturation risks margin compression as the business attracts new entrants and competitive pressure intensifies. Retail investor outflows in semi-liquid structures signal confidence erosion in illiquid alternative investments, and any sustained negative fund flows would force asset sales and impair net returns. Rising rates or recession could trigger significant performance allocation clawbacks, reversing prior earnings gains. The firm's key person risk centers on founder Stephen Schwarzman—succession concerns could destabilize investor confidence. Competition from mega-cap traditional managers entering alternatives, AI-focused investors with lower fees, and specialized credit platforms threatens market share. The business model's reliance on continued capital market strength and appetite for fee-bearing alternatives is inherently fragile if institutional demand cools.
Generated with artificial intelligence on September 21, 2026, shared with all users
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
Generated with artificial intelligence on September 18, 2026, shared with all users
Apollo is the closest rival by scale, raising capital from the same institutional and insurance clients for private credit, private equity and retirement-linked products.
KKR runs the same multi-strategy platform — large buyouts, credit, infrastructure and insurance capital — and bids against Blackstone for the same deals and the same limited partners.
Brookfield is Blackstone's main opponent in real assets, competing for the same real-estate portfolios and infrastructure and energy projects worldwide.
Ares competes head-on in private credit and direct lending, the fastest-growing source of fee-earning capital for both firms.
Carlyle chases the same corporate buyouts and the same institutional mandates in private equity, credit and real assets, though on a smaller asset base.
EQT is the European heavyweight that competes with Blackstone for large buyouts and infrastructure deals in Europe and for the same global investors' fund commitments.
Balance Sheet & Liquidity
Revenue
$16.11B
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Net Income
$3.52B
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Free Cash Flow
$4.55B
Total Equity
$8.67B
Total Liabilities
$25.83B
Current Ratio
0.73
Interest Coverage
-
Debt/EBITDA
-
Earnings Per Share
Revenue & Net Income
Free Cash Flow
Income Breakdown
Historical statement
Margins over time
Debt over time
How heavy the debt is
Growth grid
Growth — Revenue
Fair Value Estimation
Fair Value
$153.71
Current Price
$117.97
Margin of Safety
+23.3%
Fair Value Range
$110.32 - $197.10
Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.
Estimation Methods
Valuation Metrics
P/E Ratio
26.45
ROE
34.8%
P/B Ratio
9.82
P/FCF
16.14
Gross Margin
-
ROIC
-
Profitability Radar
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
-
WACC
11.2%
ROIC − WACC
-
Fundamental Analysis Criteria
Passed (15)
- EPS shows upward trend
- Price CAGR 14.67%
- P/FCF 16.14
- Debt/equity ratio
- Positive free cash flow
- CapEx intensity
- Return on tangible assets
- Low reliance on intangibles
- ROE 40.9%
- Revenue growth 5Y 18.8%
- Earnings surprise, average 9.6%
- PEG ratio 1.85
- Earnings quality (operating cash flow / net income) 1.59
- Share dilution 1.7%
- Net margin trend 21.8% vs 20.8%
Failed (4)
- P/B ratio 9.82
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
- Piotroski F-Score 4/9
Unavailable (7)
- ROIC –
- Gross margin –
- Dividend payout –
- Operating margin –
- Current ratio
- Interest coverage
- Debt/EBITDA
Piotroski F-Score
Mixed signals: some areas need attention
Earnings Quality
High quality: earnings backed by cash
Share Dilution
Share count is stable
Institutional Holdings
Governance
Executive Team
| Name | Title | Age |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Stephen Allen Schwarzman B.A., M.B.A. | Co-Founder, Chairman & CEO | 78 |
| Mr. Michael S. Chae J.D. | CFO & Vice Chairman | 57 |
| Mr. Jonathan D. Gray CIMA | President, COO & Director | 56 |
| Mr. Vikrant Sawhney J.D. | Chief Administrative Officer & Global Head of Institutional Client Solutions | - |
| Mr. John Gary Finley J.D. | Chief Legal Officer | 68 |
| Mr. Joseph Patrick Baratta | Global Head of Private Equity Strategies & Director | 54 |
| Mr. Mustafa Mohsin Siddiqui | Former Senior MD of BXMA - New York & Co-Head of Strategic Capital Group | - |
| Mr. Seth A. Meisel | Senior Managing Director of Private Equity - New York | 52 |
| Mr. Juergen Pinker | Senior MD of BXCI - Berkeley Square House London & Head of Germany for BXCI | - |
| Mr. M. Craig Shepherd | Senior Managing Director of Blackstone Life Sciences Cambridge | - |
Audit Risk
8
Board Risk
10
Compensation Risk
9
Shareholder Rights Risk
10
Documents
- View document
Annual Report (10-K)
A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.
Filed on 2026-02-27
- View document
Quarterly Report (10-Q)
A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.
Filed on 2026-08-07
- View document
Current Report (8-K)
An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.
Filed on 2026-10-22
via SEC EDGAR
Income History
via SEC EDGAR
Part 2 · The price and its context
This part shows how the price has behaved, not whether the company is worth owning. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.
Market Reaction Profile
How much BX moves, measured on its daily prices.
More volatile than 52% of the tracked stocks (90-day volatility).
- Volatility 30d
- 38.7%
- Volatility 90d
- 37.1%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (1y)
- 1.30Correlation 0.44
- Max drawdown (12m)
- -37.5%
- ATR (14d, % of price)
- 3.61%
Earnings reactions
How BX moved around its past quarterly results.
Next earnings release
No upcoming release on the calendar.
What usually happens
- Over the last 12 releases the stock moved a median of 3.1% the next day, up or down.
- Next-day moves: up 7, down 5 (out of 12).
- Of the 4 releases that beat estimates, the stock fell the next day after 2.
Release history
| Date | When | EPS est. | EPS actual | Surprise | Gap | 1 day | 5 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | Before the open | 1.26 | 1.32 | +4.9% | -2.1% | +8.4% | n/a |
| Jul 23, 2026 | During the session | 1.39 | 1.52 | +9.3% | -1.1% | +1.4% | +5.4% |
| Apr 23, 2026 | During the session | 1.39 | 1.36 | -1.9% | -2.6% | -5.7% | -7.6% |
| Jan 29, 2026 | During the session | 1.58 | 1.75 | +10.7% | +0.8% | -2.6% | -8.3% |
| Oct 23, 2025 | During the session | 1.26 | 1.52 | +20.3% | +0.1% | -4.2% | -7.9% |
| Jul 24, 2025 | During the session | n/a | n/a | n/a | +4.1% | +3.6% | +2.0% |
| Apr 17, 2025 | During the session | n/a | n/a | n/a | +2.0% | +0.8% | +4.0% |
| Jan 30, 2025 | During the session | n/a | n/a | n/a | +1.4% | -4.1% | -5.7% |
| Oct 17, 2024 | During the session | n/a | n/a | n/a | +2.9% | +6.3% | +4.5% |
| Jul 18, 2024 | During the session | n/a | n/a | n/a | -1.9% | +1.2% | +2.1% |
| Apr 18, 2024 | During the session | n/a | n/a | n/a | -1.7% | -2.3% | +0.5% |
| Jan 25, 2024 | During the session | n/a | n/a | n/a | +3.7% | +2.4% | +3.2% |
Release dates from SEC 8-K filings.
Updated 10/24/2026
Historical statistics for educational purposes only. They are not forecasts and not investment advice.
Price reaction to the news
Latest news on BX and what the price did next.
- 10/22/2026PositiveBlackstone, utile cala meno delle attese nel terzo trimestre. AUM sale a 1.368 miliardi di dollari
- +1 day
- +9.6%
- +3 days
- pending
- 10/22/2026NegativeBlackstone Profit Drops 9.2% as Rates, Inflation Curb Dealmaking
- +1 day
- +9.6%
- +3 days
- pending
- 9/24/2026PositiveBlackstone Debuts First Multi-Asset Fund for Non-US Individuals
- +1 day
- -1.6%
- +3 days
- -3.7%
- 9/19/2026PositiveBlackstone Sees India Nearing Tipping Point for Foreign Capital
- +1 day
- -0.4%
- +3 days
- -5.4%
- 9/18/2026PositiveHeadline no longer in the latest news feed
Published while the US market was open: the move of that day cannot be split into before and after the news, so no figure is shown.
- 9/1/2026PositiveHeadline no longer in the latest news feed
- +1 day
- -3.9%
- +3 days
- -4.7%
- 8/18/2026PositiveHeadline no longer in the latest news feed
Published while the US market was open: the move of that day cannot be split into before and after the news, so no figure is shown.
Return of the stock minus return of SPY over the same days. A news item close to a price move did not necessarily cause it. Historical data for educational purposes only, not investment advice.
Latest News
Recent headlines for BX.
- 2d agoNEUTRALBlackstone's Early Bet on AI
Blackstone CEO Stephen Schwarzman, a key figure in the growth of private equity, discussed his approach to identifying investment opportunities and future market shifts in a recent interview. While the article highlights Schwarzman's influence and strategic foresight, it does not provide specific financial data, earnings reports, or concrete investment outcomes related to Blackstone's current performance or future prospects. The discussion remains high-level, focusing on the methodology of spotting trends rather than quantifiable results.
- 2d agoPOSITIVEBlackstone, utile cala meno delle attese nel terzo trimestre. AUM sale a 1.368 miliardi di dollari
Blackstone reported distributable earnings for Q3 2026, which fell 13% to $1.3 billion, a figure that still beat analyst expectations. Assets Under Management (AUM) climbed to a record $1.368 trillion, up from $1.307 trillion in the previous quarter. This growth in AUM, especially in a challenging market, highlights Blackstone's strong fundraising capabilities and investor confidence in its alternative asset strategies. The company's ability to manage assets effectively and attract new capital suggests resilience and potential for future profit growth, making it an attractive proposition for investors seeking exposure to the alternative investment sector.
- 2d agoNEGATIVEBlackstone Profit Drops 9.2% as Rates, Inflation Curb Dealmaking
Blackstone Inc. reported a 9.2% decline in third-quarter income, attributed to the combined pressures of surging energy prices, which fueled inflation, and elevated interest rates that have dampened dealmaking activity. This downturn in profit signals a challenging environment for alternative asset managers reliant on robust M&A and investment volumes. Investors will be watching for management's strategies to navigate these headwinds and any potential impact on future fund performance and fee generation.
- 12d agoNEUTRALBlackstone's Gray on 'Tough Choices' Ahead
Blackstone President and COO Jonathan Gray highlighted that Western economies face significant fiscal challenges, necessitating 'tough choices' from governments. While specific policy implications were not detailed, Gray's remarks suggest a period of potential austerity or fiscal consolidation ahead. Investors should monitor government spending plans and potential impacts on sectors reliant on public funding or consumer spending power. The firm itself, a major player in alternative investments, may see shifts in deal flow and asset valuations depending on the economic adjustments implemented.
- 29d agoNEUTRALBlackstone Cements Shift From Star Dealmakers With Baratta Exit
Jon Gray's increasing influence at Blackstone Inc. is highlighted by the recent departure of dealmaker Joe Baratta. This marks a significant shift in the firm's operational structure, moving away from reliance on star dealmakers towards a more centralized leadership under Gray. While this transition may signal a new strategic direction for Blackstone, its immediate impact on the company's financial performance or stock price is not yet clear. Investors will be watching to see how this leadership evolution affects future deal flow and asset management strategies.
- 9/24/2026POSITIVEBlackstone Debuts First Multi-Asset Fund for Non-US Individuals
Blackstone Inc. has launched its inaugural multi-asset private markets fund specifically for non-US retail investors. This move signifies a strategic expansion by the alternative asset manager to tap into a broader global investor base, moving beyond traditional institutional clients. The fund aims to provide access to Blackstone's diverse alternative investment strategies, including private equity, credit, and real estate, to a new segment of international clientele. For investors, this offers a potential avenue to diversify portfolios with alternative assets, while for Blackstone, it represents a significant growth opportunity in global retail distribution.
- 9/23/2026NEUTRALGlobal Tensions Not Slowing Capital: Blackstone's Nides
Tom Nides, vice chairman at Blackstone, discussed global dealmaking, including insights on China, Canada, and the burgeoning AI and data center sectors. While acknowledging global tensions, Nides suggested they are not hindering capital deployment. The conversation, featured on "Bloomberg Deals," touched upon the 'anxiety' surrounding AI and data center investments, implying a high-demand environment. For investors, Blackstone's perspective highlights continued activity in strategic sectors despite geopolitical complexities, suggesting opportunities in areas driven by technological advancement and infrastructure needs.
- 9/19/2026POSITIVEBlackstone Sees India Nearing Tipping Point for Foreign Capital
Blackstone Inc. is signaling a significant positive outlook for India's investment landscape, with President Jon Gray suggesting the country is approaching a 'tipping point' for attracting foreign capital. This optimism stems from Blackstone's early experiences in India, which, despite initial challenges and headwinds during the global financial crisis, have laid the groundwork for future growth. The firm's long-term commitment and evolving strategy in India indicate a belief in the nation's burgeoning economic potential and its capacity to absorb substantial foreign investment. Investors should monitor Blackstone's activities in India for potential opportunities in real estate and infrastructure.