Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc (HLT)
OvervaluedFundamental
72
Price
$349.63
Market Cap
$81.53B
Part 1 · What the company is worth
Overview
Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc., a hospitality company, engages in managing, franchising, and leasing hotels and resorts. It operates in two segments, Management and Franchise, and Ownership. The company engages in the hotel management and licensing of its brand names, trademarks, and service marks. It operates a brand portfolio of luxury, lifestyle, full service, focused service, all-suites hotel, and timeshare under the Waldorf Astoria Hotels & Resorts, LXR Hotels & Resorts, Conrad Hotels & Resorts, Signia by Hilton, NoMad, Canopy by Hilton, Graduate by Hilton, Tempo by Hilton, Motto by Hilton, Hilton Hotels & Resorts, DoubleTree by Hilton, Curio Collection by Hilton, Tapestry Collection by Hilton, Outset Collection by Hilton, Embassy Suites by Hilton, Homewood Suites by Hilton, Home2 Suites by Hilton, LivSmart Studios by Hilton, Hilton Garden Inn, Hampton by Hilton, Tru by Hilton, Spark by Hilton, Hilton Grand Vacations, Small Luxury Hotels of the World, AutoCamp, and Hilton Honors brand names. The company has operations in North America, South America, and Central America, including various Caribbean nations; Europe, the Middle East, and Africa; and the Asia Pacific. Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. was founded in 1919 and is headquartered in McLean, Virginia.
No editorial profile for this company yet
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
Generated with artificial intelligence on September 18, 2026, shared with all users
The world's largest hotel group and Hilton's closest rival, competing brand-for-brand from luxury to extended stay for the same travellers, the same hotel owners signing franchise and management contracts, and the same corporate accounts.
Named by Hilton in its 10-K, Hyatt competes for the same upper-upscale and luxury guests and for the same group and conference business, with a loyalty programme aimed at the same frequent travellers.
The largest pure franchisor by hotel count, going head-to-head with Hilton's economy and midscale brands such as Spark and Hampton for roadside and small-town owners in the United States.
A franchising specialist in the economy and midscale segments whose Comfort and Country Inn & Suites brands compete directly with Hampton by Hilton and Home2 Suites for the same American franchisees and price-conscious travellers.
A franchising-led global group whose brands (Holiday Inn, Crowne Plaza, InterContinental) sit in the same segments as Hampton, DoubleTree and Waldorf Astoria, competing for the same owners and the same guests, especially in Europe and Greater China.
Europe's largest hotel group, competing with Hilton across the full price ladder in Europe, the Middle East and Asia-Pacific, where it holds a stronger home-market position.
Balance Sheet & Liquidity
Revenue
$12.48B
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Net Income
$1.58B
Trailing 12 months (through 6/30/2026)
Free Cash Flow
$2.03B
Total Equity
$-5.39B
Total Liabilities
$22.12B
Current Ratio
0.65
Interest Coverage
4.36
Debt/EBITDA
4.89
Earnings Per Share
Revenue & Net Income
Free Cash Flow
Income Breakdown
Historical statement
Margins over time
Debt over time
How heavy the debt is
Growth grid
Growth — Revenue
Fair Value Estimation
Fair Value
$243.18
Current Price
$349.63
Margin of Safety
-43.8%
Fair Value Range
$158.06 - $328.29
Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.
Estimation Methods
Valuation Metrics
P/E Ratio
51.34
ROE
-27.0%
P/B Ratio
-
P/FCF
38.78
Gross Margin
-
ROIC
19.4%
Profitability Radar
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
19.4%
WACC
9.5%
ROIC − WACC
+9.9 pp
ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.
Fundamental Analysis Criteria
Passed (15)
- EPS shows upward trend
- EPS CAGR 23.84%
- Price CAGR 19.38%
- ROIC 19.4%
- Operating margin 23.3%
- Positive free cash flow
- CapEx intensity
- Interest coverage
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on tangible assets
- ROE 171.0%
- Revenue growth 5Y 22.8%
- Earnings quality (operating cash flow / net income) 1.33
- Share dilution -4.8%
- Piotroski F-Score 5/9
Failed (6)
- P/FCF 38.78
- Current ratio
- Low reliance on intangibles
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
- Earnings surprise, average 1.0%
- Net margin trend 12.7% vs 13.8%
Unavailable (6)
- Gross margin –
- P/B ratio –
- Dividend payout –
- Debt/equity ratio
- Price below Graham Number
- PEG ratio (needs P/E > 0 and growth > 0)
Piotroski F-Score
Mixed signals: some areas need attention
Earnings Quality
High quality: earnings backed by cash
Share Dilution
Buying back shares. Shareholder friendly
Institutional Holdings
Governance
Executive Team
| Name | Title | Age |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Christopher J. Nassetta | President, CEO & Director | 62 |
| Mr. Kevin J. Jacobs | Executive VP & Chief Financial Officer | 53 |
| Mr. Christian H. Charnaux | Executive VP & Chief Development Officer | 48 |
| Ms. Laura A. Fuentes | Executive VP, Chief Human Resources Officer & Head of Hilton Supply Management | 49 |
| Mr. Christopher W. Silcock | President of Global Brands and Commercial Services | 53 |
| Mr. Misha Moylan | Senior VP & Chief Accounting Officer | 40 |
| Mr. Charlie Ruehr | Vice President of Corporate Finance & Investor Relations | - |
| Ms. Caroline D. Krass | Executive VP, General Counsel & Secretary | 56 |
| Mr. Frank R. Passanante | Senior Vice President of Group Sales | - |
| Mr. William Fortier | Senior Vice President of Development of Americas | - |
Audit Risk
4
Board Risk
7
Compensation Risk
7
Shareholder Rights Risk
5
Documents
- View document
Annual Report (10-K)
A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.
Filed on 2026-02-11
- View document
Quarterly Report (10-Q)
A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.
Filed on 2026-07-28
- View document
Current Report (8-K)
An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.
Filed on 2026-10-20
via SEC EDGAR
Income History
via SEC EDGAR
Part 2 · The price and its context
This part shows how the price has behaved, not whether the company is worth owning. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.
Market Reaction Profile
How much HLT moves, measured on its daily prices.
More volatile than 16% of the tracked stocks (90-day volatility).
- Volatility 30d
- 23.4%
- Volatility 90d
- 23.3%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (1y)
- 0.60Correlation 0.32
- Max drawdown (12m)
- -13.6%
- ATR (14d, % of price)
- 2.13%
Earnings reactions
How HLT moved around its past quarterly results.
Next earnings release
Oct 27, 2026 · In 3 days · Before the open
EPS estimate: 2.36Revenue estimate: $3.4B
What usually happens
- Over the last 12 releases the stock moved a median of 2.4% the next day, up or down.
- Next-day moves: up 7, down 5 (out of 12).
Release history
| Date | When | EPS est. | EPS actual | Surprise | Gap | 1 day | 5 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 28, 2026 | Before the open | 2.31 | 2.29 | -0.8% | -3.1% | -2.5% | -5.0% |
| Apr 28, 2026 | Before the open | 1.99 | 2.01 | +1.2% | -2.7% | -2.7% | -6.3% |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Before the open | 2.04 | 2.08 | +2.0% | -0.6% | +0.4% | -2.4% |
| Oct 22, 2025 | Before the open | 2.08 | 2.11 | +1.6% | +3.0% | +3.4% | -1.9% |
| Jul 23, 2025 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | -3.3% | -2.6% | -0.3% |
| Apr 29, 2025 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | +1.4% | +2.2% | +7.8% |
| Feb 6, 2025 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | -0.1% | +4.9% | +6.1% |
| Oct 23, 2024 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | -0.3% | -1.9% | +0.4% |
| Aug 7, 2024 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | +0.3% | -1.7% | -0.9% |
| Apr 24, 2024 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | +4.3% | +3.9% | +0.1% |
| Feb 7, 2024 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | -1.1% | +0.7% | -2.3% |
| Oct 25, 2023 | Before the open | n/a | n/a | n/a | -0.4% | +0.7% | +1.3% |
Release dates from SEC 8-K filings.
Updated 10/24/2026
Historical statistics for educational purposes only. They are not forecasts and not investment advice.
Price reaction to the news
Latest news on HLT and what the price did next.
Return of the stock minus return of SPY over the same days. A news item close to a price move did not necessarily cause it. Historical data for educational purposes only, not investment advice.
Latest News
Recent headlines for HLT.