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Broadcom Inc. (AVGO)

Fair Value
TechnologySemiconductorsUnited States

Fundamental

75

Price

$321.68

Market Cap

$1.57T

Part 1 · What the company is worth

Overview

Broadcom sells two very different things under one roof: custom and networking chips that go into smartphones, data-centre switches and the custom AI accelerators it co-designs for a few large cloud companies, and enterprise software — largely VMware, acquired in 2023 — that lets companies run their own private data centres. The chip side sells hardware; the software side sells subscriptions to run infrastructure most large companies already depend on.

How it makes money

Semiconductor revenue is booked when chips ship and depends on how much capacity customers are ordering, including multi-year custom AI chip programmes for a handful of cloud companies. Infrastructure Software revenue is increasingly subscription-based since VMware moved its licensing to that model, which makes it steadier and more predictable than the chip business, and it now carries software-like margins that pull up the company's overall profitability.

Revenue by segment

Semiconductor Solutions57.7%

Networking chips, custom AI accelerators and other semiconductors sold to data-centre, networking and smartphone customers.

Infrastructure Software42.3%

Enterprise software, dominated by VMware, sold mainly as subscriptions to companies running private data centres.

Competitive moat

Switching costs · Wide

VMware's virtualization software sits underneath thousands of companies' data-centre applications, and ripping it out means re-architecting how those applications run — a project few companies choose to undertake. On the chip side, custom AI accelerators are co-designed over years with specific cloud customers, which creates its own multi-year lock-in for as long as that partnership lasts.

What drives demand

Moderately cyclical

Infrastructure Software revenue is fairly steady, renewing on subscription terms tied to systems companies are not going to rip out quickly. Semiconductor revenue is far more cyclical, tracking data-centre and smartphone order cycles that can swing from shortage to oversupply within a year or two, so the combined business is less volatile than a pure chip company but still meaningfully cyclical.

Key risks

  • Concentration in a few large customers — A meaningful share of semiconductor revenue, including custom AI chips, comes from a small number of very large customers whose order changes move results materially.
  • Integration and retention risk after the VMware acquisition — Moving VMware customers to subscription pricing has raised costs for some of them, and Broadcom's post-acquisition pricing and support changes could push customers to evaluate alternatives over time.
  • Export controls and geopolitics — Restrictions on selling advanced chips to certain countries, and Broadcom's reliance on manufacturing capacity concentrated in Asia, expose the semiconductor business to rules that can change with little warning.
  • Cyclicality of chip demand — Networking and custom AI chip demand can fall quickly if data-centre customers pause spending or shift capacity plans, and Broadcom carries the cost of capacity it commits to well before orders are confirmed.

The case for

Buyers argue that Broadcom pairs a fast-growing, high-margin custom AI chip business with a large, sticky software franchise in VMware, giving it both AI-driven upside and a stable cash-generating base that a pure chip company lacks.

The case against

Sellers fear that AI chip revenue is concentrated in very few customers who could shift designs elsewhere, that VMware price increases are pushing some customers to look for alternatives, and that the combined business trades at a valuation that assumes both halves keep growing together indefinitely.

Written by the editors, published on August 18, 2026

Direct competitors

Who this company fights with for the same customers

Compare

Generated with artificial intelligence on August 23, 2026, shared with all users

P/E: 75.7Score: 72Market cap: $199.78B

The closest pure-play rival, bidding against Broadcom for the same hyperscaler contracts in custom AI accelerators (XPUs), Ethernet switching silicon and optical interconnect DSPs.

P/E: 26.7Score: 81Market cap: $5.16T

Competes for the same data-centre AI budget, offering off-the-shelf GPUs and its own Spectrum-X/InfiniBand networking as an alternative to Broadcom's custom accelerators and Tomahawk switch chips.

P/E: 20.1Score: 68Market cap: $180.72B

Rival supplier of RF front-end and Wi-Fi/Bluetooth connectivity chips to the same smartphone makers that account for Broadcom's wireless revenue.

P/E: 32.0Score: 73Market cap: $423.39B

Designs its own Silicon One switching chips for the data-centre and service-provider switches that would otherwise carry Broadcom's Tomahawk or Jericho silicon.

P/E: 13.7Score: 73Market cap: $18.11B

Targets the same enterprise private-cloud budget as VMware Cloud Foundation, actively courting the customers unsettled by Broadcom's subscription-only licensing.

MediaTek Inc. (聯發科技股份有限公司)2454

Competes on price and design wins in Wi-Fi connectivity, set-top box and broadband access chips sold to the same consumer-electronics and telecom-operator customers.

Balance Sheet & Liquidity

Revenue

$89.10B

Trailing 12 months (through 8/2/2026)

Net Income

$38.27B

Trailing 12 months (through 8/2/2026)

Free Cash Flow

$26.91B

Total Equity

$81.29B

Total Liabilities

$89.80B

Current Ratio

2.50

Interest Coverage

13.74

Debt/EBITDA

1.14

Earnings Per Share

Revenue & Net Income

Free Cash Flow

Income Breakdown

Historical statement

Margins over time

Debt over time

How heavy the debt is

Growth grid

Growth — Revenue

Fair Value Estimation

General caseFairly Valued

Fair Value

$373.75

Current Price

$321.68

Margin of Safety

+13.9%

Fair Value Range

$242.94 - $504.56

Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.

Estimation Methods

Analyst price target:$527.59
Discounted cash flow (DCF):$286.58
Earnings multiple (P/E):$148.81
Graham growth formula:$403.09
Earnings power value (EPV):$54.26
Justified P/B:$78.15
Dividend discount (Gordon):$28.08
P/FFO, funds from operations:Not enough data to compute it
Mid-cycle earnings:$106.96
Revenue multiple:$98.30
Last Earnings Surprise:+0.57%

Valuation Metrics

P/E Ratio

41.03

ROE

28.4%

P/B Ratio

15.40

P/FCF

38.97

Gross Margin

68.8%

ROIC

20.2%

Profitability Radar

Value Creation (Economic Moat)

ROIC

20.2%

WACC

12.4%

ROIC − WACC

+7.8 pp

ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.

Fundamental Analysis Criteria

Passed (19)

  • EPS shows upward trend
  • Price CAGR 34.99%
  • ROIC 20.2%
  • Gross margin 68.8%
  • Debt/equity ratio
  • Operating margin 48.0%
  • Positive free cash flow
  • CapEx intensity
  • Current ratio
  • Interest coverage
  • Debt/EBITDA
  • Return on tangible assets
  • ROE 43.9%
  • Revenue growth 5Y 21.7%
  • PEG ratio 0.88
  • Earnings quality (operating cash flow / net income) 1.06
  • Share dilution 1.2%
  • Net margin trend 42.9% vs 31.6%
  • Piotroski F-Score 8/9

Failed (6)

  • P/FCF 38.97
  • P/B ratio 15.40
  • Low reliance on intangibles
  • Price below Graham Number
  • DCF valuation (Overvalued)
  • Earnings surprise, average 0.5%

Unavailable (1)

  • Dividend payout –

Piotroski F-Score

8/9

Strong financial health

ROA > 0
Operating cash flow > 0
ΔROA > 0
Cash flow > net income
Leverage ↓
Current ratio ↑
No dilution
Gross margin ↑
Asset turnover ↑

Earnings Quality

1.06

High quality: earnings backed by cash

Share Dilution

1.2%

Share count is stable

Institutional Holdings

Governance

Executive Team

NameTitleAge
Mr. Hock Eng TanPresident, CEO & Executive Director73
Mr. Mark D. Brazeal J.D.Chief Legal & Corporate Affairs Officer57
Dr. Charlie B. Kawwas Ph.D.President of Semiconductor Solutions54
Ms. Kirsten M. SpearsConsultant61
Ms. Amie Thuener O'TooleChief Financial Officer50
Mr. Alan DavidsonChief Information Officer-
Mr. Ji YooDirector of Investor Relations-
Ms. Jill TurnerVice President of Human Resources-
Mr. Frank OstojicSenior VP & GM of ASIC Products Division-
Mr. Rich NelsonSenior VP & GM of Broadband Video Group-

Audit Risk

3

Board Risk

3

Compensation Risk

10

Shareholder Rights Risk

3

Documents

  • Annual Report (10-K)

    A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.

    Filed on 2025-12-18

    View document
  • Quarterly Report (10-Q)

    A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.

    Filed on 2026-09-10

    View document
  • Current Report (8-K)

    An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.

    Filed on 2026-09-02

    View document

via SEC EDGAR

Income History

via SEC EDGAR

Part 2 · The price and its context

This part shows how the price has behaved, not whether the company is worth owning. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.

Market Reaction Profile

How much AVGO moves, measured on its daily prices.

VolatilityMedium

More volatile than 61% of the tracked stocks (90-day volatility).

Volatility 30d
37.8%
Volatility 90d
40.7%
Beta vs S&P 500 (1y)
2.16Correlation 0.60
Max drawdown (12m)
-32.9%
ATR (14d, % of price)
3.48%

Earnings reactions

How AVGO moved around its past quarterly results.

Next earnings release

Dec 9, 2026 · In 46 days · Time not known

EPS estimate: 3.83Revenue estimate: $34.9B

What usually happens

  • Over the last 12 releases the stock moved a median of 9.0% the next day, up or down.
  • Next-day moves: up 6, down 6 (out of 12).

Release history

DateWhen EPS est.EPS actualSurprise Gap 1 day5 days
Sep 2, 2026After the close2.452.44-0.2% -4.2% -2.7% -1.7%
Jun 3, 2026After the close2.072.05-0.9% -14.7% -12.6% -22.4%
Mar 4, 2026After the close1.901.95+2.7% +4.0% +4.8% +7.6%
Dec 11, 2025After the closen/an/an/a-6.5% -11.4% -18.8%
Sep 4, 2025After the closen/an/an/a+16.2% +9.4% +17.5%
Jun 5, 2025After the closen/an/an/a-3.4% -5.0% -1.5%
Mar 6, 2025After the closen/an/an/a+4.6% +8.6% +6.6%
Dec 12, 2024After the closen/an/an/a+18.4% +24.4% +20.8%
Sep 5, 2024After the closen/an/an/a-6.3% -10.4% +7.7%
Jun 12, 2024After the closen/an/an/a+14.3% +12.3% +16.0%
Mar 7, 2024After the closen/an/an/a-0.9% -7.0% -10.3%
Dec 7, 2023After the closen/an/an/a+0.6% +2.4% +20.0%

Release dates from SEC 8-K filings.

Updated 10/24/2026

Historical statistics for educational purposes only. They are not forecasts and not investment advice.

Price reaction to the news

Latest news on AVGO and what the price did next.

Return of the stock minus return of SPY over the same days. A news item close to a price move did not necessarily cause it. Historical data for educational purposes only, not investment advice.

Latest News

Recent headlines for AVGO.

  • 5d agoNEUTRAL
    Broadcom rimbalza: è un falso rimbalzo mentre si forma un incrocio ribassista?

    Broadcom shares are experiencing a rebound, trading at $340 after hitting a low of $328. This upward movement aligns with a broader trend in AI-related stocks, including CoreWeave and Nebius. The catalyst for Broadcom's bounce appears to be Goldman Sachs' upgrade of CoreWeave from 'neutral' to 'buy', with an increased price target. Despite the current rise, there's a prevailing concern that this could be a 'dead cat bounce' as a bearish crossover pattern is reportedly forming. Investors are watching closely to see if the positive momentum is sustainable or if the bearish technicals will prevail.

  • 9d agoNEUTRAL
    ‘They are in a casino’: Broadcom is making billions off the AI boom, but CEO Hock Tan said many AI investors have ‘no clue’ what they’re investing in

    Broadcom CEO Hock Tan commented that many investors in the AI sector are acting like they are in a casino, lacking a clear understanding of their investments. He suggested that companies might be 'wasting money' on AI experiments that may not yield profitability. While Broadcom is a significant player benefiting from the AI boom, Tan's remarks introduce a note of caution regarding speculative investments in the broader AI landscape. Investors should be discerning about AI-related ventures, focusing on those with clear business models and proven paths to profitability.

  • 10d agoNEUTRAL
    Resilient Growth Cushions Tech Amid Rising Rates

    Julia Herrmann of New York Life Management suggests that despite rising rates and concerns from Broadcom and Intel CEOs, the macro environment remains favorable due to resilient economic growth. Investor focus is shifting from the lower limit of company investment to the potential for excessive spending, particularly in hyperscalers and chips, which could threaten free cash flow. This sentiment is underscored by a worldwide memory-chip stock tumble and an ongoing chip selloff, coinciding with major bank earnings. While specific company impacts are mixed, the overall market sentiment remains cautious but not overtly negative.

  • 11d agoNEUTRAL
    Analisi Broadcom: fondamentali e tecnici divergono — conviene comprarla?

    Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) shares have experienced a significant downturn, falling from a high of $492 to $354, with market capitalization shrinking from $2.29 trillion to $1.69 trillion. This decline persists despite the company's strong performance and involvement in the artificial intelligence (AI) boom, including a reported $300 billion deal with OpenAI for 10 GW. Technical indicators suggest potential further short-term declines, creating a divergence between fundamental strength and technical outlook. Investors are weighing the company's AI-driven growth against short-term technical pressures.

  • 12d agoNEGATIVE
    Was Broadcom CEO bullish or bearish on AI? ‘Gamblers’ comment creates storm

    Broadcom CEO Hock Tan's remarks at a Singapore conference, where he reportedly referred to AI chip demand as 'gamblers,' have been linked to a two-day slump in microchip stocks. While the exact context and intent of the 'gamblers' comment are unclear, its interpretation by the market has cast a shadow over the sector's outlook. Investors are now scrutinizing the sustainability of AI chip demand and the potential for oversupply, leading to a sell-off across semiconductor equities.

  • 14d agoNEUTRAL
    AI Debt Issuance Defies Rising Yields as SpaceX, Broadcom Plan Major Deals

    Broadcom Inc. is reportedly planning a significant debt issuance, a move that comes despite rising yields in the bond market. This comes as tech companies, in general, have increased their bond sales this year. The potential financing from Broadcom, alongside similar discussions from SpaceX, has raised concerns among investors about an impending wave of corporate debt. While the specific details of Broadcom's issuance are not yet public, the news highlights the company's capital needs and its strategy to finance operations or growth initiatives through debt, even in a challenging interest rate environment.

  • 16d agoNEGATIVE
    Le azioni Broadcom calano in premarket dopo report su finanziamento OpenAI da 50 mld

    Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ: AVGO) shares experienced a pre-market decline of nearly 2% on Thursday. This dip follows a report indicating the tech firm is seeking approximately $50 billion in financing for a joint project with OpenAI. The news introduces a new financial consideration for investors assessing the ongoing favorable financial conditions for rapid infrastructure expansion. Despite recent gains, this reported funding effort introduces a potential overhang for Broadcom's stock.

  • 22d agoPOSITIVE
    Perché le azioni Broadcom guadagnano oggi?

    Broadcom Inc. shares surged over 2.7% on Friday as Wall Street banks prepared a substantial $60 billion financing package for AI chip infrastructure. The syndicate banks are reportedly set to place $42 billion in senior secured debt, with Blackstone leading an additional $18 billion tranche of junior debt. This significant funding initiative, which has been in development for weeks, signals strong financial backing for Broadcom's AI ambitions. Investors are closely watching the market's appetite for financing such large-scale projects, but the immediate reaction suggests confidence in Broadcom's strategic direction and its role in the burgeoning AI sector.