Broadcom Inc. (AVGO)
Fair ValueFundamental
75
Price
$321.68
Market Cap
$1.57T
Part 1 · What the company is worth
Overview
Broadcom sells two very different things under one roof: custom and networking chips that go into smartphones, data-centre switches and the custom AI accelerators it co-designs for a few large cloud companies, and enterprise software — largely VMware, acquired in 2023 — that lets companies run their own private data centres. The chip side sells hardware; the software side sells subscriptions to run infrastructure most large companies already depend on.
How it makes money
Semiconductor revenue is booked when chips ship and depends on how much capacity customers are ordering, including multi-year custom AI chip programmes for a handful of cloud companies. Infrastructure Software revenue is increasingly subscription-based since VMware moved its licensing to that model, which makes it steadier and more predictable than the chip business, and it now carries software-like margins that pull up the company's overall profitability.
Revenue by segment
Networking chips, custom AI accelerators and other semiconductors sold to data-centre, networking and smartphone customers.
Enterprise software, dominated by VMware, sold mainly as subscriptions to companies running private data centres.
Competitive moat
Switching costs · WideVMware's virtualization software sits underneath thousands of companies' data-centre applications, and ripping it out means re-architecting how those applications run — a project few companies choose to undertake. On the chip side, custom AI accelerators are co-designed over years with specific cloud customers, which creates its own multi-year lock-in for as long as that partnership lasts.
What drives demand
Moderately cyclicalInfrastructure Software revenue is fairly steady, renewing on subscription terms tied to systems companies are not going to rip out quickly. Semiconductor revenue is far more cyclical, tracking data-centre and smartphone order cycles that can swing from shortage to oversupply within a year or two, so the combined business is less volatile than a pure chip company but still meaningfully cyclical.
Key risks
- Concentration in a few large customers — A meaningful share of semiconductor revenue, including custom AI chips, comes from a small number of very large customers whose order changes move results materially.
- Integration and retention risk after the VMware acquisition — Moving VMware customers to subscription pricing has raised costs for some of them, and Broadcom's post-acquisition pricing and support changes could push customers to evaluate alternatives over time.
- Export controls and geopolitics — Restrictions on selling advanced chips to certain countries, and Broadcom's reliance on manufacturing capacity concentrated in Asia, expose the semiconductor business to rules that can change with little warning.
- Cyclicality of chip demand — Networking and custom AI chip demand can fall quickly if data-centre customers pause spending or shift capacity plans, and Broadcom carries the cost of capacity it commits to well before orders are confirmed.
The case for
Buyers argue that Broadcom pairs a fast-growing, high-margin custom AI chip business with a large, sticky software franchise in VMware, giving it both AI-driven upside and a stable cash-generating base that a pure chip company lacks.
The case against
Sellers fear that AI chip revenue is concentrated in very few customers who could shift designs elsewhere, that VMware price increases are pushing some customers to look for alternatives, and that the combined business trades at a valuation that assumes both halves keep growing together indefinitely.
Written by the editors, published on August 18, 2026
Direct competitors
Who this company fights with for the same customers
Generated with artificial intelligence on August 23, 2026, shared with all users
The closest pure-play rival, bidding against Broadcom for the same hyperscaler contracts in custom AI accelerators (XPUs), Ethernet switching silicon and optical interconnect DSPs.
Competes for the same data-centre AI budget, offering off-the-shelf GPUs and its own Spectrum-X/InfiniBand networking as an alternative to Broadcom's custom accelerators and Tomahawk switch chips.
Rival supplier of RF front-end and Wi-Fi/Bluetooth connectivity chips to the same smartphone makers that account for Broadcom's wireless revenue.
Designs its own Silicon One switching chips for the data-centre and service-provider switches that would otherwise carry Broadcom's Tomahawk or Jericho silicon.
Targets the same enterprise private-cloud budget as VMware Cloud Foundation, actively courting the customers unsettled by Broadcom's subscription-only licensing.
Competes on price and design wins in Wi-Fi connectivity, set-top box and broadband access chips sold to the same consumer-electronics and telecom-operator customers.
Balance Sheet & Liquidity
Revenue
$89.10B
Trailing 12 months (through 8/2/2026)
Net Income
$38.27B
Trailing 12 months (through 8/2/2026)
Free Cash Flow
$26.91B
Total Equity
$81.29B
Total Liabilities
$89.80B
Current Ratio
2.50
Interest Coverage
13.74
Debt/EBITDA
1.14
Earnings Per Share
Revenue & Net Income
Free Cash Flow
Income Breakdown
Historical statement
Margins over time
Debt over time
How heavy the debt is
Growth grid
Growth — Revenue
Fair Value Estimation
Fair Value
$373.75
Current Price
$321.68
Margin of Safety
+13.9%
Fair Value Range
$242.94 - $504.56
Spread across the valuation methods used, not a statistically calibrated confidence interval.
Estimation Methods
Valuation Metrics
P/E Ratio
41.03
ROE
28.4%
P/B Ratio
15.40
P/FCF
38.97
Gross Margin
68.8%
ROIC
20.2%
Profitability Radar
Value Creation (Economic Moat)
ROIC
20.2%
WACC
12.4%
ROIC − WACC
+7.8 pp
ROIC exceeds the cost of capital — the company is creating value for shareholders.
Fundamental Analysis Criteria
Passed (19)
- EPS shows upward trend
- Price CAGR 34.99%
- ROIC 20.2%
- Gross margin 68.8%
- Debt/equity ratio
- Operating margin 48.0%
- Positive free cash flow
- CapEx intensity
- Current ratio
- Interest coverage
- Debt/EBITDA
- Return on tangible assets
- ROE 43.9%
- Revenue growth 5Y 21.7%
- PEG ratio 0.88
- Earnings quality (operating cash flow / net income) 1.06
- Share dilution 1.2%
- Net margin trend 42.9% vs 31.6%
- Piotroski F-Score 8/9
Failed (6)
- P/FCF 38.97
- P/B ratio 15.40
- Low reliance on intangibles
- Price below Graham Number
- DCF valuation (Overvalued)
- Earnings surprise, average 0.5%
Unavailable (1)
- Dividend payout –
Piotroski F-Score
Strong financial health
Earnings Quality
High quality: earnings backed by cash
Share Dilution
Share count is stable
Institutional Holdings
Governance
Executive Team
| Name | Title | Age |
|---|---|---|
| Mr. Hock Eng Tan | President, CEO & Executive Director | 73 |
| Mr. Mark D. Brazeal J.D. | Chief Legal & Corporate Affairs Officer | 57 |
| Dr. Charlie B. Kawwas Ph.D. | President of Semiconductor Solutions | 54 |
| Ms. Kirsten M. Spears | Consultant | 61 |
| Ms. Amie Thuener O'Toole | Chief Financial Officer | 50 |
| Mr. Alan Davidson | Chief Information Officer | - |
| Mr. Ji Yoo | Director of Investor Relations | - |
| Ms. Jill Turner | Vice President of Human Resources | - |
| Mr. Frank Ostojic | Senior VP & GM of ASIC Products Division | - |
| Mr. Rich Nelson | Senior VP & GM of Broadband Video Group | - |
Audit Risk
3
Board Risk
3
Compensation Risk
10
Shareholder Rights Risk
3
Documents
- View document
Annual Report (10-K)
A yearly overview of the business, its financial results, and the risks it faces.
Filed on 2025-12-18
- View document
Quarterly Report (10-Q)
A snapshot of financial performance for the most recent three-month period.
Filed on 2026-09-10
- View document
Current Report (8-K)
An announcement of a major event, such as a leadership change or big news.
Filed on 2026-09-02
via SEC EDGAR
Income History
via SEC EDGAR
Part 2 · The price and its context
This part shows how the price has behaved, not whether the company is worth owning. Inside: technical analysis, potential, historical drawdowns, gamma exposure.
Market Reaction Profile
How much AVGO moves, measured on its daily prices.
More volatile than 61% of the tracked stocks (90-day volatility).
- Volatility 30d
- 37.8%
- Volatility 90d
- 40.7%
- Beta vs S&P 500 (1y)
- 2.16Correlation 0.60
- Max drawdown (12m)
- -32.9%
- ATR (14d, % of price)
- 3.48%
Earnings reactions
How AVGO moved around its past quarterly results.
Next earnings release
Dec 9, 2026 · In 46 days · Time not known
EPS estimate: 3.83Revenue estimate: $34.9B
What usually happens
- Over the last 12 releases the stock moved a median of 9.0% the next day, up or down.
- Next-day moves: up 6, down 6 (out of 12).
Release history
| Date | When | EPS est. | EPS actual | Surprise | Gap | 1 day | 5 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2026 | After the close | 2.45 | 2.44 | -0.2% | -4.2% | -2.7% | -1.7% |
| Jun 3, 2026 | After the close | 2.07 | 2.05 | -0.9% | -14.7% | -12.6% | -22.4% |
| Mar 4, 2026 | After the close | 1.90 | 1.95 | +2.7% | +4.0% | +4.8% | +7.6% |
| Dec 11, 2025 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | -6.5% | -11.4% | -18.8% |
| Sep 4, 2025 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | +16.2% | +9.4% | +17.5% |
| Jun 5, 2025 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | -3.4% | -5.0% | -1.5% |
| Mar 6, 2025 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | +4.6% | +8.6% | +6.6% |
| Dec 12, 2024 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | +18.4% | +24.4% | +20.8% |
| Sep 5, 2024 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | -6.3% | -10.4% | +7.7% |
| Jun 12, 2024 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | +14.3% | +12.3% | +16.0% |
| Mar 7, 2024 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | -0.9% | -7.0% | -10.3% |
| Dec 7, 2023 | After the close | n/a | n/a | n/a | +0.6% | +2.4% | +20.0% |
Release dates from SEC 8-K filings.
Updated 10/24/2026
Historical statistics for educational purposes only. They are not forecasts and not investment advice.
Price reaction to the news
Latest news on AVGO and what the price did next.
- 10/13/2026NegativeWas Broadcom CEO bullish or bearish on AI? ‘Gamblers’ comment creates storm
- +1 day
- +0.7%
- +3 days
- -2.1%
- 10/8/2026NegativeLe azioni Broadcom calano in premarket dopo report su finanziamento OpenAI da 50 mld
- +1 day
- -3.9%
- +3 days
- -5.9%
- 10/2/2026PositivePerché le azioni Broadcom guadagnano oggi?
Published while the US market was open: the move of that day cannot be split into before and after the news, so no figure is shown.
- 10/1/2026PositiveHeadline no longer in the latest news feed
- +1 day
- -2.3%
- +3 days
- +1.6%
- 9/17/2026NegativeHeadline no longer in the latest news feed
- +1 day
- +1.2%
- +3 days
- +4.2%
- 9/7/2026PositiveHeadline no longer in the latest news feed
- +1 day
- +3.5%
- +3 days
- +2.4%
- 9/3/2026NegativeHeadline no longer in the latest news feed
- +1 day
- -3.8%
- +3 days
- +0.3%
- 9/3/2026PositiveHeadline no longer in the latest news feed
- +1 day
- -3.8%
- +3 days
- +0.3%
Return of the stock minus return of SPY over the same days. A news item close to a price move did not necessarily cause it. Historical data for educational purposes only, not investment advice.
Latest News
Recent headlines for AVGO.
- 5d agoNEUTRALBroadcom rimbalza: è un falso rimbalzo mentre si forma un incrocio ribassista?
Broadcom shares are experiencing a rebound, trading at $340 after hitting a low of $328. This upward movement aligns with a broader trend in AI-related stocks, including CoreWeave and Nebius. The catalyst for Broadcom's bounce appears to be Goldman Sachs' upgrade of CoreWeave from 'neutral' to 'buy', with an increased price target. Despite the current rise, there's a prevailing concern that this could be a 'dead cat bounce' as a bearish crossover pattern is reportedly forming. Investors are watching closely to see if the positive momentum is sustainable or if the bearish technicals will prevail.
- 9d agoNEUTRAL‘They are in a casino’: Broadcom is making billions off the AI boom, but CEO Hock Tan said many AI investors have ‘no clue’ what they’re investing in
Broadcom CEO Hock Tan commented that many investors in the AI sector are acting like they are in a casino, lacking a clear understanding of their investments. He suggested that companies might be 'wasting money' on AI experiments that may not yield profitability. While Broadcom is a significant player benefiting from the AI boom, Tan's remarks introduce a note of caution regarding speculative investments in the broader AI landscape. Investors should be discerning about AI-related ventures, focusing on those with clear business models and proven paths to profitability.
- 10d agoNEUTRALResilient Growth Cushions Tech Amid Rising Rates
Julia Herrmann of New York Life Management suggests that despite rising rates and concerns from Broadcom and Intel CEOs, the macro environment remains favorable due to resilient economic growth. Investor focus is shifting from the lower limit of company investment to the potential for excessive spending, particularly in hyperscalers and chips, which could threaten free cash flow. This sentiment is underscored by a worldwide memory-chip stock tumble and an ongoing chip selloff, coinciding with major bank earnings. While specific company impacts are mixed, the overall market sentiment remains cautious but not overtly negative.
- 11d agoNEUTRALAnalisi Broadcom: fondamentali e tecnici divergono — conviene comprarla?
Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) shares have experienced a significant downturn, falling from a high of $492 to $354, with market capitalization shrinking from $2.29 trillion to $1.69 trillion. This decline persists despite the company's strong performance and involvement in the artificial intelligence (AI) boom, including a reported $300 billion deal with OpenAI for 10 GW. Technical indicators suggest potential further short-term declines, creating a divergence between fundamental strength and technical outlook. Investors are weighing the company's AI-driven growth against short-term technical pressures.
- 12d agoNEGATIVEWas Broadcom CEO bullish or bearish on AI? ‘Gamblers’ comment creates storm
Broadcom CEO Hock Tan's remarks at a Singapore conference, where he reportedly referred to AI chip demand as 'gamblers,' have been linked to a two-day slump in microchip stocks. While the exact context and intent of the 'gamblers' comment are unclear, its interpretation by the market has cast a shadow over the sector's outlook. Investors are now scrutinizing the sustainability of AI chip demand and the potential for oversupply, leading to a sell-off across semiconductor equities.
- 14d agoNEUTRALAI Debt Issuance Defies Rising Yields as SpaceX, Broadcom Plan Major Deals
Broadcom Inc. is reportedly planning a significant debt issuance, a move that comes despite rising yields in the bond market. This comes as tech companies, in general, have increased their bond sales this year. The potential financing from Broadcom, alongside similar discussions from SpaceX, has raised concerns among investors about an impending wave of corporate debt. While the specific details of Broadcom's issuance are not yet public, the news highlights the company's capital needs and its strategy to finance operations or growth initiatives through debt, even in a challenging interest rate environment.
- 16d agoNEGATIVELe azioni Broadcom calano in premarket dopo report su finanziamento OpenAI da 50 mld
Broadcom Inc. (NASDAQ: AVGO) shares experienced a pre-market decline of nearly 2% on Thursday. This dip follows a report indicating the tech firm is seeking approximately $50 billion in financing for a joint project with OpenAI. The news introduces a new financial consideration for investors assessing the ongoing favorable financial conditions for rapid infrastructure expansion. Despite recent gains, this reported funding effort introduces a potential overhang for Broadcom's stock.
- 22d agoPOSITIVEPerché le azioni Broadcom guadagnano oggi?
Broadcom Inc. shares surged over 2.7% on Friday as Wall Street banks prepared a substantial $60 billion financing package for AI chip infrastructure. The syndicate banks are reportedly set to place $42 billion in senior secured debt, with Blackstone leading an additional $18 billion tranche of junior debt. This significant funding initiative, which has been in development for weeks, signals strong financial backing for Broadcom's AI ambitions. Investors are closely watching the market's appetite for financing such large-scale projects, but the immediate reaction suggests confidence in Broadcom's strategic direction and its role in the burgeoning AI sector.